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Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall

 
nutmeg

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09/25/2021 06:17 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
NOAA

Hurricane Center

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:28 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Just saw this tweet from Eric Webb, NHC Forecaster.
Sent chills down my spine.
A forecasted upper-level low may sling Sam into the northeast USA coast line.
Been watching GFS evolve this all day.
Could be a Sandy II.
Stay tuned.


 Quoting: Doorbert Returns
All that the U.S. gets is high surf. Nothing Burger.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:30 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Eye dropsonde records 945 mb
Lady Jane SmithModerator
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09/25/2021 06:31 PM

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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Unlikely to hit land they say
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76509910


They also said:

"The threat to the public is minimal."

"The chances of an eruption is quite low."

Here we are.

Last Edited by LJS on 09/25/2021 06:34 PM
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ-A

Killer Bunny
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:33 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
PLANTS OUT for now
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:34 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Tropical Tidbits - very professional tropical report

Busterhymen

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09/25/2021 06:42 PM

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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Can we steer this into DC?
FCK the WEF! Keep your hands off my country!
Hi5SurfPR

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09/25/2021 06:50 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
I Saw The vid... :(

We Are Fu...Ed!!!!

Not again!

We have a new private SHIT company that manages the Electrical infrastructure, They Suck! From a goverment agency to a private company, Not SO much of a change!

Must prepare for the SHTF!

:(
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:55 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
NOT forecast to come within 500 miles of the US, DUMBASS
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 06:56 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Hurricanes not only purify the air they dissipate heat from the ocean into the atmosphere and create cool scenery.

yeah it destroys some things but humanity does that anyway without any of the aforementioned benefit.

just "weather it out" as they say chuckle
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:00 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
It’s all a watch and wait thing...not my favorite way of looking at things, but that is how it goes.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:15 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
To the east coast? Oh well. It’s all good here in Texas rn.
Tex the Neanderthal

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09/25/2021 07:19 PM

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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Glad to have moved back to Texas. Superstorm Sandy was not fun.

Then again, here at the beach house dealing with damage from Nicholas.

No matter where you are, it is always something.
 Quoting: Lady Jane Smith


I'd rather be in PA than Texas any day
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77913190


Why?
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:21 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Glad to have moved back to Texas. Superstorm Sandy was not fun.

Then again, here at the beach house dealing with damage from Nicholas.

No matter where you are, it is always something.
 Quoting: Lady Jane Smith


I'd rather be in PA than Texas any day
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77913190


Why?
 Quoting: Tex the Neanderthal


yeah, why.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:22 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
If there is an alliance why haven't they taken out these hurricane creating technology? More death and destruction gives the evil one's power.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:24 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Hurricanes not only purify the air they dissipate heat from the ocean into the atmosphere and create cool scenery.

yeah it destroys some things but humanity does that anyway without any of the aforementioned benefit.

just "weather it out" as they say chuckle
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 72034179


Very true, been living in Florida for over 30 years now and it's actually quite nice after a hurricane, they really do clean up. All loose trees and garbage is cleaned up, everyone cleans around there house and businesses, but it's alot more than that kinda hard for me to explain. The air is also very fresh afterwards, I guess you would have to be here to really appreciate it. Mother nature is amazing
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 07:46 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Indications from recon showing an eyewall replacement cycle maybe imminent. This could throw a curveball in the models.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 08:31 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Justme C'est Moi

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09/25/2021 08:36 PM

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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Doombert wants the Doom. :)
Justme
Your Huckleberry

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09/25/2021 08:40 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Doombert wants the Doom. :)
 Quoting: Justme C'est Moi


Probably not going to get it if Doombert lives on the East Coast of the U.S.

Global ensemble forecast model (GEFS) has 21 tracks more or less in agreement.

https://imgur.com/dqH8bNa

Your Huckleberry
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 08:43 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Recon reports a 162 knt surface gust!shocked
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 08:46 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 09:02 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Stay away from Saint Augustine you mfer.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76510871


no thats where we want it to COME, Come on you BUM hit Palm coast at a 3 por please and thank you. dont you just hate sarcastic people they its some special power, or a defense mechanism... lol
a passing cloud

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09/25/2021 09:03 PM

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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
if those sphaghetti models move west, because conditions foster that....oh boy.

ha ha, la palma sends a wave here but with a CAT 4 hurricane sitting on us we're stuck. how doom-a-licious can it get?

but that's a bit too doomy for me.

i envy those who don't know such scenarios CAN happen, if those tech tyrants want them to. ignorance is bliss....
why did i send myself to this world?? there must have been a reason.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 09:07 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Looks like florida proof. Almost fauchi proof
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 09:08 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Hurricane Sam now major hurricane, could reach US in October

Forecasters say it’s still too early to tell how it will impact land, but urge residents along the US East Coast to monitor the system.

AccuWeather forecasters say the system could turn toward the U.S. in the early days of October.

[link to pressnewsagency.org (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 09:14 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Recon heading home.
Last indication was Sam maybe slightly southwest of forecast track.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2021 09:23 PM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Glad to have moved back to Texas. Superstorm Sandy was not fun.

Then again, here at the beach house dealing with damage from Nicholas.

No matter where you are, it is always something.
 Quoting: Lady Jane Smith


I'd rather be in PA than Texas any day
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77913190


Why?
 Quoting: Tex the Neanderthal


yeah, why.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78101571


PA - LOL what a ghetto rat hole -PHILLY is a drug infested needle hall .
Anonymous Coward
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09/26/2021 09:41 AM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall
Looking at IR satellite, Sam has been moving straight west all morning.
Putting a serious kink in the official forecast track.
Somehow an upper-level low to its northwest didn't get in the models.
How could that happen?

skull_fing
Anonymous Coward
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09/26/2021 09:44 AM
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Re: Hurricane Sam - Full On Model Fuckery - Potential Major CONUS Landfall





GLP