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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 07:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 1884 Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 2351 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Extension to Serial Number: 1883 Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0145 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Mar 08 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 345 Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 2355 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 344 Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0030 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Mar 08 2359 UTC Warning Condition: persistence Predicted NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.
 Quoting: EndOfAll


Are you looking at the currently in effect Alert/Warning-Board!? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Filling up..something is gonna' give,somewhere : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


Solar Flare Risk M-Class: 85% X-Class: 40% [link to www.solarham.com]
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 07:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This from AP;

But there is potential for widespread problems. Solar storms have three ways they can disrupt technology on Earth: with magnetic, radio and radiation emissions. This is an unusual situation when all three types of solar storm disruptions are likely to be strong, Kunches said.

That means "a whole host of things" could follow, he said.

The magnetic part of the storm has the potential to trip electrical power grids. Kunches said utility companies around the world have been alerted. The timing and speed of the storm determines whether it knocks off power grids, he said.
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 07:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
She's thinking about what to do next;

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/07/2012 07:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Wed Mar 7 2012, 2208 UT

A possible interplanetary shock wave was detected by SOHO/CELIAS at 12:00 UT today, although the corresponding jump in the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is unclear in the ACE data. The shock is probably associated with the full halo CME observed on the Sun on March 5. The southward IMF in the post-shock flow resulted in another intervals of K = 6 and K = 5 reported by NOAA. The solar wind speed in the post-shock flow reached 580 km/s. Due to this increase in the background solar wind speed, we update the prediction for the arrival time of the interplanetary counterpart of the full halo CME observed on March 7: we expect the ICME arrival around noon on March 8.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



off for today
grouphug
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


remember also, there was coronal hole winds to arrive today or tomorrow from southern CH506
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
these winds helped pave the way for this CME to come in faster
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 07:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Wed Mar 7 2012, 2208 UT

A possible interplanetary shock wave was detected by SOHO/CELIAS at 12:00 UT today, although the corresponding jump in the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is unclear in the ACE data. The shock is probably associated with the full halo CME observed on the Sun on March 5. The southward IMF in the post-shock flow resulted in another intervals of K = 6 and K = 5 reported by NOAA. The solar wind speed in the post-shock flow reached 580 km/s. Due to this increase in the background solar wind speed, we update the prediction for the arrival time of the interplanetary counterpart of the full halo CME observed on March 7: we expect the ICME arrival around noon on March 8.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



off for today
grouphug
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


remember also, there was coronal hole winds to arrive today or tomorrow from southern CH506
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
these winds helped pave the way for this CME to come in faster
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Bug out bag ready, hunker down and prepare. Could possibly disrupt electrical grid.
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 07:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


The X-Ray Flux is still showing quite alot of crackling C-Flares until just now..dipped just below C-Level activity,for now at least : )

1429 and 30 still look pretty chaotic and ugly to me [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

28 I think may be shrinking a little but still looks a little messy..I would'nt write any of them off just yet!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


The X-Ray Flux is still showing quite alot of crackling C-Flares until just now..dipped just below C-Level activity,for now at least : )

1429 and 30 still look pretty chaotic and ugly to me [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

28 I think may be shrinking a little but still looks a little messy..I would'nt write any of them off just yet!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Solar Flare Risk M-Class: 85% X-Class: 40% [link to www.solarham.com]
Anonymous Coward
03/07/2012 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
One year anniversary of this thread!
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 07:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
She's thinking about what to do next;

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


All balled up!

Take a look at this image,tip the screen forward a little if needed [link to www2.nict.go.jp]

See how she's captured what little there is out there within the Magnetosphere(obviously not entirely)..there is not much of a stream from the Magnetos' Tail-end in the above image.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/07/2012 07:55 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


How many times does your 100% have to be shot down ??? There are links included on almost every post here, where are yours ???
RTS REDUX

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03/07/2012 07:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Skip to 0:25


[link to www.youtube.com]

:IWTBclap:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


OH, NOOOO!...Not peyton manning!

Seriously, IWTB, could you please (in your next vid)
compare THIS-

zoom to 1429-
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

to THIS>
[link to lh4.ggpht.com]

I almost shit myself when I found the pic of Carrington's drawing from 1859 looks remarkably like our new friend #1429!

Hard to believe, but 1429 looks to be still growing...as it gets even MORE Earth-facing. As a debunker of all the fake doom on GLP, I am awed by the potential for TRUE terror. Driving around today, I couldn't help but notice all of the telephone wires, electrical transmission towers, cell-phone repeater towers, not to mention the plumbing and gas pipelines underground which will begin surging w/ electrical current from a severe geo-magnetic sub-storm. Worst of all, I'm 25 miles from Salem Nuclear Power Plant. My sister and family think I'm loony for even having a care about this "sword of Damocles" hanging over us.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


we had this back in 2003, don`t know if it erupted when it was facing earth though

x17
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde


i thought it was
but had to go look it up...

this sunspot you posted was the sunspot that produced the record breaking X28 flare on Nov 4, 2003
the image you posted is from when the sunspot was directly earth facing, just a few days before it rotated to the western limb
that is where it let out an amazing X flare

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
"A day later, word came from the SEC that their best estimate was X28, with a peak around 19:50 UT. Although the exact number will likely be debated for some time, it is now official: We have a new #1 X-ray flare for the record books."

can someone that has a bit of time and know how, please do a close up of the 2003 spot, 1429 and the carrington drawing
and make them so that the image of the actual sunspot on each is around the same size??
This way, we can compair 1429, directly to the carrington drawing, as well as the 2003 #1 X flare of all time

im sure im not the only one that is curious how closley they look alike
maybe this can give us a better insight as to what 1429 still may have in store for us

according to NOAA, over the remainder of this week we still have a 80% chance for M flares, and 30% chance for X flares

lets not let our guards down just yet when it comes to the Xray flux/solar flares
The main event 1429 has for us just may not have happened yat
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That picture that was posted is just after a X-17 flare that occurred early on October 28

[link to spaceweather.com]


on Nov 4th the same Sunspot let loose with the X-28

[link to spaceweather.com]
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 07:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


The X-Ray Flux is still showing quite alot of crackling C-Flares until just now..dipped just below C-Level activity,for now at least : )

1429 and 30 still look pretty chaotic and ugly to me [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

28 I think may be shrinking a little but still looks a little messy..I would'nt write any of them off just yet!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Solar Flare Risk M-Class: 85% X-Class: 40% [link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Yep,thank you Luis : )

1429 still has a B-G-D Configuration..plus it could still play with 30 potentially.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our mfield looks very strange right now.... Any ideas?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
EndOfAll
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our mfield looks very strange right now.... Any ideas?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: EndOfAll


With all that was happening today,and as quiet as this program has been, I'm starting to believe this simulation has been simulated .....

good night all, hope to see you bright and early in the AM (on GLP that is !!) hf
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 08:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our mfield looks very strange right now.... Any ideas?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: EndOfAll


With all that was happening today,and as quiet as this program has been, I'm starting to believe this simulation has been simulated .....
 Quoting: TS66


Id have to agree. Way too messy for as calm as its been since last night. Curious what there hiding exactly..
EndOfAll
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 08:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
One year anniversary of this thread!
 Quoting: Mister Obvious


Whoop-Whoop!blobr
wave

sun

HOT
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Vesper33

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03/07/2012 08:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
One year anniversary of this thread!
 Quoting: Mister Obvious


Happy Anniversary Nin!!! Good job!!! smile_kiss
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
shadasonic

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03/07/2012 08:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
She's thinking about what to do next;

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


SHES in fetal right now and waiting, momma knows whats coming, everyone needs to send some love her way
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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03/07/2012 08:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our mfield looks very strange right now.... Any ideas?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: EndOfAll


With all that was happening today,and as quiet as this program has been, I'm starting to believe this simulation has been simulated .....
 Quoting: TS66


Id have to agree. Way too messy for as calm as its been since last night. Curious what there hiding exactly..
 Quoting: EndOfAll


I think the Solar-Wind should be a little higher than Nict is showing: [link to umtof.umd.edu]

Unless the above link is a measure of S-W in another place?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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03/07/2012 08:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So I am right. flat x-rays. 1429 has lost its strength. Do not expect any more flares from this SS.100% confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


How many times does your 100% have to be shot down ??? There are links included on almost every post here, where are yours ???
 Quoting: TS66


india is gonna cause us more trouble with these predictions, was 100% confident no flares 2 days ago
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Peace_Maker

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03/07/2012 08:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.foxnews.com]

Fox reporting it also

A giant blast of plasma spat from the sun at as much as 4 million miles per hour Tuesday -- by some measures the largest solar event since late 2006 -- and it could lead to serious issues on Earth, forcing some planes to reroute, knocking out power grids, and blacking out radios
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Does anyone remember the nasa guy time to spill the beans thread. he said something like once this starts get major msm coverage it is almost time.

Anyone remember
 Quoting: anon 121214 11538627




Here is the link:

Thread: Getting laid of from NASA time to spill the beans.
Can't we all just get along?!
Peace_Maker

Thread: GLP memes
shadasonic

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03/07/2012 08:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Whats the highest proton absorption you guys have seen,i've never seen d Rap chart all the way full one more decent storm and we're off the charts. I imagine we're gonna have some shaking in a couple days
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 08:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our mfield looks very strange right now.... Any ideas?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: EndOfAll


With all that was happening today,and as quiet as this program has been, I'm starting to believe this simulation has been simulated .....
 Quoting: TS66


Id have to agree. Way too messy for as calm as its been since last night. Curious what there hiding exactly..
 Quoting: EndOfAll


I think the Solar-Wind should be a little higher than Nict is showing: [link to umtof.umd.edu]

Unless the above link is a measure of S-W in another place?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I agree winds are very weak. Considering the CME thays on its way...
EndOfAll
Eimaj

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03/07/2012 08:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


With all that was happening today,and as quiet as this program has been, I'm starting to believe this simulation has been simulated .....
 Quoting: TS66


Id have to agree. Way too messy for as calm as its been since last night. Curious what there hiding exactly..
 Quoting: EndOfAll


I think the Solar-Wind should be a little higher than Nict is showing: [link to umtof.umd.edu]

Unless the above link is a measure of S-W in another place?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I agree winds are very weak. Considering the CME thays on its way...
 Quoting: EndOfAll


When are they saying this cme is gona hit!???
This time I feel lost in a world so cold and lonely. This time I feel broke and if I left no one would even know me ...
Doompa Loompa

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03/07/2012 08:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I found a pretty informative web page on solar storms while looking for info on how they can effect satellites. Especially how they effect the reliability of real time solar information during solar storms. It doesn't really address what I'm looking for but answers questions I often see here.

[link to solarcellcentral.com]
shadasonic

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03/07/2012 08:28 PM
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...


Id have to agree. Way too messy for as calm as its been since last night. Curious what there hiding exactly..
 Quoting: EndOfAll


I think the Solar-Wind should be a little higher than Nict is showing: [link to umtof.umd.edu]

Unless the above link is a measure of S-W in another place?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I agree winds are very weak. Considering the CME thays on its way...
 Quoting: EndOfAll


When are they saying this cme is gona hit!???
 Quoting: Eimaj

This is normal right before it hits, it reminds me of a tsunami,water recedes and everything is calm before hell breaks loose
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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03/07/2012 08:33 PM
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...


I think the Solar-Wind should be a little higher than Nict is showing: [link to umtof.umd.edu]

Unless the above link is a measure of S-W in another place?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I agree winds are very weak. Considering the CME thays on its way...
 Quoting: EndOfAll


When are they saying this cme is gona hit!???
 Quoting: Eimaj

This is normal right before it hits, it reminds me of a tsunami,water recedes and everything is calm before hell breaks loose
 Quoting: shadasonic


Its not gonna be to long, I can feel it, meridian tingle with soft vibrations,gotta be the retracting electromagnetism. Never gets old!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 08:37 PM
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...


I agree winds are very weak. Considering the CME thays on its way...
 Quoting: EndOfAll


When are they saying this cme is gona hit!???
 Quoting: Eimaj

This is normal right before it hits, it reminds me of a tsunami,water recedes and everything is calm before hell breaks loose
 Quoting: shadasonic


Its not gonna be to long, I can feel it, meridian tingle with soft vibrations,gotta be the retracting electromagnetism. Never gets old!
 Quoting: shadasonic



They were saying its supposed to be here within the next 8-12 hours. But that was about 2 ago. Post is on the page before this one.
EndOfAll
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 08:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Check out the finger.. tight mag group.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
EndOfAll





GLP