Trop Storm Sandy - A Potential "Perfect Storm" | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 10/23/2012 11:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Main difference still between ECMWF and GFS earlier today is the amplitude of the Pac NW ridge & deeper E. trough [link to twitter.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8298598 France 10/23/2012 11:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States 10/23/2012 11:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Weather Chan just covered the potential of the storm now. Pretty much stating what OP did in the beginning, depending on the track it does take. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 25010694 United States 10/23/2012 12:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A storm for the ages? Perhaps. There are very few instances when I have posted a headline like the one in this blog. Hype is not a tool I use to get the attention of my audience unless it is warranted First off, you always post breaking news, and lots of flashy exlamation marks on your shit, because you are a fucking attention whore. have not seen since as far back as 1991 with the "Perfect Storm". And that part is just fucking stupid back in 1991 |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 12:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
momma coop User ID: 20442533 United States 10/23/2012 12:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Executive Summary • Potential for a very dangerous autumn storm system to affect the region early next week. • This storm will be associated with what is currently Tropical Storm Sandy. This storm system will bring multiple potential threats to the region. • Strong damaging wind gusts, extremely heavy rainfall, major inland flooding and major coastal flooding are all possible with the storm. • The track of the storm will determine the area which is impacted; there is considerable uncertainty with the storm track this far in advance of the event. • Next briefing package will be issued on Wednesday, October 24 th . • Monitor our website at weather.gov/phi [link to www.erh.noaa.gov] The power is yours. Take it back. In a world where you can choose to be anything, choose to be kind. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 13974494 United States 10/23/2012 12:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 10/23/2012 12:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey DB, received this update and thought I would share. Quoting: momma coop Executive Summary • Potential for a very dangerous autumn storm system to affect the region early next week. • This storm will be associated with what is currently Tropical Storm Sandy. This storm system will bring multiple potential threats to the region. • Strong damaging wind gusts, extremely heavy rainfall, major inland flooding and major coastal flooding are all possible with the storm. • The track of the storm will determine the area which is impacted; there is considerable uncertainty with the storm track this far in advance of the event. • Next briefing package will be issued on Wednesday, October 24 th . • Monitor our website at weather.gov/phi [link to www.erh.noaa.gov] Much thanks Momma Are you doing any preps yet? |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 12:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hurricane warning issued for Jamaica as strengthening Sandy approaches island [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov] |
Frater User ID: 18312371 United States 10/23/2012 12:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't want another hurricane, the one last year made a big mess but also bought me new heating equipment; I'm on Long island. Anyway, i don't know why you guys are making a big deal over Sandy, the computer models all still show it staying way clear of the coast and only briefly hitting a Cat 1 as it passes through jamaica and then Cuba, after that back to TS. It's good info to know about but it really doesn't feel like doom. Heres the data from cool heads: [link to www.wunderground.com] Frater LVX! |
momma coop User ID: 20442533 United States 10/23/2012 01:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey DB, received this update and thought I would share. Quoting: momma coop Executive Summary • Potential for a very dangerous autumn storm system to affect the region early next week. • This storm will be associated with what is currently Tropical Storm Sandy. This storm system will bring multiple potential threats to the region. • Strong damaging wind gusts, extremely heavy rainfall, major inland flooding and major coastal flooding are all possible with the storm. • The track of the storm will determine the area which is impacted; there is considerable uncertainty with the storm track this far in advance of the event. • Next briefing package will be issued on Wednesday, October 24 th . • Monitor our website at weather.gov/phi [link to www.erh.noaa.gov] Much thanks Momma Are you doing any preps yet? I am always ready for hurricanes. The only thing I save for the last minute is the junk food. I like to munch on junk while I keep track of things. The power is yours. Take it back. In a world where you can choose to be anything, choose to be kind. |
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alexisj9 User ID: 1376880 United Kingdom 10/23/2012 01:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Morning DB! First, thanks for pointing out a possibility but............... Quoting: MARsSPEED For once I have to disagree with you. There will be no weather doom with this storm. The most likely tracks have this heading out to the Atlantic Ocean. Due to a somewhat strong cold front to swing through the east coast late this weekend, it will both weaken and push the tropical system further out to sea. IF the systems combine, once again, it will happen over ocean waters and momentum will push it further east. The reason there is no coverage on the news is because it is HIGHLY unlikely this will affect land. However, this should be a MASSIVE storm over the ocean water and will be interesting to see what kind of info meteorologists gather by the time the storm is over. Sorry folks, no matter how you look at it, the worst you will see is a little wind and maybe a lot of rain. 99% confident! FYI, I have lived on the east coast in MD for over 30 years and have always been an affluent weather watcher. Also, The so called "perfect storm" only produced winds of 75mph which were located 100's of miles of the coast. This is a likely scenario. Again, IF this does happen again, it will not happen anywhere near land. It's EXTREMELY unlikely that any pressure system over LAND will absorb a TROPICAL system over water! The tail end of your fish storms normally hit here pretty stronge still. Let's hope not this one. |
Sul-Americano User ID: 1063827 Brazil 10/23/2012 01:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | - A storm of the ages heading to NE USA; - Market beautifully Crashing; - good chance of "x" solar flares; The cherry on the top of the cake would be a major earthquake in western USA or, even better, near New York City!!!!! |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 01:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UH-OH PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 959 AM EDT TUE OCT 23 2012 VALID 12Z SAT OCT 27 2012 - 12Z TUE OCT 30 2012 ...POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC & NORTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK... UPDATED THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 USING THE 00Z/23 EUROPEAN CENTRE ENSEMBLE MEAN, WITH A SMALL INCORPORATION OF THE 00Z/23 EUROPEAN CENTRE DETERMINISTIC MODEL TO LEND MORE DEFINITION TO THE SYNOPTIC GRADIENTS ACROSS THE NATION. USED THE MOST RECENT FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM SANDY THROUGH DAY 5, WITH A CURVE TO THE NORTHWEST DAYS 6 AND 7 BASED ON THE ECENS MEAN. THE 00Z/23 GEM GLOBAL CONTINUES TO CLUSTER WITH THE ECMWF FOR THE BEHAVIOR OF SANDY ONCE IT TRANSITIONS TO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM, INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE GETS PULLED BACK TOWARD THE SHARP UPPER TROUGH CLOSING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. THE ECMWF AND GEM GLOBAL HAVE SEVERAL RUNS OF CONTINUITY NOW WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS EVENT, WITH THE DETERMINISTIC GFS LESS STABLE. THERE HAVE BEEN GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF/GEM CAMP FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS OF MODEL CYCLES, PUTTING THE DETERMINISTIC GFS SOLUTIONS IN A BROADER FRAMEWORK WITH THEIR TRACK OF SANDY WELL OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. WILL BE UPDATING THE TRACK OF SANDY THROUGH DAY 5 FOR THE FINAL PACKAGE WITH THE ADVENT OF THE NEW NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST, AND ITS BEHAVIOR AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW THEREAFTER AS PER OUR HOTLINE COORDINATION. CISCO |
abeliever Members User ID: 17868616 United States 10/23/2012 01:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ARE YOU SERIOUS...... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25552619 IT IS JUST A SMALL DEPRESSION... YOU PEOPLE NEED TO CALM THE FUCK DOWN...... BECAUSE WHEN SOME THING REALLY FUCKED UP IS HAPPENING NO ONE WILL CARE......CRYIN WOLF ALL THE TIME.... SETTLE DOWN,,,SMOKE A FATTY,,,, THERE IS ALREADY ENOUGH REAL DOOM OUT THERE... NO NEED TO BE DISTRACTED WITH THIS CRAP.... SORRY ..i HAVE NEVER BOOKED A LAST MINUTE FLIGHT... AND PROBABLY NEVER WILL... LAST MINUTE BOOKERS DESERVE TO BE STUCK...NO????? DOSN'T SOUND LIKE THEY ARE PREPARED BOOKING LAST MIN FLIGHT...LOL... People are calm. They are also wise to be alert. Have you ever tried to book an airline flight at last minute to get in or out because of weather, only to be stuck at an airport? Advance information enables people to make wise choices for plan B. SORRY ..i HAVE NEVER BOOKED A LAST MINUTE FLIGHT... AND PROBABLY NEVER WILL... LAST MINUTE BOOKERS DESERVE TO BE STUCK...NO????? DOSN'T SOUND LIKE THEY ARE PREPARED BOOKING LAST MIN FLIGHT...LOL... I don't think you are listening. The whole idea is to be prepared. Some how you seem angry and wanting to stir up trouble by complaining and accusing. You won't find that here. Go to another thread. This thread is just to help people be prepared. OK? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 726900 Puerto Rico 10/23/2012 01:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Sul-Americano User ID: 1063827 Brazil 10/23/2012 01:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: abeliever SORRY ..i HAVE NEVER BOOKED A LAST MINUTE FLIGHT... AND PROBABLY NEVER WILL... LAST MINUTE BOOKERS DESERVE TO BE STUCK...NO????? DOSN'T SOUND LIKE THEY ARE PREPARED BOOKING LAST MIN FLIGHT...LOL... People are calm. They are also wise to be alert. Have you ever tried to book an airline flight at last minute to get in or out because of weather, only to be stuck at an airport? Advance information enables people to make wise choices for plan B. SORRY ..i HAVE NEVER BOOKED A LAST MINUTE FLIGHT... AND PROBABLY NEVER WILL... LAST MINUTE BOOKERS DESERVE TO BE STUCK...NO????? DOSN'T SOUND LIKE THEY ARE PREPARED BOOKING LAST MIN FLIGHT...LOL... I don't think you are listening. The whole idea is to be prepared. Some how you seem angry and wanting to stir up trouble by complaining and accusing. You won't find that here. Go to another thread. This thread is just to help people be prepared. OK? I'm very well prepared. I already bought some packs of beers and popcorn! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1453209 Puerto Rico 10/23/2012 01:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 10/23/2012 01:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sandy a potential threat to New England Wind shear is forecast to be in the low to moderate range, 5 - 20 knots, through Thursday morning. This should allow continued development of Sandy, and rapid development is possible. The 8 am EDT SHIPS model forecast predicted a 62% chance that Sandy's winds would increase by 30 mph over a 24-hour period. However, the Hurricane Hunters found this morning that the center at 5,000 feet was displaced 7 miles from the surface center, and there was no indication that Sandy was building an eyewall, so I expect that the earliest Sandy could become a hurricane is Wednesday morning. The 5 am EDT NHC Wind Probability Forecast gave a 49% chance that Sandy would be a hurricane by 2 pm EDT Wednesday, when the center should be close to Jamaica. Wind shear will rise to a high 25 - 30 knots by Thursday and the storm will have to cross the rugged terrain of Cuba, which should weaken Sandy's winds by 20 - 30 mph. By Friday, Sandy should be over warm waters in the Central Bahamas, but only modest re-intensification by 10 - 20 mph should occur, due to high wind shear. At that point, a very complicated meteorological situation unfolds, as Sandy interacts with a trough of low pressure approaching the U.S. East Coast. The trough may steer Sandy northeastwards, out to sea, as predicted by the GFS, HWRF, and GFDL models. However, an alternative solution, shown by the ECMWF and NOGAPS models, is for the trough to inject a large amount of energy into Sandy, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm that hits New England early next week with a central pressure of 948 mb and winds near hurricane-force. The ECMWF and NOGAPS models are off by a full day in their predictions of when the storm would arrive, with the 06Z NOGAPS model predicting Sandy's heavy rains will arrive on North Carolina's Outer Banks on Sunday, then spread into the mid-Atlantic and New England on Sunday. The 00Z ECMWF model forecast predicts that Sandy will arrive in New England on Monday night. Stay tuned. [link to www.wunderground.com] |
Sul-Americano User ID: 1063827 Brazil 10/23/2012 01:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ATTENTION!!!!!!!!!!!! According to this chart, new yorkers have less than a week to EVACUATE the city!!!!!!!! [link to www.weatherzone.com.au] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 10/23/2012 01:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ATTENTION!!!!!!!!!!!! Quoting: Sul-Americano 1063827 According to this chart, new yorkers have less than a week to EVACUATE the city!!!!!!!! [link to www.weatherzone.com.au] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 16219948 United States 10/23/2012 01:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Sul-Americano User ID: 1063827 Brazil 10/23/2012 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 01:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 01:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Joe Bastardi GFS feedback problems always seem to be in day 4-7 period. new 72 hour 75 miles northwest of yesterdays 96 [link to twitter.com] Canadian now goes to "Wilma" scenario as it hands hurricane off to trough to east forms noreaster in coastal waters. [link to twitter.com] |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 10/23/2012 02:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |