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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

User ID: 12844841
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09/01/2012 11:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Greets folks..so glad to see Ninz and Hugh here.
rockon

as expected, everything is skyrocketing:

epam protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

electrons are in extreme fraggled state

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

he protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

haven't seen this one this high for a good long while:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and:

tectdh

[link to www.ips.gov.au]

warming to the oranges in wide areas already today.

as asked before....I was watching EVE yesterday when this all was going on, and I did not see an xray event. Plenty of light in the area, but not the fuzz that I have become used to on EVE after an xray event.

Hope everybody is well. Thanks everyone for keeping the thread hopping whilst I couldnt check in yesterday.
thumbs
 Quoting: mistersplinter


thanks for posting those :)
i will add to them how the Low Energy Protons are something to watch as they tell the story of how strong this CME is/will be
We can see the low energy protons on ACE here
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Im taking a stab at this and saying thei will be a very strong "glancing" blow
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/01/2012 11:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Greets folks..so glad to see Ninz and Hugh here.
rockon

as expected, everything is skyrocketing:

epam protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

electrons are in extreme fraggled state

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

he protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

haven't seen this one this high for a good long while:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and:


[link to www.ips.gov.au]

warming to the oranges in wide areas already today.

as asked before....I was watching EVE yesterday when this all was going on, and I did not see an xray event. Plenty of light in the area, but not the fuzz that I have become used to on EVE after an xray event.

Hope everybody is well. Thanks everyone for keeping the thread hopping whilst I couldnt check in yesterday.
thumbs
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Heya Splinter

:ohshit88:

doom88doom
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


haha we are always on the same info at the same times ^^
your post is better because you took the time to upload the image
thanks!
nerdrage88sasr

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09/01/2012 11:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Greets folks..so glad to see Ninz and Hugh here.
rockon

as expected, everything is skyrocketing:

epam protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

electrons are in extreme fraggled state

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

he protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

haven't seen this one this high for a good long while:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and:


[link to www.ips.gov.au]

warming to the oranges in wide areas already today.

as asked before....I was watching EVE yesterday when this all was going on, and I did not see an xray event. Plenty of light in the area, but not the fuzz that I have become used to on EVE after an xray event.

Hope everybody is well. Thanks everyone for keeping the thread hopping whilst I couldnt check in yesterday.
thumbs
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Heya Splinter


 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


haha we are always on the same info at the same times ^^
your post is better because you took the time to upload the image
thanks!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


always welcome Nin!
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 11:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know this has been answered on many pages before but I can't recall the info. How far away are these monitors from Earth? How fast after they hit them does this hit us?
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 11:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: spencer


good video


"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 11:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
AkivaJeff

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09/01/2012 11:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
absorption is high as well:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

same pattern as before...16hrs on, 8hrs off, started back at 1400 utc

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know this has been answered on many pages before but I can't recall the info. How far away are these monitors from Earth? How fast after they hit them does this hit us?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22813360


around 20min
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 12:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm not seeing any warnings, looks like they are considering it more of a radio event.

solen states the CME created a weakenhancement in proton levels.

[link to www.solen.info]

It would seem, with what the are giving us, he should be fine. It doesn't look like there has been any issues with GPS, and no warnings in regard to high altitude flights...
 Quoting: TS66


Thank You 66 and thank you Nin...to both of you.
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sorry Jeff...that was me in the above post. Had gotten signed out and didn't realize it.
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We all are glad to see you back, even if it is only "somewhat" right now. :-)
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
shenue

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09/01/2012 12:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm not seeing any warnings, looks like they are considering it more of a radio event.

solen states the CME created a weakenhancement in proton levels.

[link to www.solen.info]

It would seem, with what the are giving us, he should be fine. It doesn't look like there has been any issues with GPS, and no warnings in regard to high altitude flights...
 Quoting: TS66


Thank You 66 and thank you Nin...to both of you.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Don't ya just hate it when you get logged out and you don't realize it before posting? lol
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hi Nin

So good to see you back flower
 Quoting: TS66


somewhat back haha
kids are back in school this Tuesday
so lots to do before then to be all organized
but im trying to stay on top of this CME arrival as well as coming conditions :)
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We all are glad to see you back, even if it is only "somewhat" right now. :-)
 Quoting: shenue


I am thankful...

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
heyyyy
check out the solen report for 27 days ago on Aug 5th
that is when this same area of the sun was earth facing last time
[link to www.solen.info]
"The only interesting event during the day was a very long duration C3.5 event beginning just after 11h and peaking at 15:00 UTC. Its source was a large filament eruption in the southeast quadrant from about 40 degrees east to the central meridian and from near the equator in the north to ARs 11539 and 11538 in the south. The event was associated with a full halo asymmetric CME. Earth is probably outside the path of the core CME, however, an impact is likely on August 7."

same area, in the same earth facing position


[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/01/2012 12:50 PM
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
According to Dr Strong's calculation the speed of the CME yesterday (from the filament) was said to be 2000 km/s or 4,473,872.584 MPH

Simply Incredible.

Not quite as fast as that rare event a couple months ago off the west limb at 7 million mph, but when you are calculating speeds by the millions of mph ??? Blows my mind.
 Quoting: TS66


if it is travelling that fast, i got ETA at 21 hrs...!
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Same here
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
AkivaJeff

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09/01/2012 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Yes. I like this site enough to join/contribute. (thanks to most of the posters on it)
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 12:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to you all...

YAY! LOOK AT ME!
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


You have a pretty gold star. Is that what you are saying? :-)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5263313


Yes. I like this site enough to join/contribute. (thanks to most of the posters on it)
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


I'd give ya green for that, but I can't yet...couplamore days.

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/01/2012 12:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looking at todays movie on SDO in the gold filter, we can see there is some very active magnetic activity going on around sunspot 1560
also looking at the magnetogram i can see some major fast growth within this region today, as well as connectivity between this region and the sunspots in the southeastern region
if this continues, we could see a good sized flare very soon, as well as a possible CME coming from this area
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

wow, also something else i just noticed
look at the movie for all of today in the Red filter, and watch the entire top right (northwest) section
you can see the wave of plasms that was from the filament ejection in the southeast (bottom left), then a few min later you can see that wave go up over the whole top right
like a wave of plasma went over the whole earth facing side of the sun with this event

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/01/2012 01:09 PM
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
radial speed and temp picking up a little

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nothing crazy on magnetosphere.



[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I like the TEC graph at the bottom here...nice to see it in motion.
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

same pattern as before...16hrs on, 8hrs off, started back at 1400 utc

cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]
 Quoting: mistersplinter


It carries out that pattern for cycles. I remember last year it was doing the same thing
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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09/01/2012 01:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
heyyyy
check out the solen report for 27 days ago on Aug 5th
that is when this same area of the sun was earth facing last time
[link to www.solen.info]
"The only interesting event during the day was a very long duration C3.5 event beginning just after 11h and peaking at 15:00 UTC. Its source was a large filament eruption in the southeast quadrant from about 40 degrees east to the central meridian and from near the equator in the north to ARs 11539 and 11538 in the south. The event was associated with a full halo asymmetric CME. Earth is probably outside the path of the core CME, however, an impact is likely on August 7."

same area, in the same earth facing position


[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I remember that filament lifting and reforming , thought several times it was going to 'let go'. It seems it just wasn't ready until now
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mistersplinter

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09/01/2012 01:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


got this one hanging out near what SC has dubbed Ninz' corner
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 01:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looking at todays movie on SDO in the gold filter, we can see there is some very active magnetic activity going on around sunspot 1560
also looking at the magnetogram i can see some major fast growth within this region today, as well as connectivity between this region and the sunspots in the southeastern region
if this continues, we could see a good sized flare very soon, as well as a possible CME coming from this area
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

wow, also something else i just noticed
look at the movie for all of today in the Red filter, and watch the entire top right (northwest) section
you can see the wave of plasms that was from the filament ejection in the southeast (bottom left), then a few min later you can see that wave go up over the whole top right
like a wave of plasma went over the whole earth facing side of the sun with this event
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi Nin- the Sun continues to amaze us, glad to see you back.hf
I have not been here much due to computer issues, and very busy w/ all kinds of stuff, too.
Hi everyone!I am very glad you all kept this thread going so awesome!
I re-upped just for this SolarWatch thread. Love you guys!
Isis One

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09/01/2012 01:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looking at several observatories to view this release, I noticed that the PROBA2/SWAP 174 angstrom imager exhibits something that no other source appears to display. Immediately prior to the event, material can be seen scattering about as usually seen in a detector following a CME.. perhaps this is of some use. To view the sequence without compiling a video, open the link and change the time step to 1 minute then step forward with the arrows to see the following frames.

[link to helioviewer.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4394518


Thanks for bringing this to my attention and explaining how to use it, I will be back there a LOT!!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

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Anonymous Coward
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09/01/2012 01:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


got this one hanging out near what SC has dubbed Ninz' corner
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Ninz corner- awesome!





GLP