BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 11/09/2012 09:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.pakalertpress.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27373510 Portugal 11/09/2012 09:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | these events have happened in history before..this is not the first time NY has flooded, seen severe weather or snow from a extratropical/tropical systems-the rest of the years are in the link for viewing from wikipedia Before 1800 between 1278 and 1438 A major hurricane struck the modern-day New York/New Jersey area, probably the strongest in recent millennium.[1] August 25, 1635 A hurricane that is reported to have tracked parallel to the East Coast impacts New England and New York, although it remains unknown if any damage occurred.[2] September 8, 1667 A 'severe storm' is reported in Manhattan and is reported to be a continuation of a powerful hurricane which affected the Mid-Atlantic.[2] October 29, 1693 The Great Storm of 1693 causes severe damage on Long Island, and is reported to create the Fire Island Cut as a result of the coast-changing storm surge and waves.[2][3] September 23, 1785 Several large ships crash into Governors Island as a result of powerful waves which are reported to have been generated by a tropical cyclone.[3] August 19, 1788 A hurricane strikes New York City or Long Island and is reported to have left the west side of the Battery "laid in ruins" after severe flooding occurs.[3] 180099 Estimated track of the 1821 Norfolk and Long Island hurricane October 9, 1804 Heavy snow falls in Eastern New York peaking at 30 inches (75 cm) as a hurricane tracks northward along the East Coast and becomes extratropical, as cold air fed into the system.[4] September 5, 1815 A hurricane tracks over North Carolina and parallels the East Coast before producing a heavy rainstorm in New York.[5] September 24, 1815 Several hundred trees fall and the majority of the fruit was stripped off apple trees just prior to harvesting time after a hurricane makes landfall on Long Island.[6] September 16, 1816 A possible hurricane strikes New York City, but damage remains unknown.[2] August 9, 1817 A tropical storm produces heavy rainfall in New York City and Long Island.[2] September 3, 1821 The 1821 Norfolk and Long Island hurricane results in severe damage on Long Island and is accompanied by storm surge of 13 feet (4 m). High wind causes a ship to crash on Long Island killing 17 people.[7] June 4, 1825 A hurricane moves off the East Coast and tracks south of New York causing several ship wrecks, and killing seven people.[3] August 27, 1827 High tides are reported in New York City which are caused by a hurricane offshore.[8] August 1, 1830 A hurricane passes to the east of New York and produces gale-force winds to New York City and Long Island.[9] October 4, 1841 Galeforce winds affect New York City as a hurricane tracks north along the East Coast of the United States. Damage is estimated at $2 million (1841 USD, $41 million 2007 USD).[10] October 13, 1846 The Great Havana Hurricane of 1846 tracks inland, causing some damage to New York City.[3] October 6, 1849 Severe structural damage occurs in New York City and Long Island with the passage of a hurricane to the east.[3] July 19, 1850 A hurricane destroys a Coney Island bath house and causes heavy rain, although damage is unknown.[3] This storm destroyed the ship Elizabeth off Fire Island and drowned American transcendentalist Margaret Fuller. August 24, 1850 A storm that is reported to be a hurricane affects New York and New England although there is no known damage.[2] September 9, 1854 A hurricane brushes the East Coast from Florida to New England causing rain on Long Island.[3] September 16, 1858 Low barometric pressure of 28.87 inches mercury at Sag Harbor is reported, and is thought to be associated with a tropical cyclone which causes no known damage.[3] September 6, 1869 A category 3 hurricane makes landfall in Rhode Island and brushes Long Island, which is affected by rain, although minimal damage resulted from the storm.[3] October 28, 1872 A tropical storm passes over New York City and Long Island.[11] October 1, 1874 New York City and the Hudson Valley receives rainfall after a minimal tropical storm tracked over Eastern New York.[11] September 19, 1876 The remnants of the San Felipe hurricane track over western New York State, although damage is unknown.[11] October 24, 1878 The state is affected by tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain with the passage of a hurricane, which made landfall in Virginia.[11][12] August 22, 1888 A tropical storm tracks over New York City before tracking north along the East Coast of the United States.[11] August 24, 1893 Hog Island is washed away by strong storm surge associated with a tropical storm of unknown strength.[3] According to HURDAT, this was a Category 1 hurricane that struck the western end of the Rockaway Peninsula, passing through Brooklyn as a weakening hurricane. Manhattan Island saw gale force winds to 56 mph. October 10, 1894 10 People were killed and 15 injured at 74 Monroe Street in Manhattan when winds blew a building under construction onto a tenement crushing it. Extensive damage in the NYC and Long Island to telegraph lines, trees and boats docked on shore. Storm formed over Gulf of Mexico as a Category 3 weakened over land in the Southeast and re strengthened to a Category 1 over the Chesapeake Bay before striking Long Island.[13][14] 190049 Storm surge from the 1938 New England hurricane September 17, 1903 The 1903 Vagabond Hurricane produces wind gusts in excess of 65 mph (105 km/h) and 3 inches (75 mm) of rain in Central Park.[15] August 15, 1904 A Category 2 hurricane skirts the East Coast of the United States producing gale-force winds and heavy rain in Eastern New York and Long Island.[16] August 2, 1908 A hurricane develops near North Carolina and moves northward along the coast, brushing Long Island.[17] July 21, 1916 Strong winds are reported on Long Island as a category 3 hurricane passes to the east.[3] August 25, 1933 The 1933 Chesapeake Potomac Hurricane produces up to 6 inches (150 mm) of rain in Southeast New York State; other damage is unknown.[18] September 8, 1934 A strong tropical storm makes landfall on Long Island.[19] September 20, 1936 Strong waves and storm surge associated with a powerful hurricane floods much of Long Beach Island and causes severe beach erosion along the coast.[20] September 21, 1938 The New England Hurricane of 1938 (Also Called "The Long Island Express") makes landfall on Suffolk County (Long Island) as a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.[21] Wind gusts of 125 mph (200 km/h) and storm surge of 18 feet (5 m) washes across part of the island.[22] In New York 60 deaths and hundreds of injuries were attributed to the storm.[23] In addition, 2,600 boats and 8,900 houses are destroyed.[24] Throughout New England the hurricane killed over 682 people,[25] damaged or destroyed over 57,000 homes, and caused property losses estimated at $4.7 billion (2005 US dollars).[26] September 14, 1944 The 1944 Great Atlantic Hurricane makes landfall on Long Island as a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale at a high forward speed of 40 mph (64 km/h). Wind gusts of well over 100 mph (160 km/h) breaks previous wind records in New York City, while a minimum pressure reading of 28.47 inches is recorded on Long Island. 117 homes are completely destroyed, while 2,427 are severely damaged and almost 1000 businesses are destroyed or damaged. In all, six people are killed, and one person is injured.[27] September 18, 1945 A weak tropical depression crosses into Southeastern New York.[11] August 29, 1949 A tropical storm tracks into Central New York causing no known damage.[11] 195074 Rainfall from Hurricane Agnes (1972) 1954 Hurricane Hazel - wind gust of 113 mph at Battery Park, highest ever recorded in New York City. August 31, 1954 Hurricane Carol makes landfall on Long Island and produces wind gusts of 120 miles per hour (190 km/h) on Montauk Point.[3] On eastern Long Island near where Carol made landfall, a pressure of 960 mbar is recorded.[28] Winds on the island gust to 120 mph (195 km/h). The hurricane's storm surge covers the Montauk Highway in Montauk, effectively isolating eastern Long Island for a period of time. Due to the compact nature of the storm, most of Long Island is largely unaffected by the hurricane.[28] Specific damage totals for New York are unknown, although the storm in its entirety causes $460 million (1954 USD) in damage.[28] September 10, 1954 Hurricane Edna tracks to the east of Long Island producing 9 inches (230 mm) of rain.[3] Prior to the storm, New York City orders an emergency standby for the majority of its hospitals, and subways.[29] August 13, 1955 Hurricane Connie produces 13.24 inches (370 mm) of rain in Southeast New York, although damage is unknown.[30] September 28, 1956 Hurricane Flossy tracks to the south of Long Island, brushing it with light rainfall.[31] October 1, 1959 The remnants of Hurricane Gracie track into Central New York and drops up to 6 inches (150 mm) of rain.[32] September 11, 1960 Hurricane Donna makes landfall on Long Island as a Category 2 hurricane. Sustained winds of 100 mph (160 km/h) on eastern Long Island and 70 mph (110 km/h) winds on western Long Island are reported, and tides are 6 feet (2 m) above normal along most of the coast. Strong waves also cause beach erosion and several homes along the shore to be destroyed. Due to well-executed warnings, damages are extremely low, and it is reported that no deaths result from the storm.[33] September 21, 1961 Hurricane Esther causes $3 million (1961 USD, $20 million 2007 USD) in damage in Suffolk County as it tracks to the east of Long Island. Coastal areas of Long Island were flooded, as well as storm surge and wind gusts of 108 mph (173 km/h), which causes 260,000 homes to be left without power.[34] October 8, 1962 Hurricane Daisy tracks east of New England, producing light rainfall in extreme eastern portions of Upstate New York.[35] September 23, 1964 Beach erosion and moderate wind gusts are reported on Long Island as Hurricane Gladys tracks a couple hundred miles south of New York.[36] October 19, 1964 Light rainfall is reported as Hurricane Isbell tracks off the coast.[37] September 10, 1969 Rainfall up to 3 inches (75 mm) is reported on Long Island and in portions of Southeastern New York associated with Hurricane Gerda.[38] August 28, 1971 Tropical Storm Doria produces up to 8 inches (200 mm) of rain in New York City and Upstate New York causing moderate to severe flooding and floods subways in New York City.[39][40] June 22, 1972 Hurricane Agnes makes landfall near New York City and produces up to 12 inches (300 mm) of rain in Southeastern New York State and much of Western New York, with locally higher amounts. Storm tides of 3.1 feet (1 m) and wind gusts of 55 miles per hour (89 km/h) occur in New York City, and severe river flooding causes six deaths.[41] September 4, 1972 Tropical Storm Carrie produces light rainfall on the eastern end of Long Island.[42] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 16682454 United Kingdom 11/09/2012 09:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Doominator User ID: 162364 United States 11/09/2012 09:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Gonna get real bad for lotsa folks. Here's the latest: [link to www.weather.com] |
Doominator User ID: 162364 United States 11/09/2012 09:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 11/09/2012 10:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "Top ten record 1 day snowfalls w/blizzard conditions".............."Near-record heat ahead of it"........Sounds like fun! What's the TORCON?????? Quoting: Doominator 162364 [link to www.weather.com] |
Hawk-02 Hawk-o-holic User ID: 897951 United States 11/09/2012 10:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 11/09/2012 10:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1556544 Puerto Rico 11/09/2012 10:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27397402 Portugal 11/09/2012 02:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 112 PM EST FRI NOV 09 2012 VALID 12Z MON NOV 12 2012 - 12Z FRI NOV 16 2012 PRELIMINARY MEDIUM RANGE GRAPHICS MAINTAINED THE CONSISTENT GFS/ECMWF/UKMET APPROACH WITH AN EXPANSIVE ARCTIC FRONTAL PROGRESSION ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES...GREAT LAKES...AND INTO THE DEEP SOUTH/SOUTHERN TEXAS. BIG NEWS WILL BE THE SHARP THERMAL CONTRASTS AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT AS IT PRESSES EASTWARD BETWEEN DAY 3-5. FOR SOME DAYS NOW...THE H85 TEMP FORECASTS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT HAVE BEEN ON THE ORDER OF 10-15C. WITH SUCH A SHARP CONTRAST IN TEMPERATURES...SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS...WINDS AND SURFACE-BASED LIFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE DRAMATIC SENSIBLE WEATHER CHANGES ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVY RAINFALL SCENARIO SHOULD PLAY OUT ACROSS THE OZARKS AND MIDWEST WITH A WIDE OPEN GULF AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME. DEEP-LAYERED WARM ADVECTION STREAMING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE READINGS THAT WILL BE A GOOD 15-20 F ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. BEHIND THE FRONT...THE COMPLETE OPPOSITE. SOME 15-25F BELOW NORMAL. FOR DAYS 6-7...AGREE WITH THE MID SHIFT THAT A GFS/GEFS MEAN AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN APPROACH APPEARS BEST TO HANDLE THE DEVELOPING SPLIT-FLOW SCENARIO ALONG THE WEST COAST AND DESERT SOUTHWEST. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27397402 Portugal 11/09/2012 02:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27397402 Portugal 11/09/2012 03:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27397402 Portugal 11/09/2012 03:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I fear that the East Coast is in for a smacking at some point in the next 10-15 days. The GFS has been showing things for the past couple days, and now it appears the Euro is jumping on board for something. Still lots of questions but there is a broad consistency between the two. [link to raleighwx.americanwx.com] [link to raleighwx.americanwx.com] [link to raleighwx.americanwx.com] [link to www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 04:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 04:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to twitter.com] GFS 18z shows almost 50F below normal for Sunday morning in Montana. Actual temps minus 20-30. 11 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue Montana & S. Alberta winner for most below normal ... ~40F or so below normal next few days. [link to twitter.com] 11 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue ECMWF 10-day forecast hits repeat button again, this time a 1044 mb high & a sprawling, trough or low off East coast. [link to twitter.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 04:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
I Ban Thee User ID: 21926529 United States 11/10/2012 05:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1159 PM CST FRI NOV 09 2012 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE PLAINS STATES/CENTRAL U.S.... ...SYNOPSIS... A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. IS PROGGED TO ADVANCE SLOWLY EWD THIS PERIOD...INCREASINGLY AFFECTING THE CENTRAL THIRD OF THE CONUS. AS THIS TROUGH SHIFTS EWD...A SURFACE LOW INITIALLY INVOF CO SHOULD CONSOLIDATE AND SHIFT QUICKLY NEWD WITH TIME...REACHING THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER INVOF NRN MN LATE. AS THIS OCCURS...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT DRIVES EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- AND SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL -- DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ...UPPER MS/MID MO VALLEYS SSWWD INTO NWRN TX... RATHER COMPLICATED SCENARIO IS UNFOLDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AHEAD OF THE LARGE/ADVANCING WRN TROUGH...AS VERY STRONG FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTS SEVERE POTENTIAL...WHILE AN ONLY MODESTLY UNSTABLE/LIKELY-TO-BE-CAPPED WARM SECTOR WILL LIKELY TEND TO HINDER OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT INVOF A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/DRYLINE SHOULD OCCUR IN THE 22-23Z TIME FRAME INVOF WRN KS AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AS AFTERNOON HEATING PERMITS DEVELOPMENT OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE. GIVEN CAPPING LIKELY TO BE PRESENT...INITIAL DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO BE ISOLATED...AND THUS -- GIVEN BACKGROUND FLOW FIELD -- LIKELY SUPERCELLULAR. ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD EXPAND NNEWD ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT ADVANCES ACROSS THE MID MO VALLEY REGION -- AND PERHAPS NWD INTO MN THOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH NWD EXTENT. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE TOWARD A FORCED LINEAR MODE INVOF THE FRONT -- PARTICULARLY FROM NRN KS NWD...WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL EXPECTED. FARTHER S INTO KS/OK...STORMS MAY REMAIN MIXED IN MODE -- WITH SOME CELLULAR CONVECTION POSSIBLY LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING UNTIL A MORE LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE EVOLVES LATE AS THE COLD FRONT DRIVES ACROSS THIS REGION. GENERALLY...EXPECT STORM INTENSITY -- AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE POTENTIAL -- TO DIMINISH SLOWLY FROM LATE EVENING ONWARD. ..GOSS/GARNER.. 11/10/2012 [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SREFF is showing a significant tornado outbreak late today along a squall line Oklahoma to Nebraska. Mid-level jet over 100 knots Stay tuned [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 07:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SREFF is showing a significant tornado outbreak late today along a squall line Oklahoma to Nebraska. Quoting: DoorBert Mid-level jet over 100 knots Stay tuned [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SREFF is showing a significant tornado outbreak late today along a squall line Oklahoma to Nebraska. Quoting: DoorBert Mid-level jet over 100 knots Stay tuned [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] Morning Luis |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24522527 United States 11/10/2012 07:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Weather Channel says Winter Storm Brutus will bring big snow and severe storms 111-mph winds and 4 feet of snow (thankfully not in the same place) - get the scoop on Brutus's next moves [link to www.weather.com] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 1495371 United States 11/10/2012 07:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GFS 18z shows almost 50F below normal for Sunday morning in Montana. Actual temps minus 20-30. [link to twitter.yfrog.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 7570540 United States 11/10/2012 07:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 7570540 United States 11/10/2012 07:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 07:35 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 643 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT PASSES JUST TO THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE COMING WEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDING BACK IN FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... FORECAST MAINLY ON TRACK THIS MORNING. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO TEMPS AND DEW PTS TO REFLECT LATEST OBS. FAIRLY DRY AND QUIET PERIOD TODAY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SETTING UP OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE US. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE BACK OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL TREK NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...WHILE A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS COULD TRIGGER VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR NEW YORK...SO INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR THIS MORNING. WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT SHOULD PRODUCE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. USED A BLEND OF MET/MAV GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS TODAY...RESULTING IN HIGHS NEAR NORMAL. && |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27437614 Portugal 11/10/2012 10:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 23 mAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather The current temp in Omaha, NE, is 63 F, but 75 miles to the west in Columbus, NE it's only 37 F. 1 hAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather Freezing rain is falling in Bismarck, N.D. according to reports from the NWS. |
1 | Winter Storm Brutus | 11/08/12 |
2 | Winter Storm Brutus has dropped 6" of snow in Butte, MT in just 5 hours!!! | 11/09/12 |
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