SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

It's like they shut everything off. There's no way it would be that weak. Looking at the saturation from earlier.. it's like it just shut off.

Genru Pingol ‎SolarHam.com are expect a more worse than the present one to come?
há 39 minutos.



SolarHam.com The Bz component ( IMF) is still waiting to tip south. When and if it does, this could intensify the storm
[link to www.facebook.com]

This ?
[link to solarham.com]

Genru Pingol ‎SolarHam.com are expect a more worse than the present one to come?
há 39 minutos.



SolarHam.com The Bz component ( IMF) is still waiting to tip south. When and if it does, this could intensify the storm
[link to www.facebook.com]

SolarHam.com

há cerca de um minuto.



The Bz component of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) has been pointing mostly to the north and this is keeping the geomagnetic storm at minor levels thus far. Should the Bz begin to point south for long durations, this may help intensify the storm. More updates when needed.

What does the "Bz" mean?

The sun has a magnetic field which the solar wind can carry throughout the solar system. This is called the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF). Earth also has a magnetic field which forms a bubble around our planet. This is called the Magnetosphere. This bubble deflects the solar wind. Earth's magnetic field comes into contact with the sun's magnetic field in a place called the magnetopause. Here is the catch. Earth's magnetic field points north. When the sun's magnetic field points south, also known as southward Bz.. it may cancel Earth's magnetic field at point of contact. When the Bz is south the 2 fields link up. This basically opens up a door that may allow energy from the solar wind to reach Earth's atmosphere. [link to www.facebook.com]

my power went out for a few last night
and my net connection just came back
im going to try to look through the posts since last night
but wow, you all have been busy
many pages haha
i seen tom made a blog post about the incoming CME
you rock tom for being on the ball!!

This ?
[link to solarham.com]

This storm seams weaker that everyone thaught... it's possible we are only seing the begining and later it became stronger?

this is what im thinking Luis

This small CME has had a northward orientation cauusing it to make little connection. It is not going to do much. This is the first of two. This was the small one. The larger one is not set to arrive for another few hours and will be smashed into the rear end of this one. Here are the times these storms were scheduled to arrive today. So far everything is on schedule.

Here is the first one that we are in now.


Event Issue Date: 2012-03-07 16:52:21.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-08 06:25:05.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 6 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.5 Re

Thu, 8 Mar 2012 06:25:05 UTC
Thu, 8 Mar 2012 12:25:05 UTC


Here is the second one that will start later.


Event Issue Date: 2012-03-06 14:18:39.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-08 23:59:04.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.3 Re

Thu, 8 Mar 2012 23:59:04 UTC
Fri, 9 Mar 2012 10:59:04 UTC

i thought it was
but had to go look it up...

this sunspot you posted was the sunspot that produced the record breaking X28 flare on Nov 4, 2003
the image you posted is from when the sunspot was directly earth facing, just a few days before it rotated to the western limb
that is where it let out an amazing X flare

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
"A day later, word came from the SEC that their best estimate was X28, with a peak around 19:50 UT. Although the exact number will likely be debated for some time, it is now official: We have a new #1 X-ray flare for the record books."

can someone that has a bit of time and know how, please do a close up of the 2003 spot, 1429 and the carrington drawing
and make them so that the image of the actual sunspot on each is around the same size??
This way, we can compair 1429, directly to the carrington drawing, as well as the 2003 #1 X flare of all time

im sure im not the only one that is curious how closley they look alike
maybe this can give us a better insight as to what 1429 still may have in store for us

according to NOAA, over the remainder of this week we still have a 80% chance for M flares, and 30% chance for X flares

lets not let our guards down just yet when it comes to the Xray flux/solar flares
The main event 1429 has for us just may not have happened yat

It's like they shut everything off. There's no way it would be that weak. Looking at the saturation from earlier.. it's like it just shut off.

as i said
ON THE BALL!
thanks for posting that Tom
i feel lost for the moment on everything
im rushing to catch up

So what is going to occur when the solar wind is in our atmosphere?

Pretty excited magnetic field showing here ....

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

my power went out for a few last night
and my net connection just came back
im going to try to look through the posts since last night
but wow, you all have been busy
many pages haha
i seen tom made a blog post about the incoming CME
you rock tom for being on the ball!!

Nothing significant...

I was right.Flat x-rays.SS is silent.100% confident

No less safe than any other day.

I thought when the Proton Flux was above 10.3, that it wasn't a good idea to spend long hours out doors??

SolarHam.com

há 20 minutos.


The current Solar Wind Speed as per the SOHO Spacecraft is near 700 km/s. It appears to have been stronger just after the initial impact. [link to www.facebook.com]

We have got an update on SOHO!


At 15:16 UT



Speed: 735 km/s



Density: 7.32 p/cm3

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Gusty!