EPIC STORM TO PORTUGAL AND NORTH SPAIN!!! RED ALLERT JUST NOW!!! Min Pressure 967.8 hPa!!!

waves hit 19m in the coast! [link to www.tvi24.iol.pt]

[link to oiswww.eumetsat.org]

Woman 'freezes to death in tragic accident'
A young woman found dead outside her sister’s house is believed to have frozen to death in a tragic accident as the United Kingdom continues to be gripped by freezing conditions.

Bernadette Lee, a 25-year-old dental nurse from Canterbury, Kent, had been on a night out with friends at a nightclub before arriving at her sister’s house, reports The Daily Mail

[link to au.news.yahoo.com]

The Big Chill: unusual stratospheric phenomenon is bringing frigid cold to U.S
An unusual event playing out high in the atmosphere above the Arctic Circle is setting the stage for what could be weeks upon weeks of frigid cold across wide swaths of the U.S., having already helped to bring cold and snowy weather to parts of Europe. Forecast high temperatures on Monday, Jan. 21, from the GFS computer model. This phenomenon, known as a “sudden stratospheric warming event,” started on Jan. 6, but is something that is just beginning to have an effect on weather patterns across North America and Europe.

[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Re: Mon Forecast and Models - January 2013

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Good morning

I have some doubts as to the stability in the medium term that models put up enough .... ..

What we see is the maintenance of the standard that has been in these first 15/20 days of January, and perhaps even more supported by the presence of the MJO phase 7/8 and the entry into a period of the year when we approach the end of winter Solar. and .. this will be very important for North America since the catastrophic drought that has hit parts of the states act as a huge factory of hot and dry air (from the perspective of barren depressions) and that tends to generate a bubble of anomalous geopotential.


But first the MJO, is in Phase 7 and 8, and that means there will be a strengthening of tropical convection over the Pacific, the Atlantic and portions of Africa over the next 15 to 20 days.
This increased convection generates a flow of air in time to the mid-latitudes where then descends strengthening Anticyclones.

In the case of North America, it happens that there are areas of very severe drought that developed in the last two years, which will now act with the early spring sunlight (radiation greater, more aquecimeto) increasing the efficiency of radiative heating.
This generally a bubble of hot air with high geopotential that depressions skirt.

This bag after reaching a vertical structure similar to that of the Hadley cell, eventually integrate it as an extension of the Tropical Troposphere.

Well .. this means that we will now as we enter February that a tendency to generate large flows between Canada and the NW Atlantic, throwing the region of greatest activity Depressionária for the central Atlantic.
This will create large air intakes for the tropical Western and SW.

It happens that in Central Europe and Western Asia teem been accumulations of snow and cold air abnormal, and more certain is that these when interacting with tropical air coming from the Atlantic cyclogenesis generate good centers between Biscay and the Mediterranean.
And teem models tended to this solution in the short term.

Therefore think everything is fitted so that in the next 2 to 3 weeks no great change of pattern, and some may even be more interesting episodes.

However the extent that get in February, March and then particularly with the gradual heating of Europe start running out cold air which contributes to the activity between Biscay and Med
Maybe we will have some eposódios lock up abnormally warm air there for that time ... [link to www.meteopt.com]

Any ideaû about the spring?
What they suggest it for central Europe - early or late on the contrary?

it's for early... lets see what we get later.

2012 significant climate anomalies and events:
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
and other interesting and useful to understand what is happening charts
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]
[link to meteoinfo.ru]

and one point of view on future spring:
(Google translation part of russian meteoservice boss article):
"Because of displacement climatic seasons winter was rapidly move into the summer, while spring is gradually reduced and almost "disappear," according to the site meteorologist Russia. "In 2012, a long time it was cold, almost all of March and half of April. And then suddenly came the heat. May was a record warm, even hot in summer. So we actually lost the one time of year - spring," - quoted by ITAR-TASS chapter Hydromet Alexander Frolov"
[link to www.newsru.com]