SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

in a swiss news paper is the report about the sunflare!

Hi Nin

First I want to thank you and all the others here for the great amount of information and dedication.
I follow this thread daily and it's very exciting sometimes.
I'm still learning about all this sun stuff and the planets etc.


My personal (uneducated) vieuw on this is that I think that the days around 13 and 18 august are going to be interesting days, because of the full moon on the thirteenth and the alignment of earth, mercury, sun and venus, with elenin on 90 degrees on the eighteenth.

Am I right?


I have also some questions: is it possible for sunspot 1263 to come around the sun again, and will it still be that big? And how long will it take if he did?

Antenna array is up and running again. We are back in business folks.

Sun rotation information:

The web address is here:
[link to www.windows2universe.org]

We can tell how quickly the surface of the Sun is rotating by observing the motion of structures, such as sunspots, on the Sun's visible surface. The regions of the Sun near its equator rotate once every 25 days. The Sun's rotation rate decreases with increasing latitude, so that its rotation rate is slowest near its poles. At its poles the Sun rotates once every 36 days!

The interior of the Sun does not spin the same way as does its surface. Scientists believe that the inner regions of the Sun, including the Sun's core and radiative zone, do rotate more like a solid body. The outer parts of the Sun, from the convective zone outward, rotate at different rates that vary with latitude. The boundary between the inner parts of the Sun that spin together as a whole and the outer parts that spin at different rates is called the "tachocline".

The behavior of the Sun's magnetic field is strongly influenced by the combination of convective currents, which bring the charged plasma from deep within the Sun to the Sun's surface, and the differential rotation of the outer layers of the Sun. The complex, swirling motions that result make a tangled mess of magnetic field lines at the Sun's surface. Differential rotation is apparently the main driver of the 11-year sunspot cycle and the associated 22-year solar cycle. The notion that differential rotation and convective motion drive these cycles was first put forth in 1961 by the American astronomer Horace Babcock, and is now known as the Babcock Model.

[link to www.pittsburghlive.com]

Seems like the media is giving more coverage to possible sun doom....
....or is it that I'm just paying more attention?

quite a bit going on today on the sun
i thought i would give an update on what we see today
here is a photo where you can see the regions on the sun so that we can all follow where to look on the following photos
[link to www.solen.info]

sunspot 1263 is about to rotate of the western edge (to the far right)
but it is not going quietly
here is a few photos of what 1263 loos like right now
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

the two dark lines we see in the southern section are filaments that we are watching for any instability as they are earth facing

we have a prominance section in the far northern section that has been dancing around all day today
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

at region S1159 we can see a small flare that looks to have a CME associated with it
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

we also have another Coronal Hole that has rotated earth's direction
Solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal should reach Earth on or about Aug. 14th (dark area to the left)
[link to spaceweather.com]

we will see the effects of this CH on the magnetosphere simulation when it reaches earth
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
also there is a lot of question about the last 2 CME from 1263 and if they will be geoeffective or not.
watch the nict. If we do get one, it will show up on here when it arrives. I suspect we indeed will see some CME effects

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)
August 7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO or STEREO imagery.
August 8: The M3.5 flare in region 11263 produced a fast partial halo CME.
August 9: The X6.9 event in region 11263 was associated with a fast full halo CME.
[link to www.solen.info]

NOAA report from yesterday:
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled for the next three
days (10-12 August). Unsettled conditions are expected on Day 1 (10
August) as a weak remnant of the 08 August CME arrives. Currently,
a return to mostly quiet conditions is expected on Days 2 and 3
(11-12 August). Analysis of the 09/0906Z CME is presently underway
to determine its potential geoeffectiveness.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

awsome!

keep us updates ElQ

San Andreas agitation noted in recent flurry of tremors
"A recent flurry of small earthquakes ranging from 2.5 magnitude to 3.4 over the last 24 hours shows agitation along the fault has increased."
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

it is quite possible. im watching that date range and posted about it a few pages back.
if sunspot region 1263 does not decay while in rotation through the other side of the sun, then it will rotate back our direction
it takes the sun around 26 to 28 days to make a full rotation
so using that info we can safely assume that 1263 will be rotating back our direction in around 14-16 days
because it needs to make a half rotation to come back around

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 08/10/2011 03:02 PM

Our solar system is in a giant magnetic field called the Heliosphere. Basically, it is the solar winds. The solar winds flow out in the form of a protecting magnetic bubble.

The edge of the Heliosphere, is called the boundary and is where the solar winds meet interstellar space.

The boundary of the Heliosphere protects the solar system from foreign particles from super novas, etc. They come in the form of clouds. Only the most energetic can make it through our Heliosphere.

Some call it a magnetic ribbon but whatever you name it, its here. And its effecting our entire solar system just like a CME would if it penetrated our magnetosphere.

Known and unknown particles are bombarding us also. DNA changing particles.

So if you have been feeling differently lately.... this could be it.


Just my thoughts to share.....

OOps ... posted on the wrong thread... sorry Nin.

not at all, it is a good post :)

Latest Stereo B Elenin Movie pics!

Here is a composit of the clips taken from
August 1st through the 5th.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

August 6th Stereo B HI1 colorized.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

August 7th Stereo B HI1 colorized.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

August 8th Stereo B HI1 colorized.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]



Stereo website "observing Comet Elenin"
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/10/2011 04:55 PM

Thank you very much Joinca. Learning sun this way is fun :-)

Ok that's clear. I'll keep that date in mind. Around 28 of august.
Thanks fore your info. I'll keep hanging around here if you don't mind.
I like this thread.

I don't know if anyone has noticed, but the last time we had an X-Flare was on March 9th, 2011...2 M-Flares were before it and 2 days later we had the Japan EQ on 3/11/11

March
2 M Flares on 3/9/2011
1 X Flare on 3/9/2011

Now we just had another X-Flare on August 9th, 2011...2 M-Flares were before it (24 hour period) Does this mean that 2 days from that we will have another big EQ?? Hmmm, that would be 8/11/11 ... and the dates almost look the exact same (just close the three):

3/11/11
8/11/11

August
X6.9 Flare on 8/9/2011 @ 08:08 UTC
M2.5 Flare on 8/9/2011 @ 03:54 UTC
M3.5 Flare on 8/8/2011 @ 18:00 UTC

Just saying...

pull up a seat and join the fun :)

we have noticed that this past week mirrored the events before the Japan event
your right in pointing this X and m's out in comparison
and the dates... hmmmmmm
all very interesting
now i will be a little creped out if we have another big quake on the 11th
mainly cause of the 11 11 sequence we see here
guess we will see

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 08/10/2011 05:56 PM

here is an interesting article from today

How NASA Is Preparing for the Next Solar Flare
“The sun is doing a scattershot,” says Micheal Hesse, chief of NASA’s Space Weather Laboratory at the Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland. “It’s been shooting out some pretty fast CMEs in all sorts of directions, and so far very few of them have really gone our way. Sooner or later, the sun will get it right, and we’ll have a little excitement here.”
[link to spaceweathermonitor.wordpress.com]

I don't think on the eleven, but maybe between the 13th and the 27th.

I'm based on a theory about what causes solar flares is the same that causes EQs, so they both seem "cause effect" but only in appearance. Planetary alignments and position wrt the galactic center are the triggers. But a noticeable EQ is totally on the menu in the next 15 days.
The question now is where.

I LOVE this thread

Its the first one I check when I get on GLP

Thankyou to all who contribute. Its been the best way to learn about the sun

I created this gif from the Elenin Aug 6th Stereo B mov. Since there were only 6 frames to their movie I think cropping,looping, and blowing it up a little helps.










Images courtesy of NASA Stereo
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/10/2011 07:34 PM

Hi NiN,


I left your iguana outside during the X flare, I think it got a little too much UV exposure..oops!






Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/10/2011 08:00 PM

awesome tomas.. thks

So I was curiously looking back through the archives of the global absorption charts, and I tried checking the charts from the time of the Japan EQ, but there was no data for that time frame!!! WTF.... I wanted to know what it looked like so I know what to watch out for tomorrow :(

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Oh Tits on 08/10/2011 09:06 PM

a solar flare mutation of my lizard
loves it!

Would anyone happen to have the charts for that time period? I figure it was blood red in the area, but I'd just like to see the comparison between the progression and regression times of the hit to have some heads up on what's coming our way tomorrow.