SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79721072 Finland 12/20/2020 09:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to ibb.co (secure)] This cycle has started somewhat fast. If december holds more than 30 spots avg, and it continues to show activity, by the end of next year it could be 150-200. It this pace keeps even brief momentum. |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/20/2020 10:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SPOTLESS NO MORE Old ar2786 has returned today and has been re-numbered AR2974. From official Dept. of Commerce website- Solar Activity 24 hr Summary... Solar activity was very low. A new spotted region rotated onto the SE limb and was numbered Region 2794 (S17E78, Hsx/alpha). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 356 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Dec 2020 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Dec I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2794 S17E78 347 0120 Hsx 02 01 Alpha IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z Dec Nmbr Location Lo 2792 S22W43 108 2793 S15W20 085 II. Regions Due to Return 21 Dec to 23 Dec Nmbr Lat Lo None ***So far no flaring and old '86 seems to be the same gentle giant we remember from last rotation. Pure Alpha now. Have a peek for yourself via SDO: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 12/20/2020 10:23 PM The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/20/2020 10:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Upcoming spot has a nice loop, big loop. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79721072 [link to ibb.co (secure)] This cycle has started somewhat fast. If december holds more than 30 spots avg, and it continues to show activity, by the end of next year it could be 150-200. It this pace keeps even brief momentum. Yes, old '86 still has a sizable magnetic footprint. Check it out in the AIA 171a movie: [link to sdodata.oma.be] Cycle 25 has barely begun... both M-flares detected were from the far side and the Northern hemisphere has barely produced a spot yet. The Sun is a chaotic system and we'll see great outbursts and strange lulls in activity. It's truly amazing to live at a time when we have such advanced sensing mechanisms in place and, for the most part, accessible to the public and billions around the globe. Heliophysics is one of the few cutting-edge sciences you can research in real-time from your laptop or phone. I 'm thrilled to see a non-spotless day! Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 12/20/2020 10:47 PM The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/21/2020 12:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Maverick astrophysicist calls for unusually intense solar cycle, straying from consensus view Quoting: OpenEnded.. But a prominent astrophysicist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Scott McIntosh, foresees the sun going gangbusters. The cycle is already off to a fast start, coinciding with the recent publication of McIntosh’s paper in Solar Physics. The study, with contributions from several of his colleagues, forecasts the nascent sunspot cycle to become one of the strongest ever recorded. [link to www.washingtonpost.com (secure)] Great find, OE. I hope he's correct, as this is last solar cycle I'll be alive to witness, LOL. I almost always find MSM articles about solar activity to cringeworthy and stupid. At least this reporter highlighted that our knowledge of the sun's mechanics is rudimentary at best (and probably completely wrong). Mr. McIntosh has a novel view of solar magnetism and he seems to put forth a plausible theory. This is why we WATCH...so much is yet to be learned about Sol If we can't figure out how the sun operates, how can we pretend to know how trillions of other stars function? Quasars, Pulsars, Magnetars, Black Holes, Red Giants, etc.,...???? We really don't know crap. From the above linked article- For now, the panel has remained quiet about his research, but McIntosh says that — if his predictions are realized — the field will have a lot of work to do. “This work is pointing in a direction which says much of the past physics isn’t quite right,” he said. “If we’re right, it points to a quite different way in how the sun works.” The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27 User ID: 78179041 United States 12/21/2020 11:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: A minor (G1-class) geomagnetic storm is possible on Dec. 23rd when a fast-moving stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from a northern hole in the sun's atmosphere. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras when the solar wind arrives. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] https://imgur.com/2sqwmUC ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
joinca User ID: 76969754 United States 12/21/2020 05:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://twitter.com/_/status/1341141394765672448 "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/22/2020 12:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: A minor (G1-class) geomagnetic storm is possible on Dec. 23rd when a fast-moving stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from a northern hole in the sun's atmosphere. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras when the solar wind arrives. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] https://imgur.com/2sqwmUC I think it came early. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/22/2020 11:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm proud to announce before SWPC we have a new sunspot which I'll take the liberty to name AR2795. I believe its the return of 2789 (maybe). Neither NOAA nor SolarHam has it listed as a returning region. Latest HMI intensitigram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] More good news- We may have a new active region in the northern hemisphere. This AR appears very bright in the STEREO Ahead EUVI and will come over in a few days time. Courtesy of our friends at SOLARHAM.com: [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 12/22/2020 11:30 PM The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27 User ID: 79721349 United States 12/22/2020 11:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/22/2020 11:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Merry Christmas to you, GLP darling! The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27 User ID: 79721349 United States 12/22/2020 11:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/23/2020 12:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm proud to announce before SWPC we have a new sunspot which I'll take the liberty to name AR2795. I believe its the return of 2789 (maybe). Neither NOAA nor SolarHam has it listed as a returning region. Quoting: Helios Maximus Latest HMI intensitigram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] More good news- We may have a new active region in the northern hemisphere. This AR appears very bright in the STEREO Ahead EUVI and will come over in a few days time. Courtesy of our friends at SOLARHAM.com: [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Wow! Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/23/2020 11:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New AR 2795 has a pulse. A dozen B-flares including a B7 and 2 B6's. [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)] It may be a Beta-Gamma, more complex than 2794. HMI Latest Magnetogram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 359 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Dec 2020 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Dec I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2794 S16E40 346 0180 Hsx 03 01 Alpha 2795 S17E67 319 0040 Cro 09 06 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Dec Nmbr Location Lo 2792 S22W85 111 2793 S15W62 088 II. Regions Due to Return 24 Dec to 26 Dec Nmbr Lat Lo 2790 S22 267 Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 12/24/2020 12:11 AM The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79765089 Finland 12/24/2020 03:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why is HPI so high? 50.9 GW [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Solar wind speed: 592.3 km/sec density: 2.3 protons/cm3 |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/26/2020 06:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/26/2020 06:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://imgur.com/eS8VT2I Sunspots are islands of magnetism floating on the surface of the sun. AR2795 looks a bit like Hawaii. SDO's magnetic map reveals a deep fissure in the "Big Island." This could be a sign of intensifying turbulence in the magnetic dynamo deep beneath the sunspot. If so, more fractures may be in the offing. Amateur astronomers with safely-filtered solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/26/2020 06:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | THE LAST AURORAS OF 2020: A stream of solar wind is heading for Earth. Estimated time of arrival: Dec. 29th. The minor jet of gas flowing from a small hole in the sun's atmosphere might be enough to spark the last auroras of 2020 around the Arctic Circle. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/26/2020 06:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
joinca User ID: 69914580 United States 12/27/2020 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Merry Christmas Simple and every one!! "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/27/2020 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AURORA SURPRISE: There were no geomagnetic storms on Dec. 26th. So where did these auroras come from? "Last night, the Northern Lights made a remarkable appearance over Utsjoki in the far north of Finland," reports Rayann Elzein, who photographed the display in temperatures that plunged to -36 C: https://imgur.com/KBvs7dK "It was so cold ... but worth the chill to witness this beautiful show," says Elzein. "For about 30-40 minutes, the auroras danced overhead with super fast movements. The highlight was a bright purple nitrogen fringe!" Elzein lives in the right place to see auroras without geomagnetic storms. The Finnish Lapland is located beneath Earth's persistent auroral oval. A gentle rain of solar wind electrons, guided to Earth by our planet's curved magnetic field, creates a polar ring of Northern Lights that intersects the latitude of Utsjoki. Often dim but sometimes surprisingly bright, auroras appear there on most dark nights--no storm required. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/27/2020 03:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://imgur.com/xHhTS81 "Two sunspot groups were clearly visible," he says. For much of the past 4 years, Solar Minimum has supressed the production of sunspots, keeping the solar disk blank and featureless. "The re-appearance sunspots in 2020 is a clear sign of rising solar activity," notes Willemin. Indeed, Solar Cycle 25 is rapidly gaining steam; 2021 promises many more "little black spots" and, with them, solar flares, CMEs, and geomagnetic storms. Sunrise is just the beginning. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
RubyV82 User ID: 79826302 United Kingdom 12/29/2020 06:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys I have a question that you will probably laugh at me for asking but need to ask anyway as I don’t know the answer, but if we had a carrington style event of some sort that knocked out the power grid globally, what would happen to all the nuclear reactors around the world? |
KTee User ID: 79591723 United States 12/29/2020 10:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys I have a question that you will probably laugh at me for asking but need to ask anyway as I don’t know the answer, but if we had a carrington style event of some sort that knocked out the power grid globally, what would happen to all the nuclear reactors around the world? Quoting: RubyV82 It's a good question. It's on a lot of peoples minds, I'm sure. Bottom line is in time they would all melt down. Not sure currently what type of back up (cooling) systems they have been working on recently. But over time (6mths?)they would be toast. Act, and you shall have dinner; wait, and you shall BE dinner. -Gowron, Klingon proverb, Star Trek: Deep Space Nine |
RubyV82 User ID: 79826302 United Kingdom 12/29/2020 12:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys I have a question that you will probably laugh at me for asking but need to ask anyway as I don’t know the answer, but if we had a carrington style event of some sort that knocked out the power grid globally, what would happen to all the nuclear reactors around the world? Quoting: RubyV82 It's a good question. It's on a lot of peoples minds, I'm sure. Bottom line is in time they would all melt down. Not sure currently what type of back up (cooling) systems they have been working on recently. But over time (6mths?)they would be toast. That’s kind of what I thought, thank you for answering, I appreciate it . |
RubyV82 User ID: 79826302 United Kingdom 12/29/2020 12:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys I have a question that you will probably laugh at me for asking but need to ask anyway as I don’t know the answer, but if we had a carrington style event of some sort that knocked out the power grid globally, what would happen to all the nuclear reactors around the world? Quoting: RubyV82 It's a good question. It's on a lot of peoples minds, I'm sure. Bottom line is in time they would all melt down. Not sure currently what type of back up (cooling) systems they have been working on recently. But over time (6mths?)they would be toast. That’s kind of what I thought, thank you for answering, I appreciate it . |
MissionInvisible User ID: 77600304 United States 12/29/2020 01:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79827529 United States 12/29/2020 02:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys I have a question that you will probably laugh at me for asking but need to ask anyway as I don’t know the answer, but if we had a carrington style event of some sort that knocked out the power grid globally, what would happen to all the nuclear reactors around the world? Quoting: RubyV82 diesel generators would still work to run pumps for cooling water; they would be ok, probably.. LazyGringo |
Simple27 User ID: 78192691 United States 12/30/2020 11:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GEOMAGNETIC UNREST: NOAA forecasters say there is a chance of geomagnetic unrest today, Dec. 30th, when a minor stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from a small hole in the sun's atmosphere. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially during the hours around local midnight. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 78192691 United States 12/30/2020 11:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | On January 2nd at 8:51am EDT Earth Will Reach Its Closest Point to the Sun this Weekend [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79718825 United States 12/30/2020 07:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Simple27 ~*Ride the Wave*~ |