SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Wow, take a look at the Proton spike around 02.00 UTC (2013-06-21).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Protons on the rise:

Yes, but take a look at the explosion on ACE:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I did but I've had to scour the thread trying to figure out the difference between the two charts - or are they measuring the same kind of protons?

PS words can't even express how much I
appreciate all the contributors of this thread! Thank you from the bottom of my heart - you've helped me so much over the past year on this awesome journey - knowing/feeling our connection with the Sun and cosmic weather but pining to know why and how!

Peace and love everyone!! :)

A big Muwah!!!!to the very kind soul that removed my "dimwit" red karma, and thanks to all who made up for it. Our GLP family is Sup Cool!!!

Nin, or anyone...any idea what the average number of high energy proton events is per year? Is there a chart/link anywhere. By the way, it is GORGEOUS out there today, slight overcast so I can actually sit in the sun, lowish temps, nice breeze, perfect start to summer.

Edit: answered my own question, its 0-8 per solar cycle

omnidirectional
fluence exceeding 6 x 109 cm-2 are very rare.
However, the number of very large fluence solar proton
events per solar cycle is extremely variable, ranging from 0 to
8 per solar cycle.
[link to hesperia.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Now, the question is, how many proton events have we had this year and this solar cycle?

This link lists two big ones for 2012 but they don't indicate the >MeV they are using to determine them, just how much ozone got depleted.
[link to onlinelibrary.wiley.com]

Found this chart, have to get familiar with it.
[link to www.ips.gov.au]

HERE IT IS: SPE's Graph, archived back to 1950, just scroll down a bit

[link to www.preparingforthegreatshift.org]

Last Edited by Isis One on 06/22/2013 02:53 PM

Thread: Solar wind speed: 660.6 km/sec!!!!!!!!!!!!!!3 6s Revelations 16:8


yea I am Goofy but wow

New region coming into view...


[link to www.solarham.net]


My Supermoon picture last night....

[link to www.flickr.com]

Thread: *** Thanks to the HAARP disinfo trolls (dutchsine et all) auroral research instrument data is now no longer public! **

Hey guys, looks like the pheonix object is back! 2013-06-22 15:12 on LASCO C2. Seen this object several times over the years now and looks identical everytime. Surely it can't be a lense/image malfunction all the time right? Anyway...you guys on here ROCK!! Keep up the good work for all us lurkers here.

Nin, Hugh, Shad, CS, - with the proton graphs - is the ACE data different from the GOES data?

I know one of you can help me :)

Thanks in advance guys! Peace and love!

it only showed up in one image
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

Solar flare in progress

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by BloodyT3CH on 06/23/2013 04:59 PM

yes... M2.9

I think from 1778 region

it faded sooo fast...

Very impulsive.

AC, great sleuthing work!! I don't know if this relates but, there is a planet in one frame showing up around the same vincinity the next day, check the frame for 6-23-13 01:12 and let me know what you think.

I think 1778 also.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

Yeah boiiiii! just got home from work and saw the m a few hours ago. Good news to come home to, twas a fine day.

IS the planet in the background on stereo A mercury?

How do I find out the current planetary alighment in relation to the satalites i'm trying to work out if that is earth directed?

also helioviewer.org won't load any images for me, anyone else confirm?

Howdy, Sol1d Int3l , thanks for asking. Now I'm only an amateur observer, so any physics majors out there want to chime in, please feel free to do so. YES, the the two spacecraft have different detectors and each has a unique location for sampling the solar protons. The ACE probe actually has two different proton plots, a low energy (EPAMp) and a high-energy (SIS); and it's location about a million miles sunward of Earth lets it sample the solar wind and transient event protons before they reach Earth.

ACE data plot menu: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES, on the other hand, is situated in geosynchronous orbit around Earth and is normally inside the Magnetosphere. GOES detects the higher energy protons which have managed to penetrate the magnetosphere. As you can see, the 3-colored lines represent a different energy level and often only the red one moves. Recently the red line has passed the "event threshold" and a NOAA Alert has been issued-
Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1
Serial Number: 302
Issue Time: 2013 Jun 23 2026 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2013 Jun 23 2010 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

GOES Proton Flux plot:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Also a spaceweather warning-

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2112
Issue Time: 2013 Jun 23 2248 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2013 Jun 23 2250 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Jun 24 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 06/23/2013 08:06 PM

The links are right there on the latest images page. On the far left margin-WHERE IS STEREO:
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

And the last item under resources-WHAT PLANETS ARE CURRENTLY VISIBLE?:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Here's live model of the solar system today you may find useful:

[link to www.theplanetstoday.com]

By the way, what are you trying to see if it's earth-directed? You didn't tell us yet.

Good work, Isis One, here's the Solarsoft close-up movie of the impulsive M2.9 flare from AR1778:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Lots of ejecta for an impulsive-type flare!-
:M2ejecta:

Lotsa Spots Today...SS# creeps up to 137. Welcome our new friend, AR1778 (M2.9)-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 175 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Jun 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Jun
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1770 S15W63 254 0020 Hsx 01 02 Alpha
1772 S22W66 257 0140 Cao 09 05 Beta
1773 N04W47 238 0010 Bxo 10 05 Beta
1774 S17W50 241 0020 Hrx 04 04 Alpha
1775 S26W32 223 0180 Dsc 06 06 Beta-Gamma
1776 N11W63 254 0160 Dso 10 11 Beta-Gamma
1777 S15E29 162 0170 Hsx 03 01 Alpha
1778 S16E61 130 0100 Cao 03 04 Beta
:1778:

NOAA Discussion and Recap-
Solar Activity .24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The
largest event of the period was an impulsive M2/1n flare from Region
1778 (S16E61, Cao/beta) at 23/2056 UTC. Minor lower frequency radio
emissions were observed with this event. SDO/AIA 304 imagery observed
material movement off the SE limb originating from the vicinity of the
flare. Additional imagery was not available at the time of this report
to determine any Earth-directed CME component with this event. Regions
1774 (S17W50, Hrx/alpha) and 1778 showed minor growth while the other
regions on the disk were either stable or decaying.

Energetic Particle-24 hr Summary..

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit reached S1
(Minor) solar radiation storm levels at 23/2010 UTC with a maximum of 11
pfu reached at 23/2350 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at moderate to high levels throughout the
period and reached a maximum flux of 1610 pfu at 23/1915 UTC.

Solar Wind-24 hr Summary...

Solar wind parameters, measured at ACE, were indicative of continued
coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) and CME effects. Solar wind
speed was initially steady near 625 km/s and increased to around 773
km/s at 23/0400 UTC with arrival of the 21 Jun CME. After the initial
shock, wind speed gradually tapered off to end-of-period values around
575 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field Bt values ranged from 3 nT
to 8 nT while the Bz component ranged from +7 nT to -8 nT. The phi
angle remained in a predominately negative (toward) sector throughout
the period.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

WOW, I didn't even know a CME arrival was expected today.

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

A Big 'Thanks!" to all of the great posters, both old and new, who keep the SOLAR WATCH going strong.


Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 06/23/2013 09:07 PM

Thanks Hugh, good teachers on this thread. Also, like the last Mflare, I think if the mag field lines get a hold of any of that ejecta, it might be somewhat earthbound again.

I know you guys stay safe in here so wanted to share in case I did this to you


Thread: To my GLP Cyber Family , I am sorry, please forgive me

Goofy, I've never seen you be judgmental, guessw its OK to check it out, but your inner self knows if your intent is legit.