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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


Just another "C" I guess. So continues the quiet period from the sun.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster

She's just warming up.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Doubt it.
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now what's going on here ???????

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:11013:

There's got to be something wrong with the satellite?? wouldn't you think.

Coordinated drops and spikes from temp, speed, and density ???

Bz wide open a couple of hours ago ??
whiteangel
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01/10/2013 12:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:BGD1913:
:1654magneto:
 Quoting: whiteangel


Well, 1654 is at the -60 mark and looks like to me it is decaying. Zoom way in and compare to above pics. Still looks Delta to me. Maybe it is just the pic below and looks washed out, but yesterday it was just more dense and large looking.
[link to www.solarham.net]
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
NiNzrez
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01/10/2013 12:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:1654magneto:

That is a Delta, as long as it does not decay like all the rest we will see an X from this guy.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Thought that yesterday, the question being why is it classified as beta?
 Quoting: Elemental


.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest
events of the period were several C2 solar flares from Region 1654
(N08E46). These solar flares were difficult to discern due the elevated
background x-ray flux levels currently being measured by the GOES 15
spacecraft. Since Region 1654 has rotated onto the visible disk,
background x-ray flux has increased from low B-class to low C-class
levels. 10cm radio flux levels have also increased from around 140 sfu
to almost 170 sfu with the arrival of Region 1654. Region 1654 is
currently classified as an Eki Beta group and is the largest region on
the disk. SDO magnetogram and intensitygram imagery suggest magnetic
complexity emerging in the intermediate spots of this region but more
data is needed to be able to ascertain the severity of these changes

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Region 1652 (N20E11) is
currently magnetically classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta group which is
the most magnetically complex region on the visible disk.
AR1654 Monster

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01/10/2013 12:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I guess there are two possibilities right now -

1) 1654 is starting to decay (as one poster has suggested above)

2) 1654 in it's process to become more magnetically complex, appears to be decaying but is a false sense of security.

Only time will tell - hopefully we have a better idea in the next few days.
einsteinsfly

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01/10/2013 12:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
have a rise
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/10/2013 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66



Definitely 54 [link to lasp.colorado.edu]
mtn_mang

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01/10/2013 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
peaked at c8, it's gonna be a good day
AR1654 Monster

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01/10/2013 12:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice...almost an "M" - Thanks for the link btw Nin!
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 12:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/10/2013 01:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well, we have 1652 that is now BGD
-Region 1652 (N20E11) is
currently magnetically classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta group

and 1654 that most of us agree is a BGD, but NOAA says they still need more data to class it
"SDO magnetogram and intensitygram imagery suggest magnetic
complexity emerging in the intermediate spots of this region but more
data is needed to be able to ascertain the severity of these changes
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

that makes 2 BGD spots, both earth facing, and both in close proximity to eavch other

1652 and 1654 both show signs of growth, neither show signs of decay
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/10/2013 01:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Da fuq

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01/10/2013 01:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:1654magneto:

That is a Delta, as long as it does not decay like all the rest we will see an X from this guy.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Thought that yesterday, the question being why is it classified as beta?
 Quoting: Elemental


.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest
events of the period were several C2 solar flares from Region 1654
(N08E46). These solar flares were difficult to discern due the elevated
background x-ray flux levels currently being measured by the GOES 15
spacecraft. Since Region 1654 has rotated onto the visible disk,
background x-ray flux has increased from low B-class to low C-class
levels. 10cm radio flux levels have also increased from around 140 sfu
to almost 170 sfu with the arrival of Region 1654. Region 1654 is
currently classified as an Eki Beta group and is the largest region on
the disk. SDO magnetogram and intensitygram imagery suggest magnetic
complexity emerging in the intermediate spots of this region but more
data is needed to be able to ascertain the severity of these changes

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Region 1652 (N20E11) is
currently magnetically classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta group which is
the most magnetically complex region on the visible disk.
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


BGD it is arnoldsolardoom!
AR1654 Monster

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01/10/2013 01:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well, we have 1652 that is now BGD
-Region 1652 (N20E11) is
currently magnetically classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta group

and 1654 that most of us agree is a BGD, but NOAA says they still need more data to class it
"SDO magnetogram and intensitygram imagery suggest magnetic
complexity emerging in the intermediate spots of this region but more
data is needed to be able to ascertain the severity of these changes
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

that makes 2 BGD spots, both earth facing, and both in close proximity to eavch other

1652 and 1654 both show signs of growth, neither show signs of decay
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks for your opinion on this - I know there was some thought earlier from somebody else that 1654 could be decaying. I'm of the opinion that it's just going through a process and becoming more complex (perhaps giving a slight illusion on the magnetogram that it is decaying).
Hugh M Eye

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01/10/2013 01:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
He/she/it's getting warmed up now...seems to be expanding more slowly now.
:1/10_1654_HMI:

Latest SDO Composite w/mag-fields:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

GOES X_Ray image:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Another small Beta region has come over in the NE....
We also had a CME last night on the east limb:

CACTus CME Details:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
El Quisqueyano

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01/10/2013 01:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: TS66


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did they label them as 2 separate spots, as I had suggested before, or did they just give it one number?
AR1654 Monster

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01/10/2013 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What better time than now to roll out my telescope with the solar filter on. See if I can get a good glimpse of the spots from home!
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did they label them as 2 separate spots, as I had suggested before, or did they just give it one number?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I believe she is referring to the spots 52 & and 54. As long as 54 shares the same penumbrae, it is a single solar region, with multiple umbra. hf
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/10/2013 01:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


look at 54
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did they label them as 2 separate spots, as I had suggested before, or did they just give it one number?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


one spot
1654
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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01/10/2013 01:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
B & W close-up of C8 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Other images I stumbled on at Solarsoft:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
whiteangel
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01/10/2013 01:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What is causing this?
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And yes it was me that thought 1654 looks like it is decaying...just seems smaller and less dense. Just looks that way to me. Still looks BGD for sure, lol.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
El Quisqueyano

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01/10/2013 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did they label them as 2 separate spots, as I had suggested before, or did they just give it one number?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I believe she is referring to the spots 52 & and 54. As long as 54 shares the same penumbrae, it is a single solar region, with multiple umbra. hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you.
El Quisqueyano

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01/10/2013 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


wink

Where's the "hangers" of the good old days Nin ??? LOL
 Quoting: TS66


hahaha i know
we just may be about ready to see a comeback
these spots show potential ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Did they label them as 2 separate spots, as I had suggested before, or did they just give it one number?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


one spot
1654
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you.
AR1654 Monster

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01/10/2013 01:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like the X-rays are leveling out at a higher background level than they were earlier -

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Da fuq

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01/10/2013 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What is causing this?
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And yes it was me that thought 1654 looks like it is decaying...just seems smaller and less dense. Just looks that way to me. Still looks BGD for sure, lol.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What you are seeing as "decay" is growth as a result of instability in the leading umbra.hiding



On a side note, why is the interior of the sun dark.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/10/2013 01:51 PM
Anonymous Coward
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01/10/2013 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What is causing this?
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And yes it was me that thought 1654 looks like it is decaying...just seems smaller and less dense. Just looks that way to me. Still looks BGD for sure, lol.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What you are seeing as "decay" is growth as a result of instability in the leading umbra.hiding



On a side note, why is the interior of the sun dark.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Here's a great write up on (caution) "The Electric Sun" theory that I have been trying to digest this morning. Third read and still getting something out of it.

It discusses what creates a CMEs and discharges, the dark of the interior, etc hf

[link to electric-cosmos.org]

Fixed link ^^
zacksavage

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01/10/2013 02:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's a great write up on (caution) "The Electric Sun" theory that I have been trying to digest this morning. Third read and still getting something out of it.

It discusses what creates a CMEs and discharges, the dark of the interior, etc hf

[link to electric-cosmos.org]

Fixed link ^^
 Quoting: TS66


Interesting TS,...I will give it a shot later.

hi


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic


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