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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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04/19/2017 05:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Spectacular long duration Eruption & Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) Angry Sunspot Returns

SPECTACULAR CME: Old sunspot AR2644 has returned--and it is still active. On April 18th at approximately 2000 UT, the sunspot's magnetic canopy exploded and hurled a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) into space.

This CME will probably miss Earth. The explosion's epicenter was too far off the Sun-Earth line for a direct hit. However, NOAA analysts are still evaluating the possibility of a glancing blow.


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Anonymous Coward
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04/19/2017 06:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ah that OLD SUN....Whole different levels of beingness, higher soul=matrix Deva, bazillions of years in service, through the angel classes and becoming this wonderful, most beautiful creation .....looking right into you

Our Sun sings a new song, constantly, in different notes. Hence the different colors ... echoes in light matter of that sound frequencies.

I hope that Everyone chimes and are adjusting their own chord to him.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73409984


^^Love It^^
hf
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2017 11:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2651 (N13E57, Dao/Beta)
was the sole numbered active region with spots, though remained largely
inactive. The long duration C5 flare occurred at 18/1921 UTC was
determined to have an associated CME, though model output suggests a
trajectory clearly off the Sun-Earth line.

SOHO/LASCO C3 animation of CME:
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class
flare activity and a slight chance for an M-class flare (R1-R2) over the
next three days (20-22 Apr)
.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1095
Issue Time: 2017 Apr 20 0301 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2017 Apr 20 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 1341
Issue Time: 2017 Apr 20 0138 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2017 Apr 20 0138 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Apr 20 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 04/19/2017 11:18 PM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
madajs.

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04/20/2017 04:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Kp 6-

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]

Gotta say, 2017 has been pretty decent for geomagnetic activity
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Simple27

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04/20/2017 09:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind Sparks Geomagnetic Storms reaching G2 moderate levels

Earth is entering a stream of high-speed solar wind on April 20th, and this is causing G1 to G2-class geomagnetic storms around the poles. NOAA forecasters say there is a 50% chance that these disturbances will continue until April 21st as our planet moves deeper into the stream. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.


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Simple27

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04/20/2017 03:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Angry Regions Are Here Again: Solar Storm Forecast 04-20-2017

The Sun shows its angry face again as two regions that sent us 7 big flares just two weeks ago rotate back into Earth view. They have already fired off one near M-class flare and launched a non-Earth-directed solar storm. Amateur radio operators should expect possible radio blackouts on the dayside of Earth this week. GPS/GNSS operators should also expect issues near the dawn-dusk terminators. We also have 2 coronal holes sending us fast wind and that means storm conditions are great for aurora!


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Helios Maximus

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04/20/2017 07:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Junk Problem Getting Worse-

Travelling at up to 28,000 kilometres (17,500 miles) per hour, even a minute object impacts with enough energy to damage the surface of a satellite or manned spacecraft.

In 1993, monitoring by ground-based radar showed there to be around 8,000 manmade objects in orbit that were larger than 10 centimetres (4.5 inches) across, a size big enough to inflict catastrophic damage, said Holger Krag, in charge of ESA's space debris office.

"Today, we find in space roughly 5,000 objects with sizes larger than 1 metre (3.25 feet), roughly 20,000 objects with sizes over 10 centimetres... and 750,000 'flying bullets' of around one centimetre (half an inch)," he said.

"For objects larger than one millimetre (0.04 inch), 150 million is our model estimate for that."


Risks of collision are statistically remote, but rise as litter increases and more satellites are deployed.

full report here:
[link to www.yahoo.com (secure)]

alien11spock
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/20/2017 07:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hubble Space Telescope Spots Auroras on Uranus-

The auroras on Jupiter and Saturn are well-studied, but not much is known about the auroras of the giant ice planet Uranus. In 2011, the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope became the first Earth-based telescope to snap an image of the auroras on Uranus.

In 2012 and 2014 a team led by an astronomer from Paris Observatory took a second look at the auroras using the ultraviolet capabilities of the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) installed on Hubble.

They tracked the interplanetary shocks caused by two powerful bursts of solar wind traveling from the sun to Uranus, then used Hubble to capture their effect on Uranus' auroras - and found themselves observing the most intense auroras ever seen on the planet.

more here:
[link to www.spacedaily.com]

jupiter10/2011
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/20/2017 07:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
DOOMSDAY DRILL - NASA, FEMA and Pentagon Prepare for Massive Asteroid Impact!

The Planetary Defense Coordination Office brings in the U.S. Air Force and Department of Defense, as well as the Federal Emergency Management Agency, to initiate discussions about what can be done and prepare the public messaging. Even though much of the public will already know—with all observational data available online and a world of amateurs connected to social media, there’s no hiding an asteroid with a diameter six times that of the one that exploded over Chelyabinsk.

There’s no hope of deflecting or destroying the asteroid—that would not only take more notice, but would also require technology that doesn’t exist yet. And there’s still only a 2% chance it will hit Earth anyway.

But in doomsday exercises, asteroids don’t glide safely past.

With more observations, the small chance of the asteroid hitting Earth is recalculated as an all-but-certainty.

When it’s clear the asteroid’s headed for the west coast of the US, NASA loops in the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES), which is surprised to discover there’s nothing America’s space administration can do to protect them, even with years of notice.

“I was thinking very simplistically, ‘can’t you just nuke the thing to change its path by a degree?’” says Dan Bout, assistant director for response at Cal OES, about his response to the bad news in the doomsday exercise. The physicists told him “No, that’s not something we can do right now.”

Very interesting and in-depth report here:
[link to www.defenseone.com]
scaredsfan
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/20/2017 08:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
DOOMSDAY DRILL - NASA, FEMA and Pentagon Prepare for Massive Asteroid Impact!

The Planetary Defense Coordination Office brings in the U.S. Air Force and Department of Defense, as well as the Federal Emergency Management Agency, to initiate discussions about what can be done and prepare the public messaging. Even though much of the public will already know—with all observational data available online and a world of amateurs connected to social media, there’s no hiding an asteroid with a diameter six times that of the one that exploded over Chelyabinsk.

There’s no hope of deflecting or destroying the asteroid—that would not only take more notice, but would also require technology that doesn’t exist yet. And there’s still only a 2% chance it will hit Earth anyway.

But in doomsday exercises, asteroids don’t glide safely past.

With more observations, the small chance of the asteroid hitting Earth is recalculated as an all-but-certainty.

When it’s clear the asteroid’s headed for the west coast of the US, NASA loops in the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES), which is surprised to discover there’s nothing America’s space administration can do to protect them, even with years of notice.

“I was thinking very simplistically, ‘can’t you just nuke the thing to change its path by a degree?’” says Dan Bout, assistant director for response at Cal OES, about his response to the bad news in the doomsday exercise. The physicists told him “No, that’s not something we can do right now.”

Very interesting and in-depth report here:
[link to www.defenseone.com]
scaredsfan
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Good (and scary) read!

hiding
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Helios Maximus

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04/20/2017 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
DOOMSDAY DRILL - NASA, FEMA and Pentagon Prepare for Massive Asteroid Impact!

The Planetary Defense Coordination Office brings in the U.S. Air Force and Department of Defense, as well as the Federal Emergency Management Agency, to initiate discussions about what can be done and prepare the public messaging. Even though much of the public will already know—with all observational data available online and a world of amateurs connected to social media, there’s no hiding an asteroid with a diameter six times that of the one that exploded over Chelyabinsk.

There’s no hope of deflecting or destroying the asteroid—that would not only take more notice, but would also require technology that doesn’t exist yet. And there’s still only a 2% chance it will hit Earth anyway.

But in doomsday exercises, asteroids don’t glide safely past.

With more observations, the small chance of the asteroid hitting Earth is recalculated as an all-but-certainty.

When it’s clear the asteroid’s headed for the west coast of the US, NASA loops in the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES), which is surprised to discover there’s nothing America’s space administration can do to protect them, even with years of notice.

“I was thinking very simplistically, ‘can’t you just nuke the thing to change its path by a degree?’” says Dan Bout, assistant director for response at Cal OES, about his response to the bad news in the doomsday exercise. The physicists told him “No, that’s not something we can do right now.”

Very interesting and in-depth report here:
[link to www.defenseone.com]
scaredsfan
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Good (and scary) read!

hiding
 Quoting: Simple27


ohyeah
deviltard
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/20/2017 11:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR2651 seems to be quickly decaying following the big CME. However old #2645 is coming over the east limb. It's unusual to see 2 sunspots survive more than one rotation at this point in the cycle.

Old 2645 Returning-
:4/20-old2645:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 111 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Apr 2017
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2651 N12E44 070 0130 Dao 05 05 Beta
2652 N13E60 054 0010 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Isis One

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04/20/2017 11:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR2651 seems to be quickly decaying following the big CME. However old #2645 is coming over the east limb. It's unusual to see 2 sunspots survive more than one rotation at this point in the cycle.

Old 2645 Returning-
:4/20-old2645:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 111 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Apr 2017
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2651 N12E44 070 0130 Dao 05 05 Beta
2652 N13E60 054 0010 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Hugh!!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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04/21/2017 03:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR2651 seems to be quickly decaying following the big CME. However old #2645 is coming over the east limb. It's unusual to see 2 sunspots survive more than one rotation at this point in the cycle.

Old 2645 Returning-
:4/20-old2645:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 111 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Apr 2017
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2651 N12E44 070 0130 Dao 05 05 Beta
2652 N13E60 054 0010 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


ArnoldSunDoom
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
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Simple27

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04/21/2017 01:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
POTENT CORONAL HOLE TURNS TOWARD EARTH: A large hole in the sun's atmosphere is turning toward Earth, and it is spewing a stream of fast-moving solar wind toward our planet.

NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the giant fissure on April 21st: [link to spaceweather.com]

Gaseous material flowing from this coronal hole is expected to reach our planet on April 23rd or 24th and could spark moderately-strong G2-class geomagnetic storms. NOAA forecasters say the odds of a magnetic storm is 75%.
[link to spaceweather.com]


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Simple27

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04/21/2017 01:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SUBSIDING CHANCE OF FLARES: Since it exploded spectacularly on April 19th, sunspot AR2651 has calmed. The sunspot's magnetic field is decaying and, for now, it no longer poses a threat for strong flares.

[link to spaceweather.com]
~*Ride the Wave*~
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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04/21/2017 02:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SUBSIDING CHANCE OF FLARES: Since it exploded spectacularly on April 19th, sunspot AR2651 has calmed. The sunspot's magnetic field is decaying and, for now, it no longer poses a threat for strong flares.

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Simple27


What else is new. Lol
Geoshill


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Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 1344
Issue Time: 2017 Apr 21 2157 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1343
Valid From: 2017 Apr 21 1920 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2017 Apr 22 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Helios Maximus

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04/21/2017 08:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Old 2645 has been numbered 2653. It's decayed into a simple alpha spot since last rotation when it was BGD.

AR2653-
:4/21-AR2653:

Current geomagnetic storming may be due to interplanetary shock wave from the big CME. It just seems to be too early for the CH-HSS.

Coronal Hole map:
[link to www.solarham.net]

Kp Index:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Solar Wind plots:
[link to www.solarham.net]

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 154
Issue Time: 2017 Apr 21 1925 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 22: G1 (Minor) Apr 23: G2 (Moderate) Apr 24: G1 (Minor)


THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/21/2017 08:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
According to NOAA the coronal hole stream isn't forecast to reach Earth until 4/23. No explanation for the current storming and 650 km/s winds.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS effects.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to observe quiet to unsettled levels
under the waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS for the remainder
of day one (21 Apr) and day two (22 Apr). Day three (23 Apr) is expected
see a significant increase in geomagnetic disturbances with the onset of
a negative polarity CH HSS likely producing peak activity of G2
(Moderate) storm levels.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ovation Aurora Forecast:
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
hiding2
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2017 08:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
According to NOAA the coronal hole stream isn't forecast to reach Earth until 4/23. No explanation for the current storming and 650 km/s winds.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS effects.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to observe quiet to unsettled levels
under the waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS for the remainder
of day one (21 Apr) and day two (22 Apr). Day three (23 Apr) is expected
see a significant increase in geomagnetic disturbances with the onset of
a negative polarity CH HSS likely producing peak activity of G2
(Moderate) storm levels.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ovation Aurora Forecast:
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
hiding2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Update [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, were
indicative of waning influence of positive polarity CH HSS early in the
day. After 21/1100 UTC, an enhancement in solar wind parameters,
possibly from the periphery of an 18 Apr CME, was observed through the
rest of the day. Total magnetic field strength (Bt) was near 5 nT until
21/1115 UTC, when a steady increase to a peak of 14 nT at 21/1613 UTC
was observed. Bz was variable between +13/-11 nT, with a maximum
southward value observed at 21/1547 UTC. The solar wind environment
decreased from 550 km/s to a low of 453 km/s around 21/1115 UTC.
Afterward, an abrupt increase in winds speeds to a peak of just under
700 km/s at 21/2050 UTC
. Phi angle transitioned from the positive sector
to the negative sector after 21/1545 UTC.

.Forecast...
Enhancements in the solar wind are likely to be observed over the next
three days due to combined effects of the 18 Apr CME transitioning into
the negative polarity CH HSS over the next three days (22-24 Apr).
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2017 08:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
According to NOAA the coronal hole stream isn't forecast to reach Earth until 4/23. No explanation for the current storming and 650 km/s winds.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS effects.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to observe quiet to unsettled levels
under the waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS for the remainder
of day one (21 Apr) and day two (22 Apr). Day three (23 Apr) is expected
see a significant increase in geomagnetic disturbances with the onset of
a negative polarity CH HSS likely producing peak activity of G2
(Moderate) storm levels.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ovation Aurora Forecast:
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
hiding2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Update [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, were
indicative of waning influence of positive polarity CH HSS early in the
day. After 21/1100 UTC, an enhancement in solar wind parameters,
possibly from the periphery of an 18 Apr CME, was observed through the
rest of the day. Total magnetic field strength (Bt) was near 5 nT until
21/1115 UTC, when a steady increase to a peak of 14 nT at 21/1613 UTC
was observed. Bz was variable between +13/-11 nT, with a maximum
southward value observed at 21/1547 UTC. The solar wind environment
decreased from 550 km/s to a low of 453 km/s around 21/1115 UTC.
Afterward, an abrupt increase in winds speeds to a peak of just under
700 km/s at 21/2050 UTC
. Phi angle transitioned from the positive sector
to the negative sector after 21/1545 UTC.

.Forecast...
Enhancements in the solar wind are likely to be observed over the next
three days due to combined effects of the 18 Apr CME transitioning into
the negative polarity CH HSS over the next three days (22-24 Apr).
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 72544054


.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) storm levels for the
21/1800-2100 synoptic period, due to the likely passage of a transient
feature combined with the onset of a CIR preceding CH HSS influence
.
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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04/21/2017 10:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
According to NOAA the coronal hole stream isn't forecast to reach Earth until 4/23. No explanation for the current storming and 650 km/s winds.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS effects.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to observe quiet to unsettled levels
under the waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS for the remainder
of day one (21 Apr) and day two (22 Apr). Day three (23 Apr) is expected
see a significant increase in geomagnetic disturbances with the onset of
a negative polarity CH HSS likely producing peak activity of G2
(Moderate) storm levels.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ovation Aurora Forecast:
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
hiding2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


I'm with you Hugh, shock waves from that big flare on the 18th causing current kp activity.

Last Edited by Isis One on 04/21/2017 11:06 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
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Simple27

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04/21/2017 10:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

[link to solarham.net]

Last Edited by Simple27 on 04/21/2017 11:00 PM
~*Ride the Wave*~
Isis One

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04/21/2017 11:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


I think that little cme hitting us in couple days is from the filament eruption today. HiS!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Simple27

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04/21/2017 11:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AURORA SURPRISE: In a development forecasters did not expect, the speed of the solar wind around Earth sharply increased on April 21st. Earth responded with a bright display of Arctic lights.

The sudden boost in solar wind speed might have been a sideswipe from the bright CME of April 19th. Ejecta from that explosion appeared on course to miss our planet. Instead, Earth's magnetic field may have received a glancing blow.

[link to spaceweather.com]

bump

sun
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Simple27

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04/21/2017 11:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hi Hi Sis!!

hugs
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Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2017 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AURORA SURPRISE: In a development forecasters did not expect, the speed of the solar wind around Earth sharply increased on April 21st. Earth responded with a bright display of Arctic lights.

The sudden boost in solar wind speed might have been a sideswipe from the bright CME of April 19th. Ejecta from that explosion appeared on course to miss our planet. Instead, Earth's magnetic field may have received a glancing blow.

[link to spaceweather.com]

bump

sun
 Quoting: Simple27


lmaolmaolmao

Everything's a 'Surprise 2 Forecasters'
Simple27

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04/21/2017 11:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
How do you not have a flag??
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Simple27

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04/21/2017 11:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Rhetorical question
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