SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 10:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 387 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 16 1647 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2013 Mar 16 1645 UTC Valid To: 2013 Mar 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. Wow, nice catch 66! It looked earlier as if it had peaked just shy of the warning threshold. Thanks for keeping us all updated! |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 10:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 387 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 16 1647 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2013 Mar 16 1645 UTC Valid To: 2013 Mar 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. Wow, nice catch 66! It looked earlier as if it had peaked just shy of the warning threshold. Thanks for keeping us all updated! The 2 small CME's having this great an effect? |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Another? Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/16/2013 10:41 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 35725151 United States 03/16/2013 10:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Quoting: Da fuq [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Another? GOES is flat lined, it's all good |
mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States 03/16/2013 10:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | is it just me, or does the CH in the center make it look like the bat signal? [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] have a bad feeling about this.. Last Edited by mtn_mang on 03/16/2013 11:04 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33854374 Canada 03/16/2013 10:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | March 21 Equinox, now we are fully exposed to the center of our Galaxy with the Sun at our side, and giving us no protection from the center of the galaxy, we can expect more solar flares combined with more energy from the center of our Galaxy. This will increase immensely until we arrive at our next date in our Earths rotation.... Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though! |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 10:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/16/2013 10:51 AM |
shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States 03/16/2013 10:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Its going to be interesting to see the proton levels when the big brother comes in. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 11:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 11:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Moving on to our next date in our Earths rotation.... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33854374 March 21 Equinox, now we are fully exposed to the center of our Galaxy with the Sun at our side, and giving us no protection from the center of the galaxy, we can expect more solar flares combined with more energy from the center of our Galaxy. This will increase immensely until we arrive at our next date in our Earths rotation.... Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though! Why would this cause an increase in solar flares? Why didn't we see any in the years 2007, 2008,and 2009? Actually we have MORE protection from cosmic rays when the sun is active. Solar maximums expand and strengthen the heliosphere, it's during the minimums of solar activity when we see more galactic cosmic rays. Also very few gamma ray bursts have been recorded in the Milky Way itself and almost all are extra-galactic. Are you aware of recent supernovae which may have an effect on our galactic neighborhood? |
BloodyT3CH User ID: 2148885 Lithuania 03/16/2013 11:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yup another cme, but a lot smaller. To me it looks earth directed doesn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen - ME |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 11:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yup another cme, but a lot smaller. To me it looks earth directed doesn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I know, but i'm wondering the cause. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/16/2013 11:30 AM |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Quoting: Da fuq Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels. STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Earth's magnetic footpoint: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Quoting: Da fuq Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels. STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Earth's magnetic footpoint: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 11:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | How would it leave no trace on the x-ray? Another symptom of the "double peaked" sun? The speed from that is insane. Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/16/2013 11:40 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33854374 Canada 03/16/2013 11:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Moving on to our next date in our Earths rotation.... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33854374 March 21 Equinox, now we are fully exposed to the center of our Galaxy with the Sun at our side, and giving us no protection from the center of the galaxy, we can expect more solar flares combined with more energy from the center of our Galaxy. This will increase immensely until we arrive at our next date in our Earths rotation.... Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though! Why would this cause an increase in solar flares? Why didn't we see any in the years 2007, 2008,and 2009? Actually we have MORE protection from cosmic rays when the sun is active. Solar maximums expand and strengthen the heliosphere, it's during the minimums of solar activity when we see more galactic cosmic rays. Also very few gamma ray bursts have been recorded in the Milky Way itself and almost all are extra-galactic. Are you aware of recent supernovae which may have an effect on our galactic neighborhood? watch and learn Hugh....... I dont spend all day looking and listening to what NASA says.... If you were to read the thread you would understand what I am trying to tell you....... do some research and you will see that activity did pick up in this same time frame the last few years...January to september you were baffled back in december as to why the backside of the sun was very active only to turn quiet as those spots became earth facing...... well....now our earth is getting closer in its orbit around the sun to where the backside activity was back in december..... but I think your mind is not open enough to see out side of your PC(box)......... no disrespect intended Hugh..... Frank Zappa would be proud |
BloodyT3CH User ID: 2148885 Lithuania 03/16/2013 11:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not Don't know at this time [link to www.youtube.com] Last Edited by BloodyT3CH on 03/16/2013 11:37 AM Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen - ME |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 11:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not Quoting: BloodyT3CH Don't know at this time [link to www.youtube.com] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] top left. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 11:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Quoting: Da fuq Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels. STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Earth's magnetic footpoint: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Wowee Zowee! How did we miss that one? I saw nothing on the GONG or the x-ray flux so I figured it was backside action, but Noooooooooo......awesome filament explosion at a very high speed. Normally this wouldn't seem geoeffective, but that footpoint location has me hesitating. I'll wait for more data. SDO 304a images of large filament explosion: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Very photogenic--this one should make the highlight reels, LOL. |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 28232082 United States 03/16/2013 11:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | CME Arrival Due Today - Updated Hourly Today we are awaiting the arrival of a Earth directed CME that was ejected from the solar surface on March 15, 2013. While we wait for this CME to arrive, we thought it would be a good time to update everyone with the info we have on this CME. [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1668842 03/16/2013 11:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Quoting: Da fuq Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels. STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Earth's magnetic footpoint: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Wowee Zowee! How did we miss that one? I saw nothing on the GONG or the x-ray flux so I figured it was backside action, but Noooooooooo......awesome filament explosion at a very high speed. Normally this wouldn't seem geoeffective, but that footpoint location has me hesitating. I'll wait for more data. SDO 304a images of large filament explosion: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Very photogenic--this one should make the highlight reels, LOL. :takecover!: Wow that is a very fast cme! |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 11:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not Quoting: BloodyT3CH Don't know at this time [link to www.youtube.com] Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing! [link to www.youtube.com] |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 11:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Hugh, watch above the explosion. Notice the Cosmic rays around the time the explosion and after. play it in slow mo. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 35725151 United States 03/16/2013 11:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I stand corrected DaFuq ... when I posted this, this morning, I didn't think it would be in the least bit earth directed ??? Good Morning Shenue Quoting: TS66 Check out this eruption from the helioviewer from Videovax !! Still waiting on the Northern filament. I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not Quoting: BloodyT3CH Don't know at this time [link to www.youtube.com] Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing! [link to www.youtube.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I stand corrected DaFuq ... when I posted this, this morning, I didn't think it would be in the least bit earth directed ??? Quoting: TS66 Good Morning Shenue Quoting: TS66 Check out this eruption from the helioviewer from Videovax !! Still waiting on the Northern filament. I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not Quoting: BloodyT3CH Don't know at this time [link to www.youtube.com] Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing! [link to www.youtube.com] And you didn't warn us about the Earth-directed super-fast CME? Shame on you, 66, haha.....sorry, guess I slept through that one. |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 28232082 United States 03/16/2013 12:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | How would it leave no trace on the x-ray? Quoting: Da fuq Another symptom of the "double peaked" sun? The speed from that is insane. CME's, filaments and prominances do not register on the Xray flux chart, unless they occure in association with a solar flare event this because they can and do occure all the time without there being any solar flare involved the extreme solar radiated light that a sunspot gives out when a solar flare occures is the only thing the Xray monitor picks up on i personaly watch for CMEs, filaments and prominances way more than i do for solar falres flares are nice and exciting and all that, but it is the plasma the sun ejects at Earth in any form that is where the greatest concern should be Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26795689 United States 03/16/2013 12:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 28232082 United States 03/16/2013 12:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There appears to be ejecta. Quoting: Da fuq Something is clearly happening, look at it. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels. STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Earth's magnetic footpoint: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] normaly i would say an eruption this far to the north west would not have much if any effect on Earth. but as you pointed out Hugh, earths magnetic footprint is in just the right spot. and the CME has layed a clear path from the sun to the Earth. this allows 'stuf' to come at Earth faster and easier than normaly this would show up 1st on the proton flux chart for GOES [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] it is possible that this eruption added to the rise in the proton count because were also seeing the low energy protons rise at ACE [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 03/16/2013 12:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So if I'm interpretting these recent posts correctly, there's been a new earth-directed CME that will hit us (later) in addition to the one that was expected to arrive today? Quoting: ANHEDONIC Yeah, it is very fast and the filament liftoff occurred near Earths footprint. Gotta wait on ISWA for the official word. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 03/16/2013 12:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So if I'm interpretting these recent posts correctly, there's been a new earth-directed CME that will hit us (later) in addition to the one that was expected to arrive today? Quoting: ANHEDONIC Howdy, ANHEDONIC yes, there's been another CME launched, but it's too early to tell how much of it was earth-directed. I'm waiting for the SOHO C2 and C3 images to update so we can see how much of a halo we're looking at. Most likely a glancing blow, but a similar eruption in Oct. 2011 gave us aurora as far south as Arkansas from a 'glancing blow'. It should be fun to watch though. |