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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
SCizE?
User ID: 14589973
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02/09/2013 02:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another online contact who Nathaniel introduced me to just now, who's called "Nergal" just told me that major changes to the Sun would occur sometime between February 18-March 3 2013, so buckle up your seatbelts, folks..... damneddamned
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


1rof1
Isis One

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02/09/2013 02:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C-flare! Woo-hoo! It appears to be a Hyder double-ribbon flare from a filament eruption between 1667 & 1670. C1.4 and rising....

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More than likely there'll be an Earth-directed CME, too.
hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I spoke too soon, lol
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
NiNzrez
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02/09/2013 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Three darn Filaments!
 Quoting: SCizMe 14589973


I think you're right. I did see the little one inside the AR to the east. And the fat-boy in the west has been slowly peeling away. But that pitchfork in the middle is awesome.

SDO Composite image:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:2/9hyder:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


nice LDE C out of this one
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

nothing on the SWPC alerts as of yet
Hugh M Eye

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02/09/2013 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft Close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I didn't really see any ejecta there, but keep an eye on STEREO for a CME. I gotta sleep now...goodnight Shenue, wherever you are....

:2/9erupt:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
SCizMe
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02/09/2013 02:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft Close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I didn't really see any ejecta there, but keep an eye on STEREO for a CME. I gotta sleep now...goodnight Shenue, wherever you are....

:2/9erupt:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hiNiNz

Giant CME Hugh [link to sdodata.oma.be] .

Sleep well SolKingsun
SCizMe
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02/09/2013 02:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Not much Filament looks like it ejected(so far)more the snapping Arcs causing a destabilisation in the Corona above it.
SCizMe
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02/09/2013 02:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME first Light on Stereo Ahead [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] .
Isis One

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02/09/2013 02:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft Close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I didn't really see any ejecta there, but keep an eye on STEREO for a CME. I gotta sleep now...goodnight Shenue, wherever you are....

:2/9erupt:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


awwww, that was sweet Hugh, and Hi Nin!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
SCizMe
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02/09/2013 03:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME first Light on Stereo Ahead [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] .
 Quoting: SCizMe 14589973


It can be made out on Behind COR 1 [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Top-Right.
Isis One

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02/09/2013 03:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi SC, did you see the eruption at the 4 o'clock position in the outer corona?

[link to sdodata.oma.be]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
SCizSLeePy
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02/09/2013 03:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Last post,the region of the Hyder Flare now looks ripe for a new region to develop [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'll be watching.

Night(ish)Peoplesleeping
SCizMe
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02/09/2013 03:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi SC, did you see the eruption at the 4 o'clock position in the outer corona?

[link to sdodata.oma.be]
 Quoting: Isis One


Yes,I think it is this one [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] visible coming from the South-West.

Good Eyes Isissun

hf

:isis:
Anonymous Coward
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02/09/2013 04:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
72 Hour Solar Doom. There was a thread posted and I am certain you all have seen but I justed wanted to post "72 Hour Solar Doom." We need some solar doom and some that are out there who were fucked by the system need it it more than anyone right now.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Official SunTard"

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02/09/2013 04:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I counted a couple of filament eruptions. Am I wrong?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Official SunTard"

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02/09/2013 04:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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02/09/2013 05:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
tick tock just a matter of time
Solar Guardian

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02/09/2013 07:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I counted a couple of filament eruptions. Am I wrong?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Are the CMEs launched from those big or small? Earth-headed? hiding

Last Edited by Solar Guardian on 02/09/2013 07:10 AM
Tiny Trink

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02/09/2013 09:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]




SO provided a addendum video this morning.


[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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02/09/2013 09:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are just entering the stage of the solar maximum were we shall see some REAL fireworks,the next few months will be crazy...

If anyone who reads this has not prepped you have eyes that can not see,maybe its time to wake up because the grid is going to be taken out...............




bump
Da fuq

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02/09/2013 10:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
shenue

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02/09/2013 11:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all. Group Hug

Some catch-up reading to do. I hope everyone is well.
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Luisport

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02/09/2013 11:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW!!! [link to jonschwartz.co]
Da fuq

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02/09/2013 11:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice shot of the CME from the LDE-Hyder

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]



(is that earth off to the right?)

Last Edited by Da fuq on 02/09/2013 11:17 AM
Da fuq

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02/09/2013 11:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Luisport


And to think it's only gonna get worse.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 02/09/2013 11:17 AM
Hugh M Eye

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02/09/2013 11:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice shot of the CME from the LDE-Hyder

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]



(is that earth off to the right?)
 Quoting: Da fuq


Wrong date. Those images are from Feb. 6th...the CME that missed us yesterday.

wtftomato
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Da fuq

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02/09/2013 11:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice shot of the CME from the LDE-Hyder

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]



(is that earth off to the right?)
 Quoting: Da fuq


Wrong date. Those images are from Feb. 6th...the CME that missed us yesterday.

wtftomato
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] lol, still asleep. Nothin gets by hugh...

woah1

Last Edited by Da fuq on 02/09/2013 11:45 AM
Hugh M Eye

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02/09/2013 11:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another slow CME with a northward trajectory...possible glancing blow IMO.

CACTus CME Details:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

STEREO Ahead Cor 2 movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SEEDS Lasco movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

NOAA Discussion-

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached low levels due to a long duration C2 flare. The
flare began at 09/0530 UTC, peaked at 09/0640 UTC and ended at 09/0726
UTC. This two-ribbon, Hyder flare erupted along a 27 degree NE-SW
oriented, quiescent filament centered near N23W06. Imagery from STEREO
Ahead COR2 imagery indicated a CME lifted off the NE limb, first
observed at 09/0709 UTC. Subsequent LASCO C2 and C3 imagery revealed a
partial-halo CME lifted off the N-W limb,
first visible on C3 at 09/0806
UTC. Initial shock velocity estimates put the plane-of-sky speed at
about 500 km/s. It appears most of the ejecta has a northly trajectory.
Region 1670 (N19E06) indicated the most change during the period.
Intermediate spot growth was observed coupled with an increase in area
and development of a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration. This region, as
well as the remander of the disk and limb, was quiet and stable.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low during the period (09 - 11 Feb)
with a slight chance for an M-class flare from developing Region 1670.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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02/09/2013 11:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New cone model shows it missing to the north...glancing blow possible.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

explosion
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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02/09/2013 11:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good (still!!) morning Hugh hf

The thing that strikes me odd is that regardless of the size of the CME, filament eruption, etc, the velocity of these ejecta are so much slower over the last +/- 6 months ...
Hugh M Eye

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02/09/2013 12:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good (still!!) morning Hugh hf

The thing that strikes me odd is that regardless of the size of the CME, filament eruption, etc, the velocity of these ejecta are so much slower over the last +/- 6 months ...
 Quoting: TS66


Hello, 66hfShouldn't you be out on your snowmobile? Haha. The big fast CMEs usually come from the high M's and X's and we haven't seen too many of those lately as you well know. What puzzles me is we haven't seen any geomagnetic storms for looong time now. Even the CMEs projected to be direct hit never seem to get here or barely cause a ripple in the magnetosphere. Also, the southern hemisphere has had a huge drought in active regions and flaring spots. It's been real boring, but still we're going on two years without a spotless day. It's much too soon to be pondering a Grand Minimum period IMO.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein