A BIG ONE ON THE WAY | |
Serendipitous User ID: 17919960 United States 09/28/2012 11:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So you know, I personally never thought there was doom - just a big CME, so from a third party point of view I didn't feel misled. I think it was made clear in the beginning that it wasn't "THE" big one, at least I never thought it was. Just like a "big storm" doesn't mean a Cat 5 hurricane - and it's interesting to watch and see it play out. Anyway, just wanted to thank you Snakebite, Shad and everyone else keeping us in the loop. "May your electricity go out a second before the shit hits the fan." -Conspiracy Theorist's Blessing |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 11:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Please give me valid intelligent argument....how does anything I said make you feel that I am not grown? OOiDUNNO..THEfactTHATyouAREtryingTOargueOVERnothingMAYBE:PIMonAlapTOP,SPILTcocaoolaWOULDbeTHEculpritANDiREALLYdoNOThaveTHEtimeTOhaveITfixedATthisPOINT,GLADweCOULDclearTHINGSup bro, I feel for you man, You have no actual argument, So I told you keyboards are cheap, and that I heed Ops warning... But according to you, OP has no warning, when, infact, OP himself said, Yes it is a warning.... Do you have asbergers? LETSputANendTOthis:)BACKtoTHEsolarWATCHING:D |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 11:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks for all the time and energy you've put into this thread to keep people informed. It was incredibly interesting to follow (until the recent trolling anyway). Quoting: Serendipitous So you know, I personally never thought there was doom - just a big CME, so from a third party point of view I didn't feel misled. I think it was made clear in the beginning that it wasn't "THE" big one, at least I never thought it was. Just like a "big storm" doesn't mean a Cat 5 hurricane - and it's interesting to watch and see it play out. Anyway, just wanted to thank you Snakebite, Shad and everyone else keeping us in the loop. WELLsaid:D |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23430072 United States 09/28/2012 11:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: KillerWhales Please give me valid intelligent argument....how does anything I said make you feel that I am not grown? OOiDUNNO..THEfactTHATyouAREtryingTOargueOVERnothingMAYBE:PIMonAlapTOP,SPILTcocaoolaWOULDbeTHEculpritANDiREALLYdoNOThaveTHEtimeTOhaveITfixedATthisPOINT,GLADweCOULDclearTHINGSup bro, I feel for you man, You have no actual argument, So I told you keyboards are cheap, and that I heed Ops warning... But according to you, OP has no warning, when, infact, OP himself said, Yes it is a warning.... Do you have asbergers? LETSputANendTOthis:)BACKtoTHEsolarWATCHING:D Snakebite~ it's ok. Apparently he can't comprehend exactly what you are typing. & please don't get a new keyboard, I rather like your style of typing. Plus, I always know it's you! Ok, back to topic now. |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 12:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SnakeBite OOiDUNNO..THEfactTHATyouAREtryingTOargueOVERnothingMAYBE:PIMonAlapTOP,SPILTcocaoolaWOULDbeTHEculpritANDiREALLYdoNOThaveTHEtimeTOhaveITfixedATthisPOINT,GLADweCOULDclearTHINGSup bro, I feel for you man, You have no actual argument, So I told you keyboards are cheap, and that I heed Ops warning... But according to you, OP has no warning, when, infact, OP himself said, Yes it is a warning.... Do you have asbergers? LETSputANendTOthis:)BACKtoTHEsolarWATCHING:D Snakebite~ it's ok. Apparently he can't comprehend exactly what you are typing. & please don't get a new keyboard, I rather like your style of typing. Plus, I always know it's you! Ok, back to topic now. |
0pEnLy~Gr@y User ID: 24442987 Australia 09/29/2012 12:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Come o0n guys .. Quoting: Rain-Man Nothing unusual .. Only some CME but nothing to worry, CME was medium-strong nothing else .. [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] ~Gr@y Believer~ |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24484469 United States 09/29/2012 12:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 12:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Come o0n guys .. Quoting: Rain-Man Nothing unusual .. Only some CME but nothing to worry, CME was medium-strong nothing else .. [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] STILLaVALIDandINTERESTINGthingTOwatch:) Last Edited by SnakeBite on 09/29/2012 12:27 AM |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 12:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 12:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] DRAPhasBEENfluctuatingUPandDOWNforAlittleNOW. |
TOMMY B User ID: 23951991 United States 09/29/2012 12:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Morning Cup Of Doom User ID: 20524828 United States 09/29/2012 01:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24572530 Thanks for that link. It doesn't look good for those living at higher latitudes. VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/35/35 Minor storm 01/25/30 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor storm 15/25/25 Major-severe storm 05/50/65 This is all you need to see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/35/35 Minor storm 01/25/30 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor storm 15/25/25 Major-severe storm 05/50/65" If it was the "BIG" one, you would see Major Storms in the Mid-Latitudes as well as the High. You Don't. We ALWAYS HAVE STORMS IN THE HIGH LATITUDES WITH CMES. Always have, always will. Let me know when there are Major Storms Forecast for the Mid-Latitudes, otherwise, you are just CRYING WOLF. Sorry, I didn't know that it was mid-latitudes that we need to focus on. BTW, I live at a high latitude so I'm a little more interested than most on this thread. I've never seen 65% probability so was curious if this was abnormal. I'm glad to hear that it isn't. He also needs to realize that these storms themselves may be a catalyst and not always the 'main' problem. When you have an already full particle filled ionosphere, these nucleii love to interact and create secondary radiation. I'm just providing info, and I didn't say it was THE big one, just a big filament liftoff. Insecurity in beliefs make people lash out. I'm not saying anything about jet particle doom , nibiru, or alien invasion. We had a large filament liftoff that can cause problems as our magnetosphere is puny! I find it so funny that everyone else on this site can claim doom or false prediction dates for everything under the sun but we can't discuss a huge incoming CME. As for Tbar, I can't wait to give you a negative tomorrow when this hits. I ask that everyone else do the same. He is spewing the same shit over in the main solar thread! Come on, those people over in that thread watch these models everyday and know what they are doing!! Last Edited by Morning Cup Of Doom on 09/29/2012 01:14 AM |
Morning Cup Of Doom User ID: 20524828 United States 09/29/2012 01:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu] Can someone check this out? Screen shot it if you can. Thanks [link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu] Quoting: TOMMY B Never seen this one and I watch the solar thread daily. Maybe one of those pros can help us out! |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 01:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States 09/29/2012 01:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TBar1984 This is all you need to see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/35/35 Minor storm 01/25/30 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor storm 15/25/25 Major-severe storm 05/50/65" If it was the "BIG" one, you would see Major Storms in the Mid-Latitudes as well as the High. You Don't. We ALWAYS HAVE STORMS IN THE HIGH LATITUDES WITH CMES. Always have, always will. Let me know when there are Major Storms Forecast for the Mid-Latitudes, otherwise, you are just CRYING WOLF. Sorry, I didn't know that it was mid-latitudes that we need to focus on. BTW, I live at a high latitude so I'm a little more interested than most on this thread. I've never seen 65% probability so was curious if this was abnormal. I'm glad to hear that it isn't. He also needs to realize that these storms themselves may be a catalyst and not always the 'main' problem. When you have an already full particle filled ionosphere, these nucleii love to interact and create secondary radiation. I'm just providing info, and I didn't say it was THE big one, just a big filament liftoff. Insecurity in beliefs make people lash out. I'm not saying anything about jet particle doom , nibiru, or alien invasion. We had a large filament liftoff that can cause problems as our magnetosphere is puny! I find it so funny that everyone else on this site can claim doom or false prediction dates for everything under the sun but we can't discuss a huge incoming CME. As for Tbar, I can't wait to give you a negative tomorrow when this hits. I ask that everyone else do the same. He is spewing the same shit over in the main solar thread! Come on, those people over in that thread watch these models everyday and know what they are doing!! Make sure you give me that positive when absolutely nothing happens on the 29th. We will get a SMALL ONE on the 30th. A spike up to around 500 km/s & below 50 cm3, giving a G2 storm. NOT QUITE A BIG ONE IS IT? Here are the correct forecasts - G2 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] 500 km/s? That is supposed to be a BIG one? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] That agrees with the Images I studied earlier. The Big One was on the Backside, the SMALL ONE on the Front Side....G2. We were just at G1, not much of a BIG One... Please, someone explain to the 'tard the Top Image is just a link to the readings below [link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu] |
Morning Cup Of Doom User ID: 20524828 United States 09/29/2012 01:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AShughSTATEDinTHEmainSOLARwatchTHREAD,THISisBOGUS.THEkINDEXrightNOWisAT0,NOTHINGhasHITusYET.HOPEthatHELPS:D Quoting: SnakeBite Just saw that since I am always lurking the solar thread. It's my fave! By the way have you popped off your space bar yet. I have spilled coke on my many times and if you pop it off and clean it, you will be back in business! |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/29/2012 01:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Howdy, OP Both STEREO A & B missed imaging this Earth-directed CME due to huge data gaps. Here's the closest (time-wise) image taken by STEREO Behind about 3 hours after liftoff. Original image here: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] :earthboundCME: SOHO Cor 2 image: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Dynamic Pressure cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |
TOMMY B User ID: 23951991 United States 09/29/2012 01:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
MuzzleBreak User ID: 24491433 United States 09/29/2012 02:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Howdy, OP Quoting: Hugh M Eye Both STEREO A & B missed imaging this Earth-directed CME due to huge data gaps. Here's the closest (time-wise) image taken by STEREO Behind about 3 hours after liftoff. Original image here: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] :earthboundCME: SOHO Cor 2 image: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Dynamic Pressure cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] thanks. Impressive In his book, "Between Two Ages," Brzezinski wrote: "The technetronic era involves the gradual appearance of a more controlled society. Such a society would be dominated by an elite, unrestrained by traditional values." MuzzleBreak |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24419448 United States 09/29/2012 02:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States 09/29/2012 02:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Howdy, OP Quoting: Hugh M Eye Both STEREO A & B missed imaging this Earth-directed CME due to huge data gaps. Here's the closest (time-wise) image taken by STEREO Behind about 3 hours after liftoff. Original image here: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] :earthboundCME: SOHO Cor 2 image: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Dynamic Pressure cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] thanks. Impressive Too bad most of it went upwards, away from Earth. Earth is at the Three o'Clock in that image. Not much went that way, did it. That's probably why the Forecast is for a minor G2 Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Not much going on with a G2... It will be a little higher than it is now, it's dead at present [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
dettro99 User ID: 9732769 United States 09/29/2012 04:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Finally spaceweather.com says something about the Large CME heading our way. INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD: Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight [link to www.spaceweather.com] |
pray_Italy User ID: 24615726 Italy 09/29/2012 04:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/29/2012 04:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Finally spaceweather.com says something about the Large CME heading our way. Quoting: dettro99 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD: Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight [link to www.spaceweather.com] THNXforTHEupdate;) |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/29/2012 05:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning --- COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept. 27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data. The expansion speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s. At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO, allowing only a crude speed estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian, together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday on Sept. 29. [link to sidc.oma.be] Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh. CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] THANKS HUGH! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/29/2012 05:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Finally spaceweather.com says something about the Large CME heading our way. Quoting: dettro99 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD: Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight [link to www.spaceweather.com] Thanks D, I've been patiently waiting for them to come out with this! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24574382 United Kingdom 09/29/2012 06:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1568805 United States 09/29/2012 09:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Finally spaceweather.com says something about the Large CME heading our way. Quoting: dettro99 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD: Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight [link to www.spaceweather.com] THNXforTHEupdate;) To get a space without a spacebar press ALT key and type 32 in your numeric pad |
Earth Cries User ID: 1254442 United States 09/29/2012 10:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Finally spaceweather.com says something about the Large CME heading our way. Quoting: dettro99 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD: Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight [link to www.spaceweather.com] THNXforTHEupdate;) To get a space without a spacebar press ALT key and type 32 in your numeric pad Good tip and it works! Thanks. Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
c saw User ID: 13641814 United States 09/29/2012 11:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks for the info, I, too, once had a similar mishap with the keyboard... Was my son, 10 at the time, bringing me a hot cup of coffee...as he sat it down on the table, he bumped the table and the coffee spilled on my laptop keyboard there at Starbucks... He is 18 now and I use another laptop, but everytime I use the older one, I think of him...lovingly. It was my very first laptop and only my second computer and as a single mom, we had to become quite ingenius to work around the keyboards disabilities.... Fond memories, those! Snakebite, keep your way of typing, brings back fond memories! Cheers to hot chocolate, loving son's and coffee at Starbucks! |