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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
joinca

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05/18/2012 03:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunday's partial solar eclipse is only the start
The sun, the moon and the planet Venus will be staging shows during the next two weeks with three astronomical events in the springtime sky.
The first will be a rare type of partial solar eclipse on Sunday, followed in the days afterward by a partial lunar eclipse and the rare sight of Venus crossing the face of the sun in what astronomers call a transit.

The full article is here: [link to www.sfgate.com]
cool2
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 06:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunday's partial solar eclipse is only the start
The sun, the moon and the planet Venus will be staging shows during the next two weeks with three astronomical events in the springtime sky.
The first will be a rare type of partial solar eclipse on Sunday, followed in the days afterward by a partial lunar eclipse and the rare sight of Venus crossing the face of the sun in what astronomers call a transit.

The full article is here: [link to www.sfgate.com]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Nice, I will be looking up!
old guard

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05/18/2012 07:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Many thanks to everyone for adding to this thread, dispite the recent disadvantages..peace
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Despite 1476's decay, it has no intention of leaving quietly.

Even if lmsal doesn't seem to be able to keep up [link to www.lmsal.com]


Looks like at least 8 C's today. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 09:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Does it mean anything when the IMF polar angle is in the red towards south~ what does it mean?
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 09:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to solarimg.org] see?
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
rising again C1.0 now

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 09:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOT TO TOTALLY PANIC OR ANYTHING BUT THE POLAR ANGLE IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE RED (SOUTH)

hiding
shenue

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05/18/2012 09:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I've been reading posts trying to catch up on what I've missed lately. I just noticed that IWTB hasn't been posting. What's up with him? Is he ok? Is he away working again?
 Quoting: shenue


Hi Shenue,
Where he moved to did not have internet service and he was waiting for them to install and turn on!

Have a great day!

hf
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Thank you Mama
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2012 10:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

1dpanic
Isis7

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05/18/2012 11:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is it happening again?

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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05/19/2012 01:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Spirals : ) [link to hpiers.obspm.fr]

Quite some wobble hey!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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05/19/2012 01:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
look at the size of the prominence off the Bottom-Right of the Disc! [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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05/19/2012 01:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on STEREO B: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2012 05:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on STEREO B: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


It can't be from 1476, it's on the wrong side of the sun. Maybe from the far-side event.
farside
Spittin'Cesium

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05/19/2012 05:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on STEREO B: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


It can't be from 1476, it's on the wrong side of the sun. Maybe from the far-side event.
farside
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thats' what I was thinking also.

Another Proton event perhaps?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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05/19/2012 05:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on STEREO B: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


It can't be from 1476, it's on the wrong side of the sun. Maybe from the far-side event.
farside
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thats' what I was thinking also.

Another Proton event perhaps?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Darn..they are not visable anymore : (

Nevermind.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2012 05:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A Big GLP welcome to AR.....(wait for it)......1486!

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 May 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 140 Issued at 0030Z on 19 May 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 18 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 18/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1477 S21W59 144 0020 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
1478 S22W50 135 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1479 N15W26 111 0070 Cso 04 04 Beta
1482 N15W17 102 0230 Dai 08 18 Beta
1484 N10E11 074 0200 Dsi 09 19 Beta
1485 S20E27 058 0010 Axx 03 03 Alpha
1486 N15E67 017 0190 Dao 08 02 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 18/2400Z May
Nmbr Location Lo
1481 S10W08 093
1483 S26W15 100
II. Regions Due to Return 19 May to 21 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
1469 S25 344

CLOSE-UP OF AR1486(SDO/HMIIF)
:AR1486:
MAGNETOGRAM SHOWS A COMPLEX STRUCTURE
:magneto:
Latest Full-Disk Magnetogram here (check out the difference of 1482 & 1484):

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest SDO MAG_FIELD MODEL:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The latest SDO composite shows a small Coronal Hole at mid-disk center, just below 1484. I think we may see some coronal hole effects and/or a large flare from 1484 in a few days.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1482 & 1484 are near mid-disk and, though quiet so far, they appear to be persistently strengthening. Also, a magnificent prominence in the southwest can be seen dancing and fibrillating to some energetic magneto-music. Check out the latest GONG H-Alpha movie here:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/19/2012 05:37 AM
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2012 06:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2012 06:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
El Quisqueyano

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05/19/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I second that, get back here IWTB. We need you.

Namaste.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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05/19/2012 09:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I second that, get back here IWTB. We need you.

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Yup same here....Morning all
Onthehook
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05/19/2012 10:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sundogs, haha
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2012 01:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I miss him ,too. I hope he comes back soon!hi
MamaHasAwakened

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05/19/2012 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Just not the same without him! Can't wait to see him back!!! Hope to see you soon IWTB!!!

hf
Isis7

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05/19/2012 04:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Just not the same without him! Can't wait to see him back!!! Hope to see you soon IWTB!!!

hf
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Hiya gang

I just heard from 76 today, he is still waiting for the internet server to hook up.

hf
MamaHasAwakened

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05/19/2012 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No one can fill IWantToBelieve 76's shoes, but if he's not here by Monday, I may have to take a crash-course in making YouTube videos, LOL. I haven't tried it yet, but it can't be that hard. It seems half the Billy-Bobs in America have their own YouTube channel. However, I have my SunBro's "extreme beer-drinking" pastime down flat and my nocturnal life-style has placed me closer to the Germany time zone.

Please come back soon, my friend! CHEERS, wherever you are.

dasbierdrunkdcompburnitbricksbeer2cheers
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Just not the same without him! Can't wait to see him back!!! Hope to see you soon IWTB!!!

hf
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Hiya gang

I just heard from 76 today, he is still waiting for the internet server to hook up.

hf
 Quoting: Isis7


Thank you Isis!
shadasonic

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05/19/2012 10:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
IWTB is the trifecta master - solarquakebeertard, long live IWTB!!!!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2012 10:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A weak shock from the M5-flare CME has been detected by both ACE and SOHO solar wind monitors.

Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD
Serial Number: 111
Issue Time: 2012 May 20 0153 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2012 May 20 0215 UTC
Valid To: 2012 May 20 0245 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2012 May 20 0136 UTC

Comment: IP shock was weak, so weak Sudden Impulse, if any, expected.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

6-hour ACE solar wind data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Spike in velocity and density also @ SOHO:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

The Bz seems to be headed south so we may see some geomagnetic disturbances.

ACE MAG-FIELD plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Also, that large prominence in the SW has lifted off and produced a nice CME. It does not appear to be Earth-directed.
:5/19erupt:
:5/19cme:

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/19/2012 10:52 PM
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2012 11:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It didn't take long for that disturbance to materialize...

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1930
Issue Time: 2012 May 20 0241 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 May 20 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 May 20 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Real-Time Magnetopause/Bowshock simulation:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]





GLP