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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 12:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region 1319:
67% chance of a M Flare
69% chance of a M Flare

Sunspot Region 1324:
11% chance of a M Flare
08% chance of a M Flare

Sunspot Region 1325:
11% chance of a M Flare
08% chance of a M Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

Know our current regions:
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hiya, NIN, we have 3 newly-numbered regions:

#1326 in the northwest trailing 1319.

#1327-a rapidly growing group of spots in the southern hemisphere near mid-disk.

#1328 in the northeast quadrant just ahead of 1324.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
tomasgod1

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10/21/2011 01:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I had a big charge of energy when the M-class went off so I smoked a joint and I heard cows mooing for hours (6-7) it was really weird.
 Quoting: solar2004 1549798


Try to get out more often.

moo



Hey guys..hi

cool2

Our alignment with Jupiter is on the horizon!

Anyone up for making connections?

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 10/21/2011 01:10 AM
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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Cisco805

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10/21/2011 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
cool2

Our alignment with Jupiter is on the horizon!

Anyone up for making connections?




Is this on the 27th??
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 02:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey there, TOM, nice to see ya.

NOAA unveils new, improved ENLIL CME predictive model.

[link to www.spacedaily.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 02:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
where i live, we had a mass power outage last night around 15min after i posted about the M flare
my daughter drove up to the store and said the power was out all over the place, but in patches through the city
so it was not just 1 transformer
we did not get power back until late this morning when i got on to post
i have to admit, it had me a bit worried
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Is NiNzrez really Kevin Martin?
Obviously.
Why she/he don't want to accept this truth?
No one knows.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1328184

bsflag
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 02:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey there, TOM, nice to see ya.

NOAA unveils new, improved ENLIL CME predictive model.

[link to www.spacedaily.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Can we access this?
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 05:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good morning fellow sun watchers. And a special good morning to those who actually understand all the graphs and translate them here to keep us all informed. :-)
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 05:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can anyone tell me why a couple of the spots start with an "s" and the rest all are strictly numerical? Is there something different about the ones that start with 's'?

[link to www.solen.info]
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 06:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey there, TOM, nice to see ya.

NOAA unveils new, improved ENLIL CME predictive model.

[link to www.spacedaily.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Can we access this?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Here is some information from it:



[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 09:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New Flare peaked as a M 1.3

Beginns :12:53:00 MAX: 13:00:00 END: 13:08:00

from Region 1319

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.lmsal.com]


:flareoct21m1.3:


[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

right before a cme lift off:

Stereo B

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stereo A

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Made a Vid about the latest flare with SDO movies:



[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 12:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can anyone tell me why a couple of the spots start with an "s" and the rest all are strictly numerical? Is there something different about the ones that start with 's'?

[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: Shenue


I'm not sure, hopefully someone has a definitive answer, but I theorize that the "S" stands for Southern hemisphere and the number means it was formerly seen on the last rotation. Just my guess...however S1279 is now active region 1327. I notice SIDC in Belgium uses a different numeration system with color-coding-so it may be an in-house designation peculiar to Solen.info.
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 12:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New Flare peaked as a M 1.3

Beginns :12:53:00 MAX: 13:00:00 END: 13:08:00

from Region 1319

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.lmsal.com]


:flareoct21m1.3:


[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

right before a cme lift off:

Stereo B

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stereo A

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Made a Vid about the latest flare with SDO movies:



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76

M Flare movie-eruptive M1.3 with ejecta.
[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I've been waiting for updates, but there may have been a sizable CME triggered by this flare (not the large farside one). Look at the 8 o'clock position on STEREO A.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 12:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Don't look now but there's another monster sunspot coming over the eastern limb. And 1327 in the south is growing like a mushroom. Be sure to click for zoom on this hi-resolution HMI image.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
zacksavage

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10/21/2011 12:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our alignment with Jupiter is on the horizon!

Anyone up for making connections?
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Hey there Tom,...

I'm game.



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 01:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
where i live, we had a mass power outage last night around 15min after i posted about the M flare
my daughter drove up to the store and said the power was out all over the place, but in patches through the city
so it was not just 1 transformer
we did not get power back until late this morning when i got on to post
i have to admit, it had me a bit worried
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Is NiNzrez really Kevin Martin?
Obviously.
Why she/he don't want to accept this truth?
No one knows.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1328184


lookie here
one of my glp stalkers decided to come over to my thread for harassment
geesh
slaphim
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 01:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New Flare peaked as a M 1.3

Beginns :12:53:00 MAX: 13:00:00 END: 13:08:00

from Region 1319

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.lmsal.com]


:flareoct21m1.3:


[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

right before a cme lift off:

Stereo B

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stereo A

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Made a Vid about the latest flare with SDO movies:



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


adding this to the main post update :)
thanks for the updated info IWTB :)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 01:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can anyone tell me why a couple of the spots start with an "s" and the rest all are strictly numerical? Is there something different about the ones that start with 's'?

[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: Shenue


good morning Shenue :)
the area on the solar disk you see that start with an "S" are regions that have not yet produced a sunspot, but are regions to watch for the production of a sunspot
they are numbered once they produce a sunspot within the region
and, we should keep in mind that there has been Flares from un-numbered regions in the past
:)
Hugh M Eye

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10/21/2011 01:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can anyone tell me why a couple of the spots start with an "s" and the rest all are strictly numerical? Is there something different about the ones that start with 's'?

[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: Shenue


I'm not sure, hopefully someone has a definitive answer, but I theorize that the "S" stands for Southern hemisphere and the number means it was formerly seen on the last rotation. Just my guess...however S1279 is now active region 1327. I notice SIDC in Belgium uses a different numeration system with color-coding-so it may be an in-house designation peculiar to Solen.info.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was wrong about the "S", but right about the rest. Solen.info is a private Solar report hosted by Jan Alvestad. His website says "Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count" and "data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots." and "numbers in the...active region map are historic SWPC/USAF numbers." So "S" stands for Solen or STAR or Spot-and is his own designation for un-numbered regions/spots. Mr. Alvestad does a marvelous and thorough job keeping track of this info. I suggest NASA put him in charge of SOHO, lol. Check out his homepage:

[link to www.solen.info]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 02:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Don't look now but there's another monster sunspot coming over the eastern limb. And 1327 in the south is growing like a mushroom. Be sure to click for zoom on this hi-resolution HMI image.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


as expected :)

new sunspot region 1324 - is former sunspot region 1302
going back 26 days, we come to the date of Sept 25th
look on spaceweather and go to the archives for that date, and we see this
[link to spaceweather.com]
there you can see sunspot 1302
here are the flares that 1302 produced on its last visit
in order from 1st to last:

X1.4 Flare on 9/22/2011 @ 11:01 UTC - sunspot 1302
X1.9 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 09:40 UTC - sunspot 1302
M7.1 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 13:20 UTC - sunspot 1302 (LDE EVENT 3+hrs)
M3.1 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 17:24 UTC - sunspot 1302
M2.8 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 18:05 UTC - sunspot 1302
M3.0 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 19:21 UTC - sunspot 1302
M5.8 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 20:36 UTC - sunspot 1302
M4.4 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 02:33 UTC - sunspot 1302 & sunspot 1303
M7.4 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 04:50 UTC - sunspot 1302
M3.1 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 08:49 UTC - sunspot 1302
M3.7 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 15:33 UTC - sunspot 1302
M1.1 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 16:18 UTC - sunspot 1302
M2.2 Flare on 9/25/2011 @ 16:58 UTC - sunspot 1302
M4.0 Flare on 9/26/2011 @ 15:08 UTC - sunspot 1302
M2.6 Flare on 9/26/2011 @ 14:46 UTC - sunspot 1302
M1.2 Flare on 9/28/2011 @ 13:28 UTC - sunspot 1302


that new sunspot we can see in your image that will be rotating our direction is likely old region 1305 that was much smaller during it's last rotation and did produce a few decent sized flares then

M1.0 Flare on 9/30/2011 @ 19:06 UTC - sunspot 1305
M1.2 Flare on 10/01/2011 @ 09:59 UTC - sunspot 1305
M3.9 Flare on 10/02/2011 @ 00:50 UTC - sunspot 1305
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 02:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
with the new flares and the jupiter alignment thats heading into place, we now see the rise in larger quakes

7.6 2011/10/21 17:57:18 -28.941 -176.046 39.8 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION

6.1 2011/10/21 08:02:38 43.889 142.477 185.0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

that makes 2 red level quakes for today so far

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 10/21/2011 02:21 PM
Ragman (Rags)

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10/21/2011 02:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Telegraph
zacksavage

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10/21/2011 02:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
with the new flares and the jupiter alignment thats heading into place, we now see the rise in larger quakes

7.6 2011/10/21 17:57:18 -28.941 -176.046 39.8 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION

6.1 2011/10/21 08:02:38 43.889 142.477 185.0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

that makes 2 red level quakes for today so far
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Incredible NiN,...

You Go Girl!!!!


woohoo
Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Telegraph
 Quoting: Ragman (Rags)


heyyyy Ragman :)
how did i know that with the increase in solar activity, we would see you popping in

dasbier

pull up a chair
this ride is going to get good
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 02:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
with the new flares and the jupiter alignment thats heading into place, we now see the rise in larger quakes

7.6 2011/10/21 17:57:18 -28.941 -176.046 39.8 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION

6.1 2011/10/21 08:02:38 43.889 142.477 185.0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

that makes 2 red level quakes for today so far
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Incredible NiN,...

You Go Girl!!!!


woohoo
Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


its hard to remember everything
especially with the news overload syndrome most of us suffer from
but if we try hard to remember all that we have learned on this thread from the time it was created
we will see that collectively, on this thread, along with Gabe's and ElQ's threads, we have all already found the connections to all these events
it's just a mater of putting it all together

look at the dates we had all the last mass flare activity
then cross that with what was the pinned threads on glp then, and with what quakes we had then, and with what other interesting news was being talked about then
scheming

here is a link to glp pin threads for Sept 24th and 25th
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

now, what interesting pinned headlines do we see...
hummmmm

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 10/21/2011 02:43 PM
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 02:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It's true. We have learned a lot here. It is and was what I was looking for.

That's why I love this thread. We have connected the dots.
zacksavage

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10/21/2011 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
its hard to remember everything
especially with the news overload syndrome most of us suffer from
but if we try hard to remember all that we have learned on this thread from the time it was created
we will see that collectively, on this thread, along with Gabe's and ElQ's threads, we have all already found the connections to all these events
it's just a mater of putting it all together

look at the dates we had all the last mass flare activity
then cross that with what was the pinned threads on glp then, and with what quakes we had then, and with what other interesting news was being talked about then
scheming
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You are clearly on to something,...you and your sun-kindred here in this thread have done a phenomenal job at extrapolating pertinent data into something understandable,...and quite exciting for the layman/woman.

You do all those a great service who do not have the time or perhaps wits to put it all together like you do.

But we all have our little specialties to share:)


Namaste
Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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10/21/2011 02:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yep, and finally i will marry her...hehe

sry, have to go nooooooow^^ (quakes are dont waiting..^^)


that was my fav song last time




[link to www.youtube.com]
zacksavage

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10/21/2011 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yep, and finally i will marry her...hehe

sry, have to go nooooooow^^ (quakes are dont waiting..^^)


that was my fav song last time




[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Cool song Bro,...but, hm,...

Why do you get to have her??chuckle



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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10/21/2011 04:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the sun-jupiter alignments:

there was Jupiter aligned with Earth & the Sun on Feb 27th, 2010 when the Chilean Earthquake occurred

The 8.8 magnitude February 27, 2010 Chile earthquake and tsunami cost 525 lives

there was Jupiter aligned with the Sun and Saturn on March 11th 2011

thats when we saw the 9.0 quake in japan
no need to add info for this one as we all know to well the info

here is a list of the largest quakes in history by magnitude
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Here is a list of the largest solar flares ever recorded
[link to spaceweather.com]

here is a solar viewer that you can add any date into and see where the planets were that date
[link to www.solarsystemscope.com]

it is interesting to see where that 2 large bodies, Jupiter and Saturn were during those dates
NORMAL GUY

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10/21/2011 04:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the sun-jupiter alignments:

there was Jupiter aligned with Earth & the Sun on Feb 27th, 2010 when the Chilean Earthquake occurred

The 8.8 magnitude February 27, 2010 Chile earthquake and tsunami cost 525 lives

there was Jupiter aligned with the Sun and Saturn on March 11th 2011

thats when we saw the 9.0 quake in japan
no need to add info for this one as we all know to well the info

here is a list of the largest quakes in history by magnitude
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Here is a list of the largest solar flares ever recorded
[link to spaceweather.com]

here is a solar viewer that you can add any date into and see where the planets were that date
[link to www.solarsystemscope.com]

it is interesting to see where that 2 large bodies, Jupiter and Saturn were during those dates
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Any correlation with the 7.5 today? And as allways good thread! Are you getting back close to 100% BTW?
The most perfect place to be is... With your own thought,s on a silent mountain with the sun on your back, a breeze on your face and peace in your soul......





GLP