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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Isis One

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11/22/2020 11:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
On enlil they show a small what I assume is a cme heading right to earth and then like the one a couple weeks ago, it takes a right hand turn? Can’t post link from iPad.

Last Edited by Isis One on 11/22/2020 11:51 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Isis One

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11/22/2020 11:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice to see you Hugh!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 01:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice to see you Hugh!
 Quoting: Isis One


Likewise, Isis #1. I've missed all of the suntards here since 2017.

I'm glad you're still here and ready for a new solar cycle.

hugspump2

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 11/23/2020 02:00 AM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
OpenEnded..

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11/23/2020 10:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
new 2786 looks pretty big..

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
LazyGringo
OpenEnded..

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11/23/2020 11:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
On enlil they show a small what I assume is a cme heading right to earth and then like the one a couple weeks ago, it takes a right hand turn? Can’t post link from iPad.
 Quoting: Isis One


looks like it gets absorbed by the coronal hole windstream..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

iswa is usually better (more current/accurate) imo, btw..

see them both here..

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
LazyGringo
OpenEnded..

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11/23/2020 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this is new to me, very interesting and current, hand made old school..

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
LazyGringo
This is my GLP

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11/23/2020 03:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lovehaswon.org (secure)]


big-flash-is-coming-on-december-21-2020?
 Quoting: Cosmo888


Love this post. We certainly need some massive Light shift because we’re heading into a very dark timeS.
 Quoting: Isis One



This 'light' is Lucifer's light which is actually darkness compared the the real light of God but because people don't actually know REAL good and only what the nature shows them , many are easily deceived.

It's like comparing a light bulb with 1000 lumens versus a light bulb with 1 million lumens.

Yes they are both 'light' - but one is actually a dim version of the other with a predetermined life span that is meant to burn out at some point.

Last Edited by This is my GLP on 11/23/2020 03:21 PM
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~

Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR!

Zephaniah 2:3 -

Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth,
Who have upheld His justice.
Seek righteousness, seek humility.
It may be that you will be hidden
In the day of the Lord’s anger.
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 05:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Largest sunspot since 2017 (I believe), AR2786 quietly hits the stage. No flares today but a slow rise in the X-ray background level.

ARs 2786 & 2785-
:11/23-giant spot:

HMI Magnetogram-
:11/23-newHMIBC:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
'Ken Oath

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11/23/2020 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Incoming scheming
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 06:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this is new to me, very interesting and current, hand made old school..

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: OpenEnded..


Yeah, I love this tradition of eyeball to telescope observations. More sunspot drawings (also known as Wolfe drawings) can be found here at SIDC in Belgium:

[link to sidc.oma.be]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 06:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Double-peak C flare apparently from Earth-facing AR2783.

Solardemon movie:

[link to solardemon.oma.be]

X-rays still rising:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

The second flare is from 2786 on the east limb. This appears to be an eruptive LDE (Long Duration Event)....x-rays are still rising.

SOLAR DEMON movie from SDO imaging:
[link to solardemon.oma.be]

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 11/23/2020 06:30 PM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 07:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C 4.3 LDE still in progress.... possible CME.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2020 07:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks Huge.


Nice to see you doing the solar thread again.
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 07:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The idiots at NOAA/SWPC say that 2785 and 2786 are the exact same size! Any child can see that one is 3-4x bigger. What a joke these clowns are. Our tax dollars are being wasted on Morans.
taunter

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary

SRS Number 329 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Nov 2020
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2783 S18W07 067 0090 Dso 09 06 Beta
2785 S22E57 002 0120 Cso 02 01 Beta
2786 S16E71 349 0120 Hsx 05 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nov
Nmbr Location Lo
2782 S23W89 150
2784 N32E01 060
II. Regions Due to Return 24 Nov to 26 Nov
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2020 08:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and more big spots coming from around the bend..

"This farside image of the sun from STEREO-A shows a pair of UV hotspots just over the horizon. They will rotate into view 2 to 3 days from now, potentially bringing the sunspot count to its highest level in years. Stay tuned!"

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 08:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks Huge.


Nice to see you doing the solar thread again.
 Quoting: finley


Howdy, friend! Did you move to Canada? Didn't you live in Nevada at one time? I appreciate your posts and you don't need to answer those questions, lol.

Great to see you here for Cycle 25.... should be fun.

hihugs
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2020 08:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The idiots at NOAA/SWPC say that 2785 and 2786 are the exact same size! Any child can see that one is 3-4x bigger. What a joke these clowns are. Our tax dollars are being wasted on Morans.
taunter

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary

SRS Number 329 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Nov 2020
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2783 S18W07 067 0090 Dso 09 06 Beta
2785 S22E57 002 0120 Cso 02 01 Beta
2786 S16E71 349 0120 Hsx 05 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nov
Nmbr Location Lo
2782 S23W89 150
2784 N32E01 060
II. Regions Due to Return 24 Nov to 26 Nov
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


When NASA can't even read their own instruments properly.
OpenEnded..

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11/23/2020 08:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
lasco is almost 3 hours behind?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

wtf
LazyGringo
OpenEnded..

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11/23/2020 08:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The idiots at NOAA/SWPC say that 2785 and 2786 are the exact same size! Any child can see that one is 3-4x bigger. What a joke these clowns are. Our tax dollars are being wasted on Morans.
taunter

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary

SRS Number 329 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Nov 2020
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2783 S18W07 067 0090 Dso 09 06 Beta
2785 S22E57 002 0120 Cso 02 01 Beta
2786 S16E71 349 0120 Hsx 05 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nov
Nmbr Location Lo
2782 S23W89 150
2784 N32E01 060
II. Regions Due to Return 24 Nov to 26 Nov
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


When NASA can't even read their own instruments properly.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48994189


they were seen partying too much earlier in the day:)..


LazyGringo
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 10:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
lasco is almost 3 hours behind?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

wtf
 Quoting: OpenEnded..


I just checked for CME's-- SOHO and STEREO haven't updated for 5 or 6 hours. I guess NASA isn't prepared as a rapid response team. A major Earth-directed CME would arrive in 18-24 hrs. A 6-hr gap in data is not helpful to planetary defense....jes sayin'.

In any case, any CME would not be Earth-directed from the east limb. I just hate to wait 8 hours for data we should see within an 1 hour. The loss of the Arecibo dish is going to make things worse. NASA/ESA and other partners in space operations only have a handful of receivers in the Deep Space Network. Many more deep space missions have been launched yet our receiver network is mostly from the Apollo era.

Arecibo is a major loss to Puerto Rico and humanity. I hope it's rebuilt.

BUILD BACK BIGGER!

Here's an old CME smilie from Cycle 24 b4 I delete it-
5/15-CME
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 10:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The idiots at NOAA/SWPC say that 2785 and 2786 are the exact same size! Any child can see that one is 3-4x bigger. What a joke these clowns are. Our tax dollars are being wasted on Morans.
taunter

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary

SRS Number 329 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Nov 2020
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2783 S18W07 067 0090 Dso 09 06 Beta
2785 S22E57 002 0120 Cso 02 01 Beta
2786 S16E71 349 0120 Hsx 05 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nov
Nmbr Location Lo
2782 S23W89 150
2784 N32E01 060
II. Regions Due to Return 24 Nov to 26 Nov
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


When NASA can't even read their own instruments properly.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48994189


they were seen partying too much earlier in the day:)..


 Quoting: OpenEnded..


Hey, OpenEnded, I salute you, my friend.applause

You're one of the few 'original posters' that I remember from 2010-11. I remember the dancing chimps of the Boulder Spaceweather Center. Now they have legal pot parties at taxpayer expense, lol. Great work if you can get it.

I did check out NINzrez' profile and she hasn't posted in over 7 months. Some 'buddies' haven't posted in 36 months so I'm not too worried yet. I was a lurker here because I was curious about solar flares. I never posted a word until NINzrez was hospitalized after a household mishap. I just wanted to keep the thread going...and happy for it. Everything I've learned about solar activity and space weather I've learned due to GLP SOLAR WATCH.

:9/7-timeline:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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11/23/2020 11:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The 2 largest X-flares from Cycle 24 took place near the beginning and the end of the cycle. That's why I expect to see a major flare soon. If not this rotation then in a subsequent rotation or 2.

The x-ray background is now at C1 level and an eruption from 2786 could easily bump us into M-flare territory. I'd give a 20% chance of M-flares today.

GOES X-RAYS (click on 6-Hour graph)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
OpenEnded..

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11/24/2020 01:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
another LDE? We're in the c range now and slowly climbing..

also.. Hi Hugh, and I salute you too. We all miss Ninz the most..

verysad

Last Edited by OpenEnded.. on 11/24/2020 01:16 AM
LazyGringo
President-Elect TDP™2

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11/24/2020 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump to catch up
Bless my fuck



"It’s in my interest, in ours perhaps, or maybe the interests of the greater good, for me to smoke a joint, and calm down.”
— Hunter S. Thompson



"I've got the spirit, but lose the feeling!"



:rockon:
Helios Maximus

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11/24/2020 11:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Large helmet streamer from 2786 is leaking plasma into space.

SEEDS movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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11/24/2020 06:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Large helmet streamer from 2786 is leaking plasma into space. SEEDS movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


ENLIL forecast hasn't been very accurate but it's showing a rather large area of solar winds from that.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]


Should be able to see what the guesstimated intensity is going to look like by the time it reaches Earth , when it updates tomorrow.
OpenEnded..

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11/24/2020 07:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
"Old region 2781 currently transiting the farside of the Sun produced a fair sized solar flare that is associated with a fast moving coronal mass ejection (CME). ... Old region 2781 is still about 6 days away from turning back into Earth view"

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]

Kevin is still working and his new page layout is good!!

I wonder if he's reading this.. Hi Kevin..
LazyGringo
OpenEnded..

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11/24/2020 07:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
a small quasi earth directed cme came out with the LDE c flare yesterday, on iswa now..

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
LazyGringo
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11/24/2020 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)]
Helios Maximus

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11/24/2020 11:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Eruptive C3.4 flare from AR2786 in progress.

SolarDemon movie:

[link to solardemon.oma.be]

GOES X-Ray Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779





GLP