THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472

I'm in central Florida. My PLAN is to sit here and hope this thing gives St Pete and Tampa the long over due douche it needs so I can go home. I've lived here since 1980 and know exactly where to go for safety.
If you plan on driving, best leave now.

Generator is good.
Got my preps.
Even got some MRE's on the cheap from a friend for this storm season lol.

Too early to panic yet for the mainland. This could easily just spin off to the easy after passing DR/PR and the Turks.

This one is south of PR and the VI.
Will it "thread the Hispanola Needle"?
If so a possible east coast run later next week.

good luck to both of you!

12Z UKMET

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 57.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2019 0 12.4N 57.0W 1009 32
0000UTC 27.08.2019 12 12.9N 59.1W 1007 33
1200UTC 27.08.2019 24 13.9N 61.0W 1006 40
0000UTC 28.08.2019 36 15.2N 63.1W 1002 43
1200UTC 28.08.2019 48 16.6N 64.9W 999 47
0000UTC 29.08.2019 60 18.3N 66.5W 999 49
1200UTC 29.08.2019 72 20.2N 68.2W 992 54
0000UTC 30.08.2019 84 21.8N 70.0W 990 57
1200UTC 30.08.2019 96 23.2N 72.2W 986 58
0000UTC 31.08.2019 108 24.4N 74.8W 981 65
1200UTC 31.08.2019 120 25.0N 77.7W 979 73
0000UTC 01.09.2019 132 26.0N 80.4W 981 65
1200UTC 01.09.2019 144 27.3N 82.9W 987 66

Hoping to land in South Tampa after a devastating storm? Asshole.

Dorian is going to have to overcome a lot of sheer and dry air in order strengthen. This of course assumes the storm misses Hispaniola and those high mountains.

Getting worse?

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dorian, which is approaching the Lesser Antilles.

1. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure area
located about 300 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
has become better defined since yesterday, and is producing winds to
near tropical storm force well southeast of its center. The
associated thunderstorm activity is also showing signs of
organization. Conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form
later today while the system moves slowly northeastward well
offshore of the United States east coast. Additional information on
this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.