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The storms continue to UK!!!

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 10:52 AM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
this is a mess to several countries... [link to www.ecmwf.int]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 11:00 AM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Jason ‏@mcr_thfc

@MattHugo81 just started here between Leigh n manchester

9 minMike Pye‏@pastieman69

@MattHugo81 started snowing heavily in South Lakes now.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 11:02 AM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Matthew Hugo‏@MattHugo81

From significant wintry conditions to winter floods and gales - Here's my latest blog on the next 5 to 7 days [link to www.theaa.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 11:43 AM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
hiding
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Matthew Hugo‏@MattHugo81

Hmmm well then they are intense radar returns!... #lancashire #greatermanchester heavy snow on the way. [link to twitter.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 11:55 AM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Do you think the Brits will be as stupid as the people in New England and wait around for the govt to help them?
 Quoting: John Donson 32359513


Do you think the Brits will be as stupid as the people in New England and wait around for the govt to help them?
 Quoting: John Donson 32359513


WTF are go babbling about? Are you referring to Sandy? Sandy hit NEW YORK CITY and LONG ISLAND,NY...NOT NEW ENGLAND.

And why wouldn't the people in NY ask for assistance? They'd be stupid not to. And insurers expect the government to assist. It's the way The System works. The reason property and homes are continually built in areas prone to hurricane damage, flooding, tornados, etc. is because the government in effect guarantees the homeowners against serious loss and provides assistance. Insurers love it, banks love, big box stores like home depot love, home contractors love it, landscapers and roofers love. What world are you living in?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32938571


What planet do you live on...? They are naming storms now so the insurance companies don"t have to pay idiot. That started last year fool.

Government assisitance. Ya right. Talk to anybody that went through Sandy.

Tear down your homes or else we will fine you 5000 a day. Thats help alright. Shitting in the hallways and dumpster diving and cold cold cold tents to sleep in. Ya thats help that I would want.

No power for months. Shall I continue. Fucking American looser don't even have a clue what really happens in your own country to your own people and by your own insurance companies.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:02 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Please stay calm... hf
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:05 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:05 PM GMT em 25 de Janeiro de 2013

The January 2013 North American cold wave is winding down, after bringing five days of bitter cold to Canada and the Midwest and Northeast U.S. In the U.S., below-zero temperatures were recorded Friday morning in just six states east of the Rockies--half as many as on Thursday morning. The coldest spot was Saranac Lake in New York's Adirondack Mountains, which bottomed out at -18°F (-28°). In nearby Malone, NY, flooding is occurring, thanks to an ice jam on the Salmon River caused by this week's cold weather. The weather was a bit warmer on Mt. Washington, New Hampshire today, where the temperature of -17°F (-27°C) combined with a wind of 81 mph to create a wind chill of -61°F (-52°C). The most dangerous winter weather today will be due to the Wrath of Khan--a low pressure system traversing Tennessee and Kentucky has been named Winter Storm Kahn by TWC, and will bring as much as 0.5" of ice accumulation from eastern Tennessee and Kentucky through North Carolina and northern South Carolina, potentially causing major power outages. Snow will impact areas from the Ohio Valley through western Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Virginia, with 1" expected in D.C. and 1 - 3" in Baltimore.

Figure 1. A powerful extratropical storm with a central pressure of 984 mb begins to wind up about 500 miles east of Newfoundland, Canada, at 10 am EST January 25, 2013.

How low will it go? Massive Atlantic storm winding up
In the Northern Atlantic, an extratropical storm that brought up to 6" of snow to Maryland on Thursday is rapidly intensifying about 500 miles east of Newfoundland, Canada, and figures to become one of the most intense storms ever observed in the North Atlantic. This meteorological "bomb" was analyzed with a central pressure of 984 mb at 12Z (7 am EST) Friday morning by NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center; the GFS and ECMWF models both predict that the storm will deepen by 60 mb in 24 hours, reaching a central pressure of 924 - 928 mb by 7 am EST Saturday morning. This is the central pressure one commonly sees in Category 4 hurricanes, and is a very rare intensity for an extratropical storm to attain. Since extratropical storms do not form eyewalls, the winds of the massive Atlantic low are predicted to peak at 90 mph (Category 1 hurricane strength), with significant wave heights reaching 52 feet (16 meters.) Fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken dramatically before reaching any land areas, and will only be a concern to shipping. The intensification process will be aided by the strong contrast between the frigid Arctic air flowing off the coast of Canada from this week's cold blast, and the warm air lying over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream current. The ultimate strength of the storm will depend upon where the center tracks in relation to several warm eddies of the Gulf Stream along its path. According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt's post on Super Extratropical Storms, the all-time record lowest pressure for a North Atlantic extratropical storm is 913 mb, set on January 11, 1993, near Scotland's Shetland Islands. The mighty 1993 storm broke apart the super oil tanker Braer on a rocky shoal in the Shetland Islands, causing a massive oil spill.

Other notable Atlantic extratropical storms, as catalogued by British weather historian, Stephen Burt:

920.2 mb (27.17”) measured by the ship Uyir while she sailed southeast of Greenland on December 15, 1986. The British Met. Office calculated that the central pressure of the storm, which was centered some distance southeast of the ship, was 916 mb (27.05”).

921.1 mb (27.20”) on Feb. 5, 1870 measured by the ship Neier at 49°N 26°W (another ship in the area measured 925.5 mb)

924 mb (27.28”) on Feb. 4, 1824 at Reykjavik, Iceland (the lowest on land measured pressure in the North Atlantic)

925.5 mb (27.33”) on Dec. 4, 1929 by the SS Westpool somewhere in the Atlantic (exact location unknown)

925.6 mb (27.33”) on Jan. 26, 1884 at Ochtertyre, Perthshire, U.K. (the lowest pressure recorded on land in the U.K.)

For comparison’s sake, the lowest pressure measured on land during an extra-tropical storm in the United States (aside from Alaska) was 952 mb 28.10” at Bridgehampton, New York (Long Island) on March 1 during, the Great Billy Sunday Snowstorm.

Figure 2. Infrared satellite image of the North Atlantic Storm of January 11, 1993 at 0600Z when it deepened into the strongest extra-tropical cyclone ever observed on earth, with a central pressure of 913 mb (26.96”). Satellite image from EUMETSAT Meteosat-4.
Jeff Masters [link to www.wunderground.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:08 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
The Braer Storm of January 1993 is the most intense extratropical cyclone on record for the northern Atlantic ocean. Developing as a weak frontal wave on January 8, 1993, the system moved rapidly northeast developing at a moderate pace. The combination of the absorption of a second low-pressure area to its southeast, a stronger than normal sea surface temperature differential along its path, and the presence of a strong jet stream aloft led to a rapid strengthening of the storm, with its central pressure falling to an estimated 914.0 mb (26.99 inHg) on January 10. Its strength was well predicted by forecasters in the United Kingdom, and warnings were issued before the low initially developed.
Winds of gale-force covered the far northern Atlantic between western Europe and Atlantic Canada due to this storm, with hurricane-force winds confined near its center of circulation. After reaching its peak intensity, the system weakened as it moved into the far northeast Atlantic, dissipating by January 17. This storm caused blizzards across much of Scotland and led to the final breakup of the oil tanker MV Braer, which had been stranded in rocks off the Shetland Islands by a previous storm nearly a week beforehand.
-----------------------------------
Record set

This cyclone was slightly stronger than an intense low pressure area which moved near Greenland on December 14-15, 1986, which was the strongest extratropical cyclone known to occur across the northern Atlantic ocean at that time.

Only three prior extratropical storms across the north Atlantic,[3] and one since,[8] have attained central pressures below 930 millibars (27 inHg). [link to en.wikipedia.org] [link to upload.wikimedia.org]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:08 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
>january
>europe
>storm

OMGpigchef
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:15 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
OPC seems to think there are Hurricane Winds involved over Ireland [link to www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:20 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Safecote Limited‏@Safecote

#Blizzard conditions on the #M60 right now in #Manchester - please take care out there #GK5SnowPloughBlades
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:25 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Until Frankie says there's going to be a problem I think you all are worrying for nothing.


hayseed
jlowen

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01/25/2013 12:29 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
snow melt and this coming rain

the flooding will be biblical. chuckle

i shouldn't laugh, but there again, my house isn't built on a flood plain, so i will allow myself a little titter

this is gonna be epic.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32876044


It's ok, they worked this one out.

[link to www.telegraph.co.uk]

chuckle
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11326620


what the FUCK?????????

rofl
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32876044


....`they asked an 'environmental expert'.....I just snorted tea out of my nose....
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:30 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Until Frankie says there's going to be a problem I think you all are worrying for nothing.


hayseed
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31194169


peace
jlowen

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01/25/2013 12:33 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
...


It's ok, they worked this one out.

[link to www.telegraph.co.uk]

chuckle
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11326620


1rof1
 Quoting: pinkpixiexx


1rof1
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


No, quick, lets all do it. . But we don't have much time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32881247


we've got a couple of acres still covered in out in Essex.....need help quick....bring bobble hats.....
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 12:36 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
last saturday gong ciclone in Portugal
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:15 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Matthew Hugo‏@MattHugo81

Recent radar...Hours and hours of snow to come for N Eng especially inland. [link to twitter.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:24 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Oh ffs, not more bloody rain; it hasn't stopped here all day as it is.....I'm sure that I'm shrinking!
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:32 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
If it weakens dramatically (as it says in your post below) does that mean we in the UK will not be facing hurricane conditions after all?

I must say, we often see weather warning for gales, even severe gales. This is quite common. But your posts suggest something far worse. In your opinion, will it get much worse than gales/severe gales for the UK? Are we looking at hurricane force winds or not?

Thanks for your dedicated and informative posts on the weather!

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:05 PM GMT em 25 de Janeiro de 2013

This is the central pressure one commonly sees in Category 4 hurricanes, and is a very rare intensity for an extratropical storm to attain. Since extratropical storms do not form eyewalls, the winds of the massive Atlantic low are predicted to peak at 90 mph (Category 1 hurricane strength), with significant wave heights reaching 52 feet (16 meters.) Fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken dramatically before reaching any land areas, and will only be a concern to shipping.
 Quoting: Luisport
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:38 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
six pages about winter weather, louis, I thought it was us brits who are known for weather small talk.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:40 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
P.s I'm off to dig some bait on the beach,after a good sea, the fish are always hungry.rockon
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:41 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
If it weakens dramatically (as it says in your post below) does that mean we in the UK will not be facing hurricane conditions after all?

I must say, we often see weather warning for gales, even severe gales. This is quite common. But your posts suggest something far worse. In your opinion, will it get much worse than gales/severe gales for the UK? Are we looking at hurricane force winds or not?

Thanks for your dedicated and informative posts on the weather!

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:05 PM GMT em 25 de Janeiro de 2013

This is the central pressure one commonly sees in Category 4 hurricanes, and is a very rare intensity for an extratropical storm to attain. Since extratropical storms do not form eyewalls, the winds of the massive Atlantic low are predicted to peak at 90 mph (Category 1 hurricane strength), with significant wave heights reaching 52 feet (16 meters.) Fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken dramatically before reaching any land areas, and will only be a concern to shipping.
 Quoting: Luisport

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32810663


this huge storms loose much of power when they reach land... but in this case i don't know if it's suposed Jolle storm to reach land or stay offshore
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:42 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
So this will either be [yet another] an epic fail by Luis (I like his posts so hope not) or an epic fail by the MSM weather forecasters.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1575912


I know where my money is but wont spoil the fun, ehSmileyWink
Pale Horse

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01/25/2013 01:43 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Historic North Atlantic Superstorm Possible for Saturday
.

By Fred Pickhardt On January 23, 2013

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 12Z 25 January 2013 showing possible historic storm low.

A historic extratropical storm is possible over the central North Atlantic on Saturday, the 26th of January based on the latest computer models. A weak 1014mb low will move off the Virginia and North Carolina coasts early Thursday. It will move rapidly east to northeast, deepening to a 977 mb storm low by 12Z Friday, the 25th, southeast of Cape Race with winds up to 50 knots. Thereafter, this low is forecast to “bomb out” as it moves northeast, dropping 57 mb of pressure to 920 mb by 12Z Saturday, the 26th, with hurricane force winds of 85 knots (nearly 100 mph) likely.

The all-time record for North Atlantic extratropical storms was the Braer Storm of January 1993 that reached a minimum pressure of 914 mb (26.99 in Hg) on January 10th. The 1993 storm caused blizzard conditions across much of Scotland and also led to the final breakup of the oil tanker MV Braer, which had been stranded in rocks off the Shetland Islands by a previous storm.
[link to gcaptain.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


OMG!!!!!! I've never seen one like this....
[link to magicseaweed.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32921733


I'm not a weather expert, but I don't think these giant storms are natural. Isn't hurricane season over already?
I thought warm ocean water was needed for this?

Hurricane Sandy had a forecast track that was too accurate, too far in advance, while still over Cuba. I think this is HAARP.

Lots of trees came down here, including a 70 foot oak in the backyard. If you have big trees over there, think it over where to sleep if you're not evacuating (upstairs NG).

Top off your vehicles with gas or petrol. I'm praying for you.

I get all my real news here now. Great thread, thanks AC****1733 for that wave map!
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:43 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
So this will either be [yet another] an epic fail by Luis (I like his posts so hope not) or an epic fail by the MSM weather forecasters.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1575912


I know where my money is but wont spoil the fun, ehSmileyWink
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11326620


i don't have any fun for be right... hf
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:52 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Pale Horse, what do you mean by 'NG'?



Lots of trees came down here, including a 70 foot oak in the backyard. If you have big trees over there, think it over where to sleep if you're not evacuating (upstairs NG).
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:53 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
So this will either be [yet another] an epic fail by Luis (I like his posts so hope not) or an epic fail by the MSM weather forecasters.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1575912


I know where my money is but wont spoil the fun, ehSmileyWink
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11326620


i don't have any fun for be right... hf
 Quoting: Luisport


luis..get one thing into your head.. the brits love bad weather.
I work outside on the east coast, most easterly point,sometimes it's windy, sometimes it's rainy. hell, sometimes it's sunny.
It does not matter, we whine, and get on with it.

A typical greeting conversation.

'fak me, it's cold,'... 'yeah, freeze the balls off a brass monkey'...'lol'.
That's why England is a green and pleasant land, as the song goes.
Bring it on! gotta kite?
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 01:54 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!
Thanks for the info. I've understood this as meaning, that just because it loses a lot of power when it hits land, doesn't mean it still can't be a hurricane. I think I understood right?

If it weakens dramatically (as it says in your post below) does that mean we in the UK will not be facing hurricane conditions after all?

I must say, we often see weather warning for gales, even severe gales. This is quite common. But your posts suggest something far worse. In your opinion, will it get much worse than gales/severe gales for the UK? Are we looking at hurricane force winds or not?

Thanks for your dedicated and informative posts on the weather!

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:05 PM GMT em 25 de Janeiro de 2013

This is the central pressure one commonly sees in Category 4 hurricanes, and is a very rare intensity for an extratropical storm to attain. Since extratropical storms do not form eyewalls, the winds of the massive Atlantic low are predicted to peak at 90 mph (Category 1 hurricane strength), with significant wave heights reaching 52 feet (16 meters.) Fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken dramatically before reaching any land areas, and will only be a concern to shipping.
 Quoting: Luisport

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32810663


this huge storms loose much of power when they reach land... but in this case i don't know if it's suposed Jolle storm to reach land or stay offshore
 Quoting: Luisport
Pale Horse

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01/25/2013 01:54 PM
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Re: The storms continue to UK!!!

Pale Horse, what do you mean by 'NG'?

Lots of trees came down here, including a 70 foot oak in the backyard. If you have big trees over there, think it over where to sleep if you're not evacuating (upstairs NG).
 Quoting: Pale Horse


No good/not good.





GLP