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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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07/14/2012 12:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yep - looks like it peaked as a C flare.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15810497


not over yet
went to C4.7, then C4.5 and now again up to C4.7
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Seems to be flattening out - the blue line is dropping, though. Maybe it'll shoot up from here.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15810497


As soon as you posted that, I swear I saw an uptick.





X
 Quoting: zacksavage


The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Listen NiNz... if this thread ever gives me the one hour warning I've been tuning in for, that one hour will make a whole world of difference.

Like you said a few pages back, an hour can mean life or death. I figure many of us are here not hoping for grand revelations, but rather to educate ourselves to the realities of our times and to adapt as best we can. We tune in every day because if SHTF and only 2% of us are gonna be left to represent the species Homo Sapiens, we want a fighting chance dammit, and if we die in the first ten minutes from sheer ignorance, it'll only haunt our souls forever. And if I ever run into you after things have settled down a bit, I'll loot grocery stores until I can make you a chocolate truffle amaretto cheesecake.

If you are in any way allergic to the above, please tell me now, so that I can adjust my plan accordingly before that X flare (potentially) kills GLP. That goes for the rest of you too... I'd like to think if anyone survives the kind of things we talk about on GLP, it'll be those who are concerned, prepared, independent and intelligent. And ultimately, it will be their honesty and compassion that allow them to bring the best to whatever brave new world we find ourselves in. Peace and love to all the watchers.
SnakeBite

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07/14/2012 12:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just came back inside from a walk. There is this very uneasy feel in the air to me, and ive never once been wrong about my feelings, if something is wrong, my mind lets me know. Something feels very wrong where i am, its extremely quiet and calm. Just really eerie feeling
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Where are you? I'm in Toronto and I agree....the air is feeling very strange outside tonight while walking my dog just now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15751650


Hey Im in Toronto as well! Feels electric to me outside!
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


not over yet
went to C4.7, then C4.5 and now again up to C4.7
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Seems to be flattening out - the blue line is dropping, though. Maybe it'll shoot up from here.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15810497


As soon as you posted that, I swear I saw an uptick.





X
 Quoting: zacksavage


The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Good catch HUGH, theres alot of mingling going on, i'd say thats the beta gamma region building back, watch the track
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
zacksavage

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07/14/2012 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh,..what is the lag time on this sensory data we are monitoring now?

A few min?



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh,..what is the lag time on this sensory data we are monitoring now?

A few min?



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


That spark is hitting all regions if the polarity is right we got a climber getting ready
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Vesper33

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07/14/2012 12:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here We Go, its set up for energy expenditure
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C4.9 right now according to SWPC.
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
its been said before surely, but the prospect of any flare or ensuing CME wiping out the grid is one that will result in nuclear power plants being unable to cool reactors and spent fuel pools.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19380469


exactly..

439+ Fukushimas simultaneously melting down is not something that I am looking forward to
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


I'm pretty sure they have backup generators. Fuki problem was the backup gen got whacked by the tsunami, they weren't counting on that
 Quoting: Isis One


ah come on, they weren't figuring on a 9.0 EQ either, or they would have designed the plant to withstand it. the 9.0 was well beyond the deisgn basis.

as for the tsunami, who would of thought a massive tsunami would hit the coast of japan. thats up there with ' we never imagined anyone would use planes as weapons'

ironically, tsunami and kamikaze are both japanese words.

if the grid gets fried, forget it, party hard
i've got my rave candles at the ready

the divine wind is on the way, but this time from sol

wait for the 'we never imagined the sun could cause such damage'
whiteangel
also known as WA

User ID: 1775746
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07/14/2012 12:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Guess it was just coincidence - ear started ringing just as it started climbing after it leveled out, weird.
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks like it just wants to hang around the mid C's. It's toying with us lol
nerdrage88sasr

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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Listen NiNz... if this thread ever gives me the one hour warning I've been tuning in for, that one hour will make a whole world of difference.

Like you said a few pages back, an hour can mean life or death. I figure many of us are here not hoping for grand revelations, but rather to educate ourselves to the realities of our times and to adapt as best we can. We tune in every day because if SHTF and only 2% of us are gonna be left to represent the species Homo Sapiens, we want a fighting chance dammit, and if we die in the first ten minutes from sheer ignorance, it'll only haunt our souls forever. And if I ever run into you after things have settled down a bit, I'll loot grocery stores until I can make you a chocolate truffle amaretto cheesecake.

If you are in any way allergic to the above, please tell me now, so that I can adjust my plan accordingly before that X flare (potentially) kills GLP. That goes for the rest of you too... I'd like to think if anyone survives the kind of things we talk about on GLP, it'll be those who are concerned, prepared, independent and intelligent. And ultimately, it will be their honesty and compassion that allow them to bring the best to whatever brave new world we find ourselves in. Peace and love to all the watchers.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


Well fucking said!
applause2clappa
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
tomasgod1

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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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[link to www.youtube.com]

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shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ips.gov.au]


We have 3 split camps on electron buildup. small but ready, we'll see movement shortly on this energy buildup, what a weird pick up from 2 hours ago
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Listen NiNz... if this thread ever gives me the one hour warning I've been tuning in for, that one hour will make a whole world of difference.

Like you said a few pages back, an hour can mean life or death. I figure many of us are here not hoping for grand revelations, but rather to educate ourselves to the realities of our times and to adapt as best we can. We tune in every day because if SHTF and only 2% of us are gonna be left to represent the species Homo Sapiens, we want a fighting chance dammit, and if we die in the first ten minutes from sheer ignorance, it'll only haunt our souls forever. And if I ever run into you after things have settled down a bit, I'll loot grocery stores until I can make you a chocolate truffle amaretto cheesecake.

If you are in any way allergic to the above, please tell me now, so that I can adjust my plan accordingly before that X flare (potentially) kills GLP. That goes for the rest of you too... I'd like to think if anyone survives the kind of things we talk about on GLP, it'll be those who are concerned, prepared, independent and intelligent. And ultimately, it will be their honesty and compassion that allow them to bring the best to whatever brave new world we find ourselves in. Peace and love to all the watchers.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


well said :)

ahhh the cheesecake part made me laugh and smile
thank you for that and for the sweet thought :)
not alergic at all and in fact, cheesecake is one of my all time favs ever!
anything made with cream cheese! yum! haha
now im hungry haha


and well, i guess the main reason most of us are here posting the info we have is so that we CAN give any and all warning of anything we may or may not see
not about doom and gloom at all
we have seen a lot of larger events cause no problems at all and we all woke up the next day just fine :)
most of us just live in the reality of the possibilitys
and as i have talked with Tom about more than once...
if even one person is helped by the info we track down and report on, then we have done good :)

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/14/2012 12:43 AM
RTS REDUX

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07/14/2012 12:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


Heere ya go:

SOHO SW data:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE 6-Hour SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thanks Hugh :)

edit to say Damn, they last updated at 16:36 UTC july 13th
nothing newer :/
they are not making this easy are they haha
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wow, a 12 hour gap? That's even long by SOHO standards. I've been checking for new images of the sungrazing comet....now it's probably gone.
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


well, just a thought here
but it could have just arrives at the sun
thus, the Xray flux rise
we now need to watch for a new CME

oooh and i just noticed
all of SOHO stopped updating around the same time
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

around 16:36 July 13th
 Quoting: NiNzrez


yup..here's a video of the Comet that ends at 16:30

I'm sure the comet impacted or burned up hours ago. Also.. it arrived after The M-flare CME so it's possible imo there's been at least one and possibly two large CME's
since the X-flare



[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


licking your finger and holding it above your head won't help?

knew i was doing something wrong
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Yeah check out that density , thats gonna be interesting
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


Hey, when you're an AC and you can't prove if you've been supporting a thread for a year or a week, you use words like chocolate and amaretto to get the point across lol

Although seriously, if the shit does hit the fan, and we end up as Mad Max style nomads, the first question I'm going to ask strangers is if they were ever on a website that goes by the name GLP. I have a feeling a good number of survivors will say yes, and if any of them had spent their free time here educating and informing perfect strangers, and thus directly contributing to my long term survival, they would have a friend for life.
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This is a very wrong action by this sunspot. Polarity being what it is the magnetism isn't going to coerce this to humble itself. this SS should rise up and release energy , with its makeup it isn't doing this its just half assing it

That delta region still has polarity kicking it should blow, when given rise to momentum the least it should do is a high level M, MId C is crap!

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/14/2012 12:51 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


hey vesper
great to see you show up for the show :)
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


Hey, when you're an AC and you can't prove if you've been supporting a thread for a year or a week, you use words like chocolate and amaretto to get the point across lol

Although seriously, if the shit does hit the fan, and we end up as Mad Max style nomads, the first question I'm going to ask strangers is if they were ever on a website that goes by the name GLP. I have a feeling a good number of survivors will say yes, and if any of them had spent their free time here educating and informing perfect strangers, and thus directly contributing to my long term survival, they would have a friend for life.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


interesting perspective.

could be a bit like playing the lottery

depending on which GLPer you run into, asking that question could lead to you being someones dinner!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
so i ran over to look at the new HI2 image
and it looks clear on the new image when putting it side by side with the ones from the 13th

here we see the CME as it was at 21:47 UTC july 13
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

here is the newest image at 03:47
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/14/2012 12:55 AM
Hugh M Eye

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07/14/2012 12:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh,..what is the lag time on this sensory data we are monitoring now?

A few min?



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


GONG has a network of scopes around the world to keep a constant up-to-the-minute watch on the Sun (weather permitting). Learmonth in Australia is live now and updates every few minutes. Here's the page w/all locations. The green ones are "live" and there's a time-stamp. They also offer a quick-view movie (every fourth frame) or a full movie. It's a handy tool for watching filaments and getting immediate looks at flare locations.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 07/14/2012 12:53 AM
whiteangel
also known as WA

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07/14/2012 12:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is this live [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] or delayed and if delayed by how long? I know it is on a 1 minute increment. Something I always meant to ask and kept forgetting.
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This is a very wrong action by this sunspot. Polarity being what it is the magnetism isn't going to coerce this to humble itself. this SS should rise up and release energy , with its makeup it isn't doing this its just half assing it

That delta region still has polarity kicking it should blow, when given rise to momentum the least it should do is a high level M, MId C is crap!
 Quoting: shadasonic


All I can think of is how much everyone hates the word entanglement!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
SnakeBite

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07/14/2012 12:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Shes goin vertical!
nerdrage88sasr

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
definate spike
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
C7.6
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is this live [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] or delayed and if delayed by how long? I know it is on a 1 minute increment. Something I always meant to ask and kept forgetting.
 Quoting: whiteangel


live
updates each 1 min
THAT is the one to watch!





GLP