Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!

The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 3h
Will thunderstorms delay the Big Game this weekend? Details here: [link to wxch.nl]


The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 6h
Severe weather outbreak possible this weekend. Details here: [link to wxch.nl]

AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 3h
Rain, thunderstorms and damaging winds will move through the East later this weekend [link to www.accuweather.com]

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME ERN IL INTO
IND...OH...SRN MI AND NRN KY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH
THE OH AND TN VALLEYS AND A PORTION OF THE NERN AND SERN STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...

A STRONG UPPER JET NOW EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY DROPPING SEWD
INTO THE PACIFIC NW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH BASE OF SYNOPTIC SCALE
TROUGH. ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEGATIVELY TILTED
THROUGH THE MID MS...OH VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES SUNDAY...REACHING
WRN PORTIONS OF THE NERN U.S. TOWARD THE END OF THIS PERIOD. THIS
FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SFC CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO
SIGNIFICANT DEEPENING AS IT MOVES FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE MID MS...OH AND TN VALLEYS...WHILE A WARM
FRONT LIFTS NWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.

...OH AND TN VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS...

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT AND A FEW
TORNADOES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR THE
MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES.

CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S ALONG
COASTAL TX WITH 70 NOT FAR OFFSHORE. A STRONG 50+ KT SSWLY LLJ WILL
ADVECT PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH LOW 60S DEWPOINTS AS FAR
NORTH AS THE OH VALLEY WITH MID 60S FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. HOWEVER...THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS THAT WILL LIMIT DIABATIC WARMING IN MUCH OF THE
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. IT STILL APPEARS PROBABLE THAT AREAS OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ALONG WARM CONVEYOR
BELT SUNDAY MORNING. THUS...THE PRIMARY DESTABILIZATION MECHANISM
WILL BE LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION BENEATH A PLUME OF EWD
DEVELOPING 7-7.5 MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. IN WAKE OF WARM ADVECTION
STORMS...AN AXIS OF MLCAPE FROM 500-1500 J/KG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR.

THE DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING EWD THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY. STORMS MAY REDEVELOP BY AFTERNOON ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL WARM CONVEYOR BELT BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER JET EXIT
REGION AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. SHOULD SFC BASED WARM SECTOR
INITIATION OCCUR...80+ KT MID-LEVEL WSWLY WINDS WILL PROMOTE FAST
MOVING STORMS THAT SHOULD REMAIN AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DISCRETE WHERE LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND 50+
KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. HOWEVER...DEGREE OF THE TORNADO THREAT
/SHOULD THESE STORMS DEVELOP/ WILL DEPEND ON MAGNITUDE OF
DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER.

OTHERWISE...STORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT
FROM THE GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO THE MID MS AND TN VALLEYS AND
SUBSEQUENTLY DEVELOP EWD. GIVEN STRENGTH OF VERTICAL SHEAR...THESE
STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO AN ORGANIZED LINEAR MCS WITH LEWP AND
BOW ECHO STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH EMBEDDED MESO-VORTICES ALSO WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SQUALL LINE.

...NERN U.S....

STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY OUTPACE THE AXIS OF RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT AND ENCOUNTER MUCH WEAKER INSTABILITY AS THEY
APPROACH THE NERN STATES. HOWEVER...SOME THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
MAY PERSIST WITH REMAINING LOW TOPPED CONVECTION LATE THIS PERIOD.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THIS FRONT. DUE TO THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS THERE WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A FEW TORNADOES AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO
BE A THREAT. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME WILL BE LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY
EVENING.

Thanks for the heads up luis.

Take care! Forecasters see this as a very dangerous system.

With that stationary 'H' in central Canada that is going to feed a lot of cold air to that 'L' that is moving eastward in the norther US.
[link to www.theweathernetwork.com]

Thanks, Luis. Will keep an eye on things.

They've been spraying for days to calm that system, tornados in Nov. might wake up the sheep.

Wheeee! And I'm in the moderate risk area that the Storm Prediction Center is forecasting to get the nasty winds/possible tornadoes!

5*, pin request and green karma. Thanks for the update Luisport!

Matthew 24:27

For as the lightning cometh out of the east, and shineth even unto the west; so shall also the coming of the Son of man be.

A lot of jet energy with this next system. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]

I'm smack dab in the middle of this. I rarely concern myself with forecasts around here, most don't live up to the hype but, this one has my attention. It's looking BAD.

I pined it, so it can grow.


Weather doom is never pinned unless an EF20 tornado goes through Lower Manhattan during rush hour.

Thank you so much!

For those of you who are in the areas of concern, look up your closest NOAA radio broadcast call-sign on this page: [link to classic.wunderground.com]


If you happen to lose power, access the site on your phone so you can have the station broadcasting.

Here's a weather link from my area.

[link to www.indianaweatheronline.com]

Also: IF the player on above page doesn't play for you (it happens), go here and type in your local NOAA broadcast station call-sign and listen that way: [link to tunein.com]

[link to climate.cod.edu] [link to climate.cod.edu]

Stay safe guys. This looks like more than just a bad hair day.

I'm right in the middle of it.

I am also paying attention, the fire dept has been to my apartments 3 times this week training.
Last night they came at 4am setting off this horrible sound where you have no choice except leave.

I couldn't even find my passport, needless to say I got a lesson in the importance of having a bob.

It was a bad feeling standing outside in the cold in my pj's and not allowed back into the building. All the electronic locks were locked down except the front door where there was a guard.