M-CLASS SOLAR FLARE !!! | |
Atma (OP) User ID: 230367 United States 06/01/2007 12:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | PRESTO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Fri Jun 1 2007, 1537 UT An M3 flare is in progress as observed by the GOES Xray detector, with an estimated peak time of about 15:00 UT. No image is available to find out the location of the flare, but a likely candidate is the returning NOAA AR 0957. [link to sidc.oma.be] Probably that one just peeking around the left side. [link to sidc.oma.be] |
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Mr. Predictor Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 245264 United States 06/01/2007 12:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Does anyone know when the sun is going to explode? Quoting: I Wish 415EAT knows, he just heard it on the phone He wishes he could tell you It's going to send the markets tumbling In a couple of hours "If there is a new fascism, it won't come from skinheads and punks; it will come from people who eat granola and think they know how the world should be." - Brian Eno |
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Dil User ID: 51202 Austria 06/01/2007 06:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The next one: [link to www.sel.noaa.gov] M2.3, that sunspot looks very promising and reminds of several very busy ones two years ago. |
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† User ID: 241637 United States 06/01/2007 07:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 60 percent chance of more over the next 3 days Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jun 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity increased to moderate levels. New Region 960 (S06E73) was responsible for two M-class flares during the past 24 hours. An M1 x-ray flare occurred at 01/0651Z and an M2/Sf event occurred at 01/1459Z. A Tenflare of 100 sfu was associated with the M2 event. This region remains too close to the east solar limb to ascertain a complete magnetic analysis. Region 958 (S13E22) developed several sunspots during the period and is now classified a Bxo beta magnetic sunspot group. Region 959 (S12E49) contains two small umbra and was numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels. Region 960 is likely to produce further M-class flare activity. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 02 June. Active conditions are expected on 03 and 04 June due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 02 Jun-04 Jun Class M 60/60/60 Class X 10/10/10 Proton 05/10/10 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Jun 079 Predicted 02 Jun-04 Jun 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 01 Jun 073 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 31 May 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jun 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 003/005-010/015-010/015 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jun-04 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/25/25 Minor storm 01/10/10 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 15/30/30 Minor storm 05/15/15 Major-severe storm 01/10/10 peace, † |
Tlalpecoatzin (Thoth) User ID: 245385 Mexico 06/01/2007 07:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Does anyone know when the sun is going to explode? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 169657DOOM is always just one day away, my friend. ask any of the woo-woo's on here. 6/2/07 DOOM Never lose faith. It's the Pascal's Wager all over again. Key to the ages: [link to z14.invisionfree.com] Man must give birth to himself every day. -Gabriel García Márquez |
Duddy User ID: 241215 United States 06/01/2007 07:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Atma (OP) User ID: 230367 United States 06/02/2007 07:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Just had another. M1 [link to www.sel.noaa.gov] Looks like its all coming from 960 [link to www.solarmonitor.org] [link to www.lmsal.com] Image: [link to www.spaceweather.com] |
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Atma (OP) User ID: 230367 United States 06/03/2007 06:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MAJOR SOLAR FLARE ALERT Issued: 06:45 UTC, 03 June 2007 Solar Terrestrial Dispatch www.spacew.com Synopsis: Region 10960 (near the east limb) produced an impulsive major class M7.0 solar x-ray flare at 02:12 UTC on 03 June. No significant radio emissions were associated with this event. This region has rotated into view as a developing magnetic beta-gamma-delta sunspot complex. An area of moderate to strong magnetic shear has been identified recently and is supportive of additional minor M-class and isolated major M to X-class solar flare activity. The major flare observed today is not expected to result in any significant influxes of energetic protons. However, the risk for increased populations of energetic protons will become elevated during the next 3 to 5 days as the sunspot complex continues to rotate into a more favorable location on the Sun. No significant coronal mass ejection impact is expected from todays event. But again, the risk for impacts will increase during the next 3 to 5 days as the region rotates into a more sensitive alignment with the Earth. ** End of Alert ** |
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