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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 1705984
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09/23/2011 12:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looking to see if there was any M or X flares while i was in the hospital, so that i could properly update my solar thread... and look what i came across
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]
click on any date on the calander to the left, and your info is for that date
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks for reminding me-interesting site. Did you notice this page here:
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]

They predict geomagnetic disturbances for SEPT. 30 & OCT. 9!! WTF?
wtfhiding [link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


awesom site for tracking this info
but how could they know about a disturbance for Oct 9th?
any event that would disturbe us on oct 9th would not have even taken place yet
hiding
 Quoting: NiNzrez

I first saw that about a week ago and not much was happening; and then BAM-CMEs, M's, X's-I was wondering if the Russians have spaceweather remote viewers or psycho-nauts. LOLspock
Mahala

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09/23/2011 12:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just in case there is a slow time(which I doubt by looking at things) here's a link to the satellite. [link to www.infosatellites.com]
I'll be heading for bed here in a bit and thought I would leave this for you guys. I have to work tomorrow. Yeah. Love the PW jobs. Keep your heads safe and tc! Talk with you guys tomorrow evening. If we're still around. LOL
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
joinca

User ID: 1387891
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09/23/2011 12:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Latest UARS update:

[link to www.n2yo.com]

UPDATE #9 - As of 9:30 p.m. EDT Sept. 22, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 110 mi by 115 mi (175 km by 185 km). Re-entry is possible sometime during the afternoon or early evening of Sept. 23, Eastern Daylight Time. The satellite will not be passing over North America during that time period. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any more certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 24 hours.
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 324
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 23 0448 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2011 Sep 23 0600 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Sep 24 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

you can see the rise on the proton flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

lookie there
Tom right again
banana2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
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09/23/2011 04:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning allgrouphug

Today we have a C9.6,M1.6 and a C2.7

38 gev_20110923_0029 2011/09/23 00:29:00 00:37:00 00:33:00 C9.6 N09E89 ( 1302 )
39 gev_20110923_0147 2011/09/23 01:47:00 01:59:00 01:59:00 M1.6 N24W64 ( 1295)
40 gev_20110923_0813 2011/09/23 08:13:00 08:19:00 08:15:00 C2.7 N22W68 (1295 )
[link to www.lmsal.com]


and atm a new one is climbing...:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


have a look at this also:
[link to www.gdgps.net]


Inosphere is heating up a bit..not like the disturbance yesterday but its worth to watch:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 1719923
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09/23/2011 05:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Long Live OTOC.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1196726


he comes in here now and then :)
always glad to see his posts
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He has posted that he is going into the hospital to die , from an inoperable brain tumor. On a forum that I can not post from.
 Quoting: SnaFuBar


Man i hope that isnt so....damn..keep us posted if ya hear anything more...i always enjoy reading his great post...super kewl person
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 06:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New region 1302 was numbered yesterday as you all know.. The group is a EKI type and the size is 480 millionths of the solar disc. It is a Beta Gamma magnetic type. This group also produced a M1 solar flare about one hour before the X class flare.

Region 1302 is the only group out of the 5 visible that is growing in size at the moment







:newspot1302:
Image shows region 1302
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 923851
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09/23/2011 06:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New region 1302 was numbered yesterday as you all know.. The group is a EKI type and the size is 480 millionths of the solar disc. It is a Beta Gamma magnetic type. This group also produced a M1 solar flare about one hour before the X class flare.

Region 1302 is the only group out of the 5 visible that is growing in size at the moment







:newspot1302:
Image shows region 1302
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Them are some big SOB`s...DooM on...
aether

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09/23/2011 06:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A new supernova explosion highlights the same old gravity problems.
Sep 23, 2011

On August 24, 2011 astronomers from the Palomar Transient Factory discovered the first type 1A supernova seen in decades. Type 1A class stellar explosions (or, implosions) are important to how astronomers view the Universe for two reasons: their light-curves, or graphs of their intensity over time, are considered to be so predictable that they can be used as cosmic measuring rods, with a theoretical accuracy of 1000 mega-parsecs (3.26 billion light years), and those measurement at such great distances can be useful in determining the so-called “expansion rate” of the Universe.

It was through the use of such data that a theory of “dark energy” was first considered. By taking the “accurate” redshift readings of type 1A supernovae at cosmological distances, it was discovered that the velocity of expansion was accelerating. Since all the matter in the Universe (along with all of another dark concept, “dark matter”) cannot provide enough inertia to cause that impetus, dark energy was created in order to make up for the missing 70%. As with dark matter, dark energy is undetectable by any instrument.

Many previous Picture of the Day articles have pointed out that stars are not simplistic balls of gravitationally compressed hot gas, they are composed of plasma. Plasma is ionized, meaning that one or more electrons have been stripped from the atoms in its substance, so it is electrically charged. Plasma does not behave like a pressurized gas, it behaves according to the tenets of plasma physics.
 Quoting: science

[link to www.thunderbolts.info]

if gravity is the result of electromagnetic effects earthquakes form new meaning within our authorities developing paradigm
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
Netherlands
09/23/2011 06:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hello NiN, good having you back; You are a tough one!
I have maybe a stupid question and fur sure off- topic but it's burning on my toungetounge
Does your son still get his frog?
I love frogs!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1550846
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09/23/2011 06:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New region 1302 was numbered yesterday as you all know.. The group is a EKI type and the size is 480 millionths of the solar disc. It is a Beta Gamma magnetic type. This group also produced a M1 solar flare about one hour before the X class flare.

Region 1302 is the only group out of the 5 visible that is growing in size at the moment







:newspot1302:
Image shows region 1302
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Them are some big SOB`s...DooM on...
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


cheer
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
09/23/2011 08:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
latest climbing peaked at 12:15 gives us a C3.2

2011/09/23 12:10:00 12:23:00 12:15:00 C3.2 N29W52 ( 1296 )

[link to www.lmsal.com]
MamaHasAwakened

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09/23/2011 09:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Appears Real Time Magnetoshpere Simulation is down. Showing data from yesterday.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Boceph

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09/23/2011 09:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
morning everyone ... someone started a thread on this :

Thread: Why has the Real-time Magnetosphere site stopped at 9:08 Yesterday?

i checked too... unless i am doing something wrong.. its not

reporting
Boceph

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09/23/2011 09:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
oh.. mama beat me
MamaHasAwakened

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09/23/2011 09:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Boceph,
You got the thread to back it up though!
tounge
Nomad
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South Africa
09/23/2011 09:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A similar storm could be in the offing this week. Another CME is heading toward Earth, and it appears likely to deliver a glancing blow on Sept. 22nd around 23:00 UT. Sky watchers above and below should be alert for auroras

Did the Cme already hit or is it still coming
TruthSeeker66

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09/23/2011 09:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm just sick that the Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation isn't working/updating. I probably use that site more than any other.

I wish these idiots would realize that omission leads to conspiracy wide worst case scenarios, orhuffy maybe they already have....
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 10:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm just sick that the Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation isn't working/updating. I probably use that site more than any other.

I wish these idiots would realize that omission leads to conspiracy wide worst case scenarios, orhuffy maybe they already have....
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66



Also SOHO in Lasco 2 and 3 has many hrs of missing fottage something fishy is going on!!!


wtf
joinca

User ID: 1387891
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09/23/2011 10:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Great real time site to watch the last of the UARS satellite today:

[link to www.infosatellites.com]
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Boceph

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09/23/2011 10:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
sorry got kicked off... morning to you too

I guess if the data doesn't get updated we can just look for something coming 24-72 hours after that huh???

Last Edited by Boceph on 09/23/2011 10:19 AM
TruthSeeker66

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09/23/2011 10:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Great real time site to watch the last of the UARS satellite today:

[link to www.infosatellites.com]
 Quoting: joinca


When you check off the "Draw Orbit" box there is red dot in the Gulf of Guinea. Do you know if that is some kind of indication of where they believe it will go down ?
joinca

User ID: 1387891
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09/23/2011 10:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The red dots are the path of the satellite.
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
TruthSeeker66

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09/23/2011 10:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The red dots are the path of the satellite.
 Quoting: joinca


Yes I realize that, but when I use the tracking device to show orbit, a LONE red dot is off the east coast of Africa in the Gulf of Guinea, which looks like it is in UARS orbital path later on today.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 12:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1295:
Chance of M Flare - 50%
Chance of X Flare - 51%

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of M Flare - 60%
Chance of X Flare - 63%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


Overall solar Flare Probability = 65%
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1282684
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09/23/2011 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1295:
Chance of M Flare - 50%
Chance of X Flare - 51%

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of M Flare - 60%
Chance of X Flare - 63%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


Overall solar Flare Probability = 65%
 Quoting: NiNzrez



either of them earth facing for the day?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hello NiN, good having you back; You are a tough one!
I have maybe a stupid question and fur sure off- topic but it's burning on my toungetounge
Does your son still get his frog?
I love frogs!
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


hahaha getting a new aquarium and yes, still gettin a frog ^^
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey NIN

:NINzhelpOUT:
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 12:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1295:
Chance of M Flare - 50%
Chance of X Flare - 51%

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of M Flare - 60%
Chance of X Flare - 63%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


Overall solar Flare Probability = 65%
 Quoting: NiNzrez



either of them earth facing for the day?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


Both are Earth facing

Region 11295 [N23W62]
is likely to produce further M class flares as there's still a magnetic delta structure in the eastern part of the region.

New region 11302 [N13E76]
rotated partly into view at the northeast limb on September 21 and was numbered the next day by SWPC. Further X class flares are possible as this is a magnetically complex region, particularly in the trailing spot section. Flare: X1.4/2N long duration event peaking at 11:01 UTC. The shock wave from this event was global (observed in the corona all around the visible disk). The CME was very wide and was observed as full halo in STEREO A and B and LASCO (asymmetrical). Due to its origin near the northeast limb it is difficult to estimate the CME arrival time at Earth. Proton flux levels have been increasing slowly since the event and a proton event could start later today (possibly with contribution from events in region 11295 as well)


September 22:
An unusually large and wide CME was observed after the X1.4 event in region 11302. While it is rare that limb events cause geomagnetic storming, this CME could when it arrives, probably on September 25.

[link to www.solen.info]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 12:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey NIN

:NINzhelpOUT:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


awww hahaha thats cute ^^





GLP