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East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20

 
Slick
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12/14/2010 09:25 AM
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East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Remember the major snowstorm that hit the East Coast this time last year? Looks like we might get a repeat, almost to the day.
A local forecaster in Richmond, David Tolleras (who predicted all 4 major storms for the Mid-Atlantic last year more accurately than the NWS) has made the following call. I am paraphrasing:
A strong piece of energy located in California will follow the Southern Jet stream across the Southwest to Texas by Friday. This is the ‘seed’ energy for the storm.
The fertilizer to make this storm affect Richmond north to Boston is a piece of energy located over Minnesota, right now. If this drops south through the Midwest and merges with the ‘seed’ system, we will see 12”+ from Richmond to Boston.
If they do not merge, the system will move off of Cape Hatteras and only southwest and Central Virginia will see the storm.
I am in Richmond and usually love to see the rare snow we get. We got a couple of inches, yesterday and I put my truck in a ditch. First time I ever lost control of my vehicle in 30 years of driving. I am loading up the bed of my truck with a couple hundred pounds of something this afternoon because David is predicting 3-5” of snow for Thursday. The ass-end of my truck will not go somewhere the front end does not, again.
Anyway, just wanted to give a warning to all East Coast GLPers for the 19-20th. Also, be aware that he is predicting arctic temperatures thru the 24th, so the snow that falls will stay. There will be snow on the ground for Christmas.
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:28 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I'm in Richmond too.
I hope you're right.
banana2
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:31 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I live in Albany and I highly doubt what you say will apply to me..

And I am on the east coast so..
Treyfish

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12/14/2010 09:32 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I live in Richmond also. It is comin for sure,I believe.

Last Edited by Treyfish on 12/14/2010 09:33 AM
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:38 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
i sure hope so... just picked up a toyota fj last month... i'm dying to play in the snow
Slick  (OP)

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12/14/2010 09:44 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I live in Albany and I highly doubt what you say will apply to me..

And I am on the east coast so..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1011642

... so ...you just posted to be a smartass? There are very likely a few other people that this will affect on the East Coast.

Thanks for letting us know you are an ass.
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:47 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Thanks OP! (from an East Coaster in the line of fire)

It would be nice to have a white Christmas!
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:48 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Should I bring my tomato plants inside?
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 09:50 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Should I bring my tomato plants inside?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1063859


Yes, and your telephone poles.
Slick  (OP)

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12/14/2010 09:52 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Thanks OP! (from an East Coaster in the line of fire)

It would be nice to have a white Christmas!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1072429

I don't know how white it will be by Christmas. Roadsides will certainly be nasty, but maybe yards will be cool.

I just wanted to give everyone in the line of fire a heads up. You know, run to the grocery store and buy bread, milk and toilet paper before the shelves empty. I don't know why people think that this stuff will be unobtainable in the snow, but they do.

Tomato plants? Don't know about yours, but mine have been frozen for two days, now. It's a little late for them.
Slick  (OP)

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12/14/2010 09:53 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Should I bring my tomato plants inside?


Yes, and your telephone poles.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1167220

LOL!

Please do.

I barely missed one of those yesterday!
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 10:08 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Let's hear it for Richmond! I hope we get enough for a snowman! That guy is on the money most of the time (99%)
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 10:19 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Is there a link? I'd love to read his stuff. :)
Treyfish

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12/14/2010 10:28 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
[link to www.wxrisk.com]
virginia too
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12/14/2010 10:29 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
NONONONONO!!!!!
Slick  (OP)

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12/14/2010 10:33 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
 Quoting: Treyfish

For his local forecasts, go to the "General" tab.

I didn't want to post his site and have a ton of GLPers overload his server. But, there it is.
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 10:34 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
 Quoting: Treyfish



Thanks!
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 10:45 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Thanks OP. I'm not looking forward to large snow accumulations like I did in the past. My husband has a new job and he is on the road all of his work hours.

Guess an added Christmas gift of a sled to the kids is in store for east coast parents.
Shadeslay

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12/14/2010 11:23 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I was just looking at this and thinking the same thing. It's pulling a lot of moisture from the pacific.

[link to www.weather.com]
George Galloway "Republicans and Democrats are just two cheeks of the same ass."
CorporalClegg

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12/14/2010 11:29 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
They told me here in WV the last time that we would get 8 inches. We got like half of one.
2012gregg

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12/14/2010 12:07 PM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
The European model since Saturday, December 11 has been showing this to be a major winter storm East coast from NC to Boston but the last couple of runs of the European have not been as impressive with the system. The GFS or American weather model had no system at all this past weekend then suddenly turned extremely bullish on a massive winter storm on Monday . However early this morning the the GFS has backed off of this idea a bit. It still has the Low but the Low tracks off the NC coast and brings heavy snow ONLY to Virginia …and rain to snow over western North Carolina. DC sees …according the the 0z GFS only light snow. The Canadian model also supports this solution as does the early Tuesday morning European.

All the weather Model shows a strong piece of energy in the southern Jet stream coming from CALIF through AZ NM and into TX by Friday.

In order to get the really big humongous snowstorm scenario to work we need a the piece of energy in the Northern or Polar jet stream located over Minnesota /Lake superior ….to drop southeast through the Midwest and link up with that southern piece of energy coming out of Texas and into Georgia.

If those two pieces of energy meet and Merge (called “phasing” in the weather Biz ) there will be a humongous East coast winter storm and the snowfall from Richmond to Boston will be well over 12". But if the northern piece of energy stays up over Minnesota and Lake Superior than we are looking at a system which slides off the Cape Hatteras Coast and only central and southwest Virginia and Western North Carolina would see significant snow.

Unlike the winter storms of last year this one coming up for DEC 19-20 is not quite as clear cut but certainly by Thursday night or early Friday I should have a very good idea of what’s going to happen this weekend.

The other important point that you may to know is that beyond this weekend’s storm ( whether it hits VA with a big snow or not) … this Low will be captured by the large Upper Low In the Jet stream still trapped over Maine and this will in turn… pull down a extremely cold air mass for the period from December 20-24 . This very cold arctic air mass with strong winds will cover all of the us east of the Mississippi River not just Virginia .

[link to www.wxrisk.com]

Last Edited by greggin5d on 12/14/2010 12:27 PM
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2010 12:11 PM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
[link to www.wxrisk.com]

For his local forecasts, go to the "General" tab.

I didn't want to post his site and have a ton of GLPers overload his server. But, there it is.
 Quoting: Slick

The site wants you to log in. WHY? IT'S JUST THE FUCKING WEATHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT, NOT A TERRORIST MISSION.
2012gregg

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12/14/2010 12:28 PM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
The site wants you to log in. WHY? IT'S JUST THE FUCKING WEATHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT, NOT A TERRORIST MISSION.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 763116



Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2010 08:36 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
FAIL
~Morrígan~

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12/16/2010 08:56 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
They told me here in WV the last time that we would get 8 inches. We got like half of one.
 Quoting: CorporalClegg


I'm in northern WV and saw about an inch.

I really don't think you have to worry about 'a ton' of Glpers overloading his servers. This might be more useful.




Last Edited by ~Morrígan~ on 12/16/2010 08:58 AM
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Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2010 09:03 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
I hope we get 20", then I won't have to go to the in-laws for Christmas.
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2010 10:07 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
The keyword being if
J-Rico

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12/16/2010 10:11 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
New Jersey didn't get "major snow" in December last year, so I'm guessing this doesn't apply to us.

I REALLY don't want to shovel anything.
Everyone dies, but not everyone lives.

:moranrico::Rico::moranrico:
tkwasny

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12/16/2010 10:16 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Snow blower at the ready... check.
All Wheel Drive vehicles tanks full... always... check
Bread and milk.... why
100Lb of salt... check
Shovel ready.... broken... crap.
Jool
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12/16/2010 11:50 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
Remember the major snowstorm that hit the East Coast this time last year? Looks like we might get a repeat, almost to the day.
A local forecaster in Richmond, David Tolleras (who predicted all 4 major storms for the Mid-Atlantic last year more accurately than the NWS) has made the following call. I am paraphrasing:
A strong piece of energy located in California will follow the Southern Jet stream across the Southwest to Texas by Friday. This is the ‘seed’ energy for the storm.
The fertilizer to make this storm affect Richmond north to Boston is a piece of energy located over Minnesota, right now. If this drops south through the Midwest and merges with the ‘seed’ system, we will see 12”+ from Richmond to Boston.
If they do not merge, the system will move off of Cape Hatteras and only southwest and Central Virginia will see the storm.
I am in Richmond and usually love to see the rare snow we get. We got a couple of inches, yesterday and I put my truck in a ditch. First time I ever lost control of my vehicle in 30 years of driving. I am loading up the bed of my truck with a couple hundred pounds of something this afternoon because David is predicting 3-5” of snow for Thursday. The ass-end of my truck will not go somewhere the front end does not, again.
Anyway, just wanted to give a warning to all East Coast GLPers for the 19-20th. Also, be aware that he is predicting arctic temperatures thru the 24th, so the snow that falls will stay. There will be snow on the ground for Christmas.
 Quoting: Slick



I'm in Nj, & weather channell just said a few inches...we will see.
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2010 11:55 AM
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Re: East Coast WARNING: MAJOR SNOW DEC 19-20
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