This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78150009 United Kingdom 07/17/2020 09:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] Last week's Economist model run: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 90% Trump 10% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 346 Trump 192 Thread: NEW ECONOMIST MODEL FORECAST: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 90% Trump 10% It appears the gap continues to widen. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 10799996 United States 07/17/2020 10:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] Chance of the Economist getting any statistical assumption or model correct ZERO. Serial failers. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77852475 United States 07/17/2020 10:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% 2020 is the year of the failed models. Corona Virus models....all failures. Political models...all failures. What people do not realize is that this time period has nothing in common with any other election year before. The situation is way more complex and fluid than anything we have ever seen. Every time people touts the records of polls or predictors from the past it means absolutely nothing about right now. ' |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] Chance of the Economist getting any statistical assumption or model correct ZERO. Serial failers. And you base your expert opinion on what? |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 79160497 United States 07/17/2020 10:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 76647789 United States 07/17/2020 10:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. What a convincing rebuttal. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 79160497 United States 07/17/2020 10:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] ^^^^The Economist, Rothschild Central Banking, New World Order owned globalist, China-friendly FAKE NEWS outlet This poster forgets to tell you that. Rothschilds Illuminati are the puppet masters who wanted you vaccinated, chipped and tracked like a cow. Again, this poster forgets to tell you that. However this poster wants you to think, "Orange Man Bad." "Orange Man bad" is a Rothschild Banking puppet master, mind control order. Isn't that right, commie? And you want all white conservative in FEMA camps. Fuck off. |
Jeffersons Blackberry User ID: 79152028 United States 07/17/2020 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. “To compel a man to furnish funds for the propagation of ideas he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.”; Thomas Jefferson |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Slight difference. That was an article discussing polls. The 2020 Economist model is only partially reliant on poll spdata. You can read about how it works, the algorithm and source code here: [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77852475 United States 07/17/2020 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% If the Dems had Biden so far ahead they wouldn't need to continue intentionally destroying the country and rule of law in order to create a situation where they can stuff the boxes with fraudulent mailed in ballots. The Dems are desperate. All their actions are of desperation. Trump is cool as a cucumber. Behavior says the Dems are way behind and might be swept out of power entirely. Their Black Lives Matter terrorism is backfiring bigly. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79160497 United States 07/17/2020 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. What a convincing rebuttal. Hey moron, I've just gotten an eight week lesson in the loot, burn, kill America we will live in if your TDS cult of Marxists gain the White House. Shove your smug communism up your fucking ass. Fucks like you made this revolutionary times, so don't mince words when what you mean is you want my white Trump ass dead and buried. You shit-eating Marxist piece of shit. |
Captain KC Jones User ID: 74147841 United States 07/17/2020 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. America as we know it ended on Jan. 20, 2017! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79113477 United States 07/17/2020 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79160497 United States 07/17/2020 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% If the Dems had Biden so far ahead they wouldn't need to continue intentionally destroying the country and rule of law in order to create a situation where they can stuff the boxes with fraudulent mailed in ballots. The Dems are desperate. All their actions are of desperation. Trump is cool as a cucumber. Behavior says the Dems are way behind and might be swept out of power entirely. Their Black Lives Matter terrorism is backfiring bigly. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77852475 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 14110185 United States 07/17/2020 10:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. Lol triggly puff posting Gingrich twats. Lmmfao the biggest f$g in the gay ole pussy party. Hell West just stole the black vote the Hispanics hate trump the Christians see thriught him and the young whites are smarter enough to use the internet. What's trump got stupid fat old white geezers that watch Dobbs and hannity? Yeah he done. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] ^^^^The Economist, Rothschild Central Banking, New World Order owned globalist, China-friendly FAKE NEWS outlet This poster forgets to tell you that. Rothschilds Illuminati are the puppet masters who wanted you vaccinated, chipped and tracked like a cow. Again, this poster forgets to tell you that. However this poster wants you to think, "Orange Man Bad." "Orange Man bad" is a Rothschild Banking puppet master, mind control order. Isn't that right, commie? And you want all white conservative in FEMA camps. Fuck off. Yes Trigger we get your explainer. If you don't like what you read, you just call it Rothschild Illuminati "fake news" and it goes away. Also, liberally apply that all-purpose but meaningless "orange man bad" slogan as needed. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78785594 South Africa 07/17/2020 10:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker. newtgingrich @newtgingrich · 17h Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it. What a convincing rebuttal. Hey moron, I've just gotten an eight week lesson in the loot, burn, kill America we will live in if your TDS cult of Marxists gain the White House. Shove your smug communism up your fucking ass. Fucks like you made this revolutionary times, so don't mince words when what you mean is you want my white Trump ass dead and buried. You shit-eating Marxist piece of shit. "TDS". That's a convincing rebuttal as well, Trigger. |
Asymptote User ID: 79151617 United States 07/17/2020 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% I'll bet none of those editors will take a $1000.00 bet at those odds that President Trump is a two-term president. I'm good for that action. Approaching the line "Be wary of mathematicians, particularly when they speak the truth." - Augustine I sign all my Karma Polymath supreme BTW.... Any grammatical errors (or incorrect words) are due to Spellcheck fucking hating me.....did you see, it auto fucking capitalism the word Spellcheck |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78052969 Canada 07/17/2020 10:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the electoral college: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78150009 Biden 93% Trump 7% Chance of winning the most votes: Biden 99% Trump 1% Estimated electoral college votes: Biden 353 Trump 185 Last updated two hours ago. [link to projects.economist.com (secure)] Estimated electoral college votes Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on election day. Electoral-college simulations Our model works by simulating 20,000 different paths for the election, each time varying candidates’ vote shares to account for polling error, changes in turnout or the political environment and the effects of campaigning. Chance of winning each state Our model combines the national prediction with polls and political-economic factors at the state level. We take into account that states that are similar are likely to move with each other; if Donald Trump wins Minnesota, he will probably win Wisconsin too. |
TheMadCanadian User ID: 78491926 United States 07/17/2020 10:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7% HERE IS A FUN ECONOMIST PAGE WHERE THEY EXPLAIN HOW THE FUCKED UP 2016 SO BADLY [link to www.economist.com (secure)] You get what you pay (and vote) for. |