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WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
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stepinside |
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One small addendum, since I see many people arguing that we test now more.
Do we test more today then back in March? Yes, absolutely. About 3 times more.
Do we test more today then 6 weeks ago? No, we don't.
6 weeks ago, Europe daily new cases were under 40k.
Today, we will hit 150k.
A 4 times increase in cases in 6 weeks. Talk about exponential, something that most people still don't understand.
The new daily cases in 2 weeks from now will be in the range of 250k, in Europe. And that is an optimistic number.
We are now, at the beginning of second wave and cold season, ABOVE with the PEAK of first wave, in most European countries.
I will triple the peaks in Spring, to account for 3 times more testing :
The 7 day moving average in France was peaking in the spring at 4,537. Triple that and we get 13,611. It is 17,936 yesterday.
U.K. : 4,999. Triple that. 15,000. They were yesterday at 15,766.
Belgium : 1,453, triple that to 4,359. They were yesterday at 5,564.
Netherlands : 1,120, tripled to 3,360. They were yesterday at 6,596.
Romania, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia...MUCH WORSE then that.
Only Italy makes an exception...but they will quickly catch up, because exponential factor. They were couple weeks behind a month ago, they are now maybe a week behind.
It started guys. Make no mistake about it.
Quoting: deplorable recollector So true.... Sad that those trends were obvious far more than month ago and government could prepare and put more restrictions in advance. We do 20-30k tests/day (population 10M), positive rate 25%!!! The viral load is simply extreme... Don't know how in Romania, but here in Czech everyone was happy during summer, parties, virus went off. Government saying everything is OK just few weeks ago.. Tracing system failed here, you've got call 5 days after being tested positive. They did not increase tracing capacity during summer. Some professors warned, showing that there is already exponential trend with all of its consequenses. Nobody listened... Not good :(
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