SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 24399306 United States 10/12/2012 12:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If you guys want some entertainment theres a thread about the sun having a massive coronal hole thats going to do us all in. I posted several times then thought whats the use. Quoting: shadasonic Piazza story a hoot!! Skipped the coronal thread...I was afraid they would start comparing it to body parts. No doubt Mox! [link to www.ips.gov.au] TEC max level needs to raised to 100,you guessed it , its too damn high! If we'd get an earth facing Flare maybe we wouldn't have constant electron absorption. We need to bleed that tank! NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-class solar flares and a 5% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 10/12/2012 12:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may be seeing the Reverse Shock at the end of that coronal hole stream. The Bz is staying South for a bit and the SW speed is still over 500 km/s. Here's the current ACE data plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No NOAA alerts issued yet, but the Boulder magnetometer is showing a K-index of 4 (unsettled) at 41.3 nT: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Things should be calming down until the next stream (or CME if we get any) hits us. Good night, Suntards and Sol Sisters. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 10/12/2012 12:25 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may be seeing the Reverse Shock at the end of that coronal hole stream. The Bz is staying South for a bit and the SW speed is still over 500 km/s. Here's the current ACE data plot: Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No NOAA alerts issued yet, but the Boulder magnetometer is showing a K-index of 4 (unsettled) at 41.3 nT: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Things should be calming down until the next stream (or CME if we get any) hits us. Good night, Suntards and Sol Sisters. OOPS, as soon as I posted they issued a warning, haha. Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 2017 Issue Time: 2012 Oct 12 0406 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2012 Oct 12 0406 UTC Valid To: 2012 Oct 12 0900 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 10/12/2012 12:25 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may be seeing the Reverse Shock at the end of that coronal hole stream. The Bz is staying South for a bit and the SW speed is still over 500 km/s. Here's the current ACE data plot: Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] No NOAA alerts issued yet, but the Boulder magnetometer is showing a K-index of 4 (unsettled) at 41.3 nT: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Things should be calming down until the next stream (or CME if we get any) hits us. Good night, Suntards and Sol Sisters. OOPS, as soon as I posted they issued a warning, haha. Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 2017 Issue Time: 2012 Oct 12 0406 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2012 Oct 12 0406 UTC Valid To: 2012 Oct 12 0900 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States 10/12/2012 03:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It's gonna get crowded soon! Quoting: Hugh M Eye Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 286 Issued at 0030Z on 12 Oct 2012 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 11 Oct I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 11/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1585 S19W54 009 0100 Cao 05 08 Beta 1586 S13E11 304 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1588 N09W87 042 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha 1589 N12E49 266 0280 Dac 10 20 Beta-Gamma 1590 S29E59 256 0030 Cso 05 02 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 11/2400Z Oct Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 12 Oct to 14 Oct Nmbr Lat Lo 1575 N08 205 1583 N13 204 1578 N21 188 1577 N09 186 Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] I SPY AR1591- :1591??: That looks like a nice one too, but a little too early to tell. |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States 10/12/2012 04:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States 10/12/2012 04:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Peaked at a C9.0 |
Tiny Trink User ID: 25361381 United States 10/12/2012 07:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello Everyone, The 2 min news talks about the radiation map for the USA and that the sun spots die out once turning to earth. Have a great one! [link to www.youtube.com] Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 10/12/2012 07:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... What's up with the never ending C9.0??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .... and solar soft is forbidden again. Forbidden You don't have permission to access /solarsoft/latest_events/ on this server. [link to www.lmsal.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 10/12/2012 07:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Did anyone catch the filament eruption at 00:45 UTC today ??? I was checking on the C9 and saw it on SDO. Here's a shot from the helioviewer. Just think of the "could of beens" .... Looks like the never ending C9 came from 1589 at 8:08 [link to halpha.nso.edu] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1512800 United States 10/12/2012 08:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 10/12/2012 09:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... Quoting: TS66 What's up with the never ending C9.0??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .... and solar soft is forbidden again. Forbidden You don't have permission to access /solarsoft/latest_events/ on this server. [link to www.lmsal.com] I am trying to understand the 'never ending C9' comment. When I look at the graph, I only see a short lived C9 at about hr 10. I am still trying to learn because so much of the sun stuff simply escapes me...still. What is it that I am missing? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thank you 66. And good morning to everyone! Last Edited by shenue on 10/12/2012 09:09 AM Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 25210489 United States 10/12/2012 09:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is so off topic, but then again not, I just had to share .... lol Someone just sent this to me, and let's face it, THIS is the REAL problem. A very well spoken seemingly intelligent woman, that in all honesty should not even be allowed behind the wheel of a car. Quoting: TS66 And this is not the first time I've heard this sentiment !!! How in the world are we collectively as a species going to survive doom ???? LOL That can't be for real! They're out there, thats for sure. Had man in front of me at a Caseys pizza quick stop. Guy asked him how many slices did he want his pizza cut into 8 or 10. The guy looked at him in all seriousness and said, "I don't think theres anyway I can eat 10, better make it 8." omg Are you serious? Is she serious? Wow!Deers can now read, according to this woman. LOL |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 10/12/2012 09:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... Quoting: TS66 What's up with the never ending C9.0??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .... and solar soft is forbidden again. Forbidden You don't have permission to access /solarsoft/latest_events/ on this server. [link to www.lmsal.com] I am trying to understand the 'never ending C9' comment. When I look at the graph, I only see a short lived C9 at about hr 10. I am still trying to learn because so much of the sun stuff simply escapes me...still. What is it that I am missing? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thank you 66. And good morning to everyone! If you look at the chart below the graph, it shows Cur Beg Max End and the corresponding times of each. They show the beginning of the C flare at 8:08, the Max at 8:20 (C9), but no end time. Not to mention, no note of the flares that followed after the C9. It's as if someone decided to just go home in the middle of their shift. Solar soft is still inaccessible too ??? |
shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States 10/12/2012 09:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... Quoting: TS66 What's up with the never ending C9.0??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .... and solar soft is forbidden again. Forbidden You don't have permission to access /solarsoft/latest_events/ on this server. [link to www.lmsal.com] I am trying to understand the 'never ending C9' comment. When I look at the graph, I only see a short lived C9 at about hr 10. I am still trying to learn because so much of the sun stuff simply escapes me...still. What is it that I am missing? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thank you 66. And good morning to everyone! If you look at the chart below the graph, it shows Cur Beg Max End and the corresponding times of each. They show the beginning of the C flare at 8:08, the Max at 8:20 (C9), but no end time. Not to mention, no note of the flares that followed after the C9. It's as if someone decided to just go home in the middle of their shift. Solar soft is still inaccessible too ??? They are all at caseys getting their 8 slices of pizza! I can't get on solsoft either. I've seen them not give end times for flares before but its just weird because other sites aren't up and when I try to get on certain nasa sites it restarts my computer! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 10/12/2012 09:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 10/12/2012 09:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... Quoting: TS66 What's up with the never ending C9.0??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .... and solar soft is forbidden again. Forbidden You don't have permission to access /solarsoft/latest_events/ on this server. [link to www.lmsal.com] I am trying to understand the 'never ending C9' comment. When I look at the graph, I only see a short lived C9 at about hr 10. I am still trying to learn because so much of the sun stuff simply escapes me...still. What is it that I am missing? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thank you 66. And good morning to everyone! If you look at the chart below the graph, it shows Cur Beg Max End and the corresponding times of each. They show the beginning of the C flare at 8:08, the Max at 8:20 (C9), but no end time. Not to mention, no note of the flares that followed after the C9. It's as if someone decided to just go home in the middle of their shift. Solar soft is still inaccessible too ??? Thank You 66 Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
psyoptics User ID: 11919225 United States 10/12/2012 12:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now this is out there but you guys probably expect that from me. I've been going back quite away on this thread looking for anything that would give me a clue on earthfacing SS decline. One very interesting thing I've found is that as the SS started declining the TEC levels started rising. We've become enamored with the TEC being too damn high and thats because its all we've been given energy wise. I think its odd and I'm sure theres an explanation, but we're getting a much higher electron particle average as our SS plasma diminishes,just throwing it out there! Quoting: shadasonic 2 things i have noticed. 1 it is just not SS but all solar activity fall silent when facing our planet. 2 i thought it was a issue with our position in the orbit around the sun and as we came around we would be facing these outbursts...but know they really seem to be going on on the backs ...well that backside is referenced from earths perspective. this seems more like there is a magnetic push from earth's direction on the sun...as soon as this is out of reach blast away! a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants. |
psyoptics User ID: 11919225 United States 10/12/2012 12:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello Everyone, Quoting: Tiny Trink The 2 min news talks about the radiation map for the USA and that the sun spots die out once turning to earth. Have a great one! [link to www.youtube.com] EYES open and yet again a beta/gama SS falls asleep and yes he is not the only one to notice this. gee i feel like i just responded to a SHAD post about that very thing just before i watch the 2 min news.......... so? NASA.....? SO? oh smart ones......? SO? just as the sun falls silent on this, so has info from our researchers...i mean our PAYED ones! a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants. |
psyoptics User ID: 11919225 United States 10/12/2012 12:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning all .... Quoting: TS66 What's up with the never ending C9.0??? They are all at caseys getting their 8 slices of pizza! I can't get on solsoft either. I've seen them not give end times for flares before but its just weird because other sites aren't up and when I try to get on certain nasa sites it restarts my computer! they must have cut the pie into 14 slices thinking they would have enough....opps needed to run back for more. a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24518278 United States 10/12/2012 02:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24518278 United States 10/12/2012 02:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At least you guys are cracking on the big boys now. Makes me sad to see Shad and others laughing at the sheeple's stupidity - in the other thread..... (that guy didn't seem belligerent)some probably laugh at this thread and it's continual "*Gee, the data doesn't add up" denial, though. So, I guess it all balances out anyways...... |
whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States 10/12/2012 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now this is out there but you guys probably expect that from me. I've been going back quite away on this thread looking for anything that would give me a clue on earthfacing SS decline. One very interesting thing I've found is that as the SS started declining the TEC levels started rising. We've become enamored with the TEC being too damn high and thats because its all we've been given energy wise. I think its odd and I'm sure theres an explanation, but we're getting a much higher electron particle average as our SS plasma diminishes,just throwing it out there! Quoting: shadasonic 2 things i have noticed. 1 it is just not SS but all solar activity fall silent when facing our planet. 2 i thought it was a issue with our position in the orbit around the sun and as we came around we would be facing these outbursts...but know they really seem to be going on on the backs ...well that backside is referenced from earths perspective. this seems more like there is a magnetic push from earth's direction on the sun...as soon as this is out of reach blast away! This would make sense IF it only happened when the sunspots were at the 60 degree longitude mark which is where it is earth directed, or there and about. Only from this direction would Earth be able to push something away, if that is even possible. The west and east limbs of the Sun are not earth directed, heck anything west of 30 degree longitude isn't Earth directed. It has to be "something" else besides Earth itself. Something that was behind the Sun at one point and now seems to be more on the back west side (if you were looking at the Earth it is west or left side of screen lol). Something that is drawing the energy of the Sun that way. This has been happening since just after mid July. We've even had BGD sunspots pointing at us and they didn't even burp. As you can tell with my unscientific wording, this is just observation from a person who loves solar watching. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 10/12/2012 06:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
madajs User ID: 24791599 Canada 10/12/2012 07:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Haha, well said TS! :) The only thing I'm seeing at the moment is some Bz/Bt separation [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Possibly the vanguard of CH539. Either way nothing much exciting going on with Sol for the moment :) And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
optimum judgment User ID: 24021617 United Kingdom 10/12/2012 07:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | awesome loops and good interaction from the two,almost synchronised |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 10/12/2012 08:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 2018 Issue Time: 2012 Oct 12 2245 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2012 Oct 12 2250 UTC Valid To: 2012 Oct 13 1300 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Bz going South again-ACE SW Data: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 10/12/2012 08:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello Everyone, Quoting: Tiny Trink The 2 min news talks about the radiation map for the USA and that the sun spots die out once turning to earth. Have a great one! [link to www.youtube.com] In the last shot of the vid, those two sunspots coming around the eastern limb look concave to me, like as if they've been sucked down into the sun somewhat, i wondeer if that keeps them from flaring, like they are below some kind of elevation necessary for flares to occur. Also, maybe some force is pushing them into the sun, only on the frontside. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 10/12/2012 08:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now this is out there but you guys probably expect that from me. I've been going back quite away on this thread looking for anything that would give me a clue on earthfacing SS decline. One very interesting thing I've found is that as the SS started declining the TEC levels started rising. We've become enamored with the TEC being too damn high and thats because its all we've been given energy wise. I think its odd and I'm sure theres an explanation, but we're getting a much higher electron particle average as our SS plasma diminishes,just throwing it out there! Quoting: shadasonic 2 things i have noticed. 1 it is just not SS but all solar activity fall silent when facing our planet. 2 i thought it was a issue with our position in the orbit around the sun and as we came around we would be facing these outbursts...but know they really seem to be going on on the backs ...well that backside is referenced from earths perspective. this seems more like there is a magnetic push from earth's direction on the sun...as soon as this is out of reach blast away! Oh my gosh Psy, see the comment I just posted above. I'm going through today's comments, watched the vid, posted and now see your post, I think we are thinking along the same lines Last Edited by Isis One on 10/12/2012 08:11 PM Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
mtn_mang User ID: 20008997 United States 10/12/2012 08:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | somebody tell me the line between 1589 and the upcoming region is a glitch. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] :for solar thread: Last Edited by mtn_mang on 10/12/2012 08:18 PM |