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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
ac
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02/19/2012 11:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So, we are in agreement, nothing to see here, move along? For now anyway?
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 11:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Two nice montages of the last big Earth-facing CME from the STEREO Behind pov:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

We also have a fast-growing active region (1422?) in the northern hemisphere. This region has produced the first C-flare in many days and we'll likely see many more. It's already the largest active region on the disk and still growing bigger.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 12:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/19/2012 12:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


im going to do a good run through of all data and see what i can find on this, or anything else i see out of place
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 01:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hello, NINzrezworshipsun4454 SDO spotted a large eruption in the NW polar region. It should look dramatic whenever SOHO and/or STEREO updates.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
El Quisqueyano

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02/19/2012 01:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


im going to do a good run through of all data and see what i can find on this, or anything else i see out of place
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I said there would be another hit today same as yesterday, maybe stronger due to this GRB of the 12th;

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]

IMHO this is what is causing this strange energy waves.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/19/2012 01:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Two nice montages of the last big Earth-facing CME from the STEREO Behind pov:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

We also have a fast-growing active region (1422?) in the northern hemisphere. This region has produced the first C-flare in many days and we'll likely see many more. It's already the largest active region on the disk and still growing bigger.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


if your talking about the new sunspot to the northeast of 1420, then yes i agree and it is growing Fast today
it should be numbered
looking over the latest SDO images, im suspecting this region produced a CME
it a bit harder to tell when the region is facing us directly on, but it sure looks like it

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 02/19/2012 01:33 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/19/2012 03:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this new growing sunspot is going to wake up the Xray flux
keep an eye out
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

New Fast Growing Sunspot
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 02/19/2012 03:28 PM
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 03:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this new growing sunspot is going to wake up the Xray flux
keep an eye out
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

New Fast Growing Sunspot
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I checked the SDO movie (Intensitygram) and that sunspot was not even visible until approx. 40 hours ago...that is extremely fast growth. Try starting on Feb. 18:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO image of NW CME, not Earth-directed:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 04:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A BLAST FROM THE PAST...X28!!!


[link to www.youtube.com]

MEGA-FLARE: Giant sunspot 486 unleashed yet another powerful solar flare today (Nov. 4th, 1950 UT), and this one could be historic. The blast saturated X-ray detectors onboard GOES satellites at X17.4 for 11 minutes.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
old guard

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02/19/2012 06:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Another storm
solar wind at 464, Mag BZ at -5.7
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 06:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
solar2004

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02/19/2012 07:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


You could have seen it yesterday for it reached some parts of the US. Tonight there will be a very low chance. If the Bz goes back into the negative there will be a better chance for aurora. The solar winds are still high as we are still going though the coronal hole.

Link below for ovation aurora forecast.
[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/19/2012 07:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Another storm
solar wind at 464, Mag BZ at -5.7
 Quoting: old guard


ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


we have to keep watch on the Bz
if it turns far south (negative) then you have a good chance
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


You could have seen it yesterday for it reached some parts of the US. Tonight there will be a very low chance. If the Bz goes back into the negative there will be a better chance for aurora. The solar winds are still high as we are still going though the coronal hole.

Link below for ovation aurora forecast.
[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: solar2004


thx so much!

u as well nin thx! keep up the great work!

and do either of you know how often the above website is updated
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 09:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


Here's tonight's aurora forecast w/map:

[link to www.gi.alaska.edu]

Also check Space Weather Canada:

[link to www.spaceweather.ca]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 09:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NASA to launch research rocket directly into aurora from Poker Flat, AK. Or maybe they already did; last night we spotted strong aurora right over Poker Flat.

An all-sky camera in Fort Yukon will show when aurora conditions are right. Narrow-field cameras in Fort Yukon and Venetie-manned by the UAF Geophysical Institute's Hans Nielsen and graduate student Jason Ahrns, and Venetie village resident Lance Whitwell-will help scientists better define the aurora the rocket will fly through.

After two rocket motors power the payload out of Earth's atmosphere, it will separate into two parts. One will then extend four wire antennas, each about 18 feet long, to measure the strong electric fields generated by the aurora.

Twelve other antennas and sensors, each 1 to 3 feet long, will extend from the other part of the payload to measure electrons and ions and how they interact with the Earth's magnetic field. In the 10 minutes it takes for the payload to arc 210 miles above Fort Yukon, the sensors will take thousands of measurements and transmit them back to Poker Flat.

[link to www.space-travel.com]
old guard

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02/19/2012 09:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Very Cool Hugh!

From Solarham
solar wind at 528.4
BZ at -2.6

check out the nict

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
shadasonic

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02/19/2012 10:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Very Cool Hugh!

From Solarham
solar wind at 528.4
BZ at -2.6

check out the nict

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: old guard


Hey OG its been an interesting couple of days, I guess we've got alot more to come. Very exciting times we live in,its been a long time since i've felt i'm right where I'm meant to be.I have felt that way as of late.Maybe we're all starseeds. LOL
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
old guard

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02/19/2012 10:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Very Cool Hugh!

From Solarham
solar wind at 528.4
BZ at -2.6

check out the nict

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: old guard


Hey OG its been an interesting couple of days, I guess we've got alot more to come. Very exciting times we live in,its been a long time since i've felt i'm right where I'm meant to be.I have felt that way as of late.Maybe we're all starseeds. LOL
 Quoting: shadasonic


I've been trying to figure this out like everyone on here. Look forward to your posts, for it makes me think in a different direction. Thanks!
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Aurora live in Scandinavia.

Tromso, Norway:

[link to polaris.nipr.ac.jp]

Abisko, Sweden:

[link to www.auroraskystation.com]
Starwind

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02/19/2012 11:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That new sunspot seems to want to be active

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

X-ray flux is starting to show some activity again
Starwind

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02/20/2012 12:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looks like an actual flare after all those days of straight flatline.

Currently at C3.5

I'm assuming this is coming from the spot facing directly at the SDO Images.

I guess now we look for a CME.

Actually C4.0 now.
Hugh M Eye

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02/20/2012 01:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looks like an actual flare after all those days of straight flatline.

Currently at C3.5

I'm assuming this is coming from the spot facing directly at the SDO Images.

I guess now we look for a CME.

Actually C4.0 now.
 Quoting: Starwind


Nice catch, Starwindcheers No, it didn't come from the large new region, but from AR1421 near the eastern limb. It looks like a fairly large event on the H-alpha images.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

[link to www.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
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02/20/2012 01:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hugh M Eye

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02/20/2012 01:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looks like an actual flare after all those days of straight flatline.

Currently at C3.5

I'm assuming this is coming from the spot facing directly at the SDO Images.

I guess now we look for a CME.

Actually C4.0 now.
 Quoting: Starwind


Nice catch, Starwindcheers No, it didn't come from the large new region, but from AR1421 near the eastern limb. It looks like a fairly large event on the H-alpha images.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


The sun always gives us the unexpected. AR1421 is just two barely visible dots, but this flare was quite large for a little guy.

SDO 304a:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More SDO composite images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Solar Monitor page on 1421:

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

Also, as expected the new large region near center-disk has been numbered 1422.

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]
Hugh M Eye

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02/20/2012 01:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11036150


Nice. I saw that earlier, but it only produced a moderate CME. Looks from the vid that most of the plasma rained back to the surface.
solar2004

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02/20/2012 01:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I think this region is just starting to become active. We will see much more activity from 1421 in the coming days.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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02/20/2012 09:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A nice filament at the 8 O`clock position..several other prominences..SS gearing up too...Now if we get this south tilting BZ with a CME heading our way what will be the consequences


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shenue

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02/20/2012 12:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I see we are taking a bit of a hit right now.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.





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